Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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1973 Season

The 1973 Season as seen through the Prism of Player Won-Lost Records

This article takes a look at the 1973 season as measured by Player won-lost records.

The Best of 1973

I calculate Player won-lost records two ways: pWins, which tie to team wins and eWins, which control for context and the ability of one's teammates. For players with more pWins than eWins, their Player wins contributed to more team wins than one might expect; for players with more eWins than pWins, just the opposite is true: their Player wins translated into fewer team wins than expected. Or more briefly: a player with more pWins than eWins was better in context, a player with more eWins than pWins was worse in context.

The top 10 players in pWins above Positional Average and Replacement Level were as follows.

pWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players
pWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players
Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
1Joe L. Morgan26.817.29.7
11.9
1Joe L. Morgan26.817.29.7
11.9
2Reggie Jackson24.116.47.2
9.2
2Nolan Ryan22.815.77.0
9.4
3John Hiller12.25.17.1
8.9
3Reggie Jackson24.116.47.2
9.2
4Tom Seaver19.913.87.1
8.9
4John Hiller12.25.17.1
8.9
5Nolan Ryan22.815.77.0
9.4
5Tom Seaver19.913.87.1
8.9
6Willie Stargell25.517.36.7
8.8
6Willie Stargell25.517.36.7
8.8
7Jim Palmer17.811.16.7
8.5
7Bobby Bonds27.119.46.5
8.8
8Don Sutton19.914.36.6
8.4
8Jim Palmer17.811.16.7
8.5
9Bobby Bonds27.119.46.5
8.8
9Don Sutton19.914.36.6
8.4
10Johnny Bench19.814.15.8
7.5
10Johnny Bench19.814.15.8
7.5


The top 10 players in eWins above Positional Average and Replacement Level were as follows.

eWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players
eWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1Joe L. Morgan25.818.27.8
9.9
1Joe L. Morgan25.818.27.8
9.9
2Willie Stargell25.717.27.0
9.1
2Willie Stargell25.717.27.0
9.1
3Bert Blyleven19.413.06.4
8.3
3Bert Blyleven19.413.06.4
8.3
4Tom Seaver19.214.55.8
7.6
4Bobby Bonds26.719.85.7
8.0
5Bobby Bonds26.719.85.7
8.0
5Nolan Ryan22.016.55.4
7.8
6Reggie Jackson23.317.15.7
7.7
6Reggie Jackson23.317.15.7
7.7
7Darrell Evans22.615.95.6
7.5
7Tom Seaver19.214.55.8
7.6
8Nolan Ryan22.016.55.4
7.8
8Darrell Evans22.615.95.6
7.5
9Bobby Grich21.716.95.4
7.3
9Bobby Grich21.716.95.4
7.3
10Don Sutton19.015.25.3
7.2
10Don Sutton19.015.25.3
7.2


I take a look at some of the most interesting players of 1973 at the end of this article.

1973 Postseason

I was four months old when the last World Series was played before the two leagues were split into divisions. So I have no personal recollection of the debates that surely arose over adding League Championship Series. But surely somebody, somewhere, complained that this would lead to some undeserving team who lucked into winning a weak division eventually making it to the World Series.

For the first three years of the divisional era, the team with the better record won every League Championship Series. Finally, in 1972, the winner of the NLCS had finished 0.5 game back of the team they beat. But that's not too bad.

The 1973 postseason was when the anti-division folks' worst fear came true. In the American League, the 94-win Oakland A's beat the 97-win Baltimore Orioles. Okay, fair enough: 94 wins isn't too bad and the A's were the defending World Champs. But in the National League, the 82-win New York Mets, with the 4th-best record in the league, somehow managed to beat the 99-win Cincinnati Reds 3 games to 2. And then they took the 94-win defending World Champion A's to 7 games in the World Series.

Still, it made for great entertainment. The best performers of the 1973 postseason, as measured by pWins over replacement level, are shown next.

1973 Postseason: Total
Player Team pWins pLosses pWORL
Catfish HunterOAK2.21.01.4
Bert CampanerisOAK2.41.51.4
Rusty StaubNYN2.00.91.2
Tug McGrawNYN1.61.10.8
Ken HoltzmanOAK1.71.10.8
Jerry KoosmanNYN1.30.60.8
Jim PalmerBAL1.00.40.7
Jon MatlackNYN2.11.80.7
Joe RudiOAK2.11.50.6
Rollie FingersOAK1.51.20.6


Top postseason players by round were as follows.

1973 World Series
Player Team pWins pLosses Net Wins
Bert CampanerisOAK1.40.80.6
Tug McGrawNYN1.10.50.5
Rollie FingersOAK1.20.80.5
Catfish HunterOAK0.80.40.4
Reggie JacksonOAK1.20.80.3

1973 Postseason: League Championship Series
Player Team pWins pLosses Net Wins
Catfish HunterOAK1.40.50.9
Rusty StaubNYN1.10.30.8
Jon MatlackNYN1.00.30.7
Jim PalmerBAL1.00.40.6
Ken HoltzmanOAK0.70.20.5


Best of 1973 by Factor and Position

Next, let's look at the top players in various aspects of the game.
Best by Factor: Batting, Baserunning, Pitching, Fielding
There are four basic factors for which players earn Player won-lost records: Batting, Baserunning, Pitching, and Fielding. The top players in 1973 in wins over positional average (WOPA) by factor were as follows.

Batting
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss eWOPA Player pWins pLoss pWOPA
1Willie Stargell17.610.0
7.2
1Willie Stargell18.09.58.1
2Reggie Jackson15.910.8
5.1
2Joe L. Morgan17.910.27.3
3Bobby Bonds16.911.7
4.7
3Reggie Jackson16.410.36.1
4Darrell Evans15.510.5
4.5
4Tony Perez16.310.45.5
5Joe L. Morgan16.511.6
4.4
5Willie Crawford13.88.15.4
6Tony Perez15.810.9
4.4
6Willie McCovey12.57.64.6
7John Mayberry Sr.13.89.5
4.2
7Bobby Bonds16.811.74.6
8Hank Aaron11.77.3
4.1
8Joe Ferguson13.99.04.6
9Willie McCovey12.37.9
4.1
9Lee May14.89.94.5
10Ken Singleton15.010.7
3.9
10Darrell Evans15.410.64.4
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
Baserunning
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss eWOPA Player pWins pLoss pWOPA
1Lou Brock3.21.6
1.5
1Lou Brock3.11.71.3
2Bert Campaneris2.81.5
1.3
2Bert Campaneris2.71.61.2
3Joe L. Morgan3.22.0
1.1
3Joe L. Morgan3.22.01.1
4Tommy Harper2.61.6
1.0
4Tommy Harper2.61.51.1
5Cesar Cedeno2.41.5
0.8
5Bill E. Russell1.80.90.8
6Billy North2.72.0
0.7
6Merv Rettenmund1.30.60.7
7Bobby Grich1.91.2
0.6
7Billy North2.62.00.6
8Don Baylor1.71.0
0.6
8Davey Lopes2.21.60.6
9Merv Rettenmund1.30.7
0.6
9Cookie Rojas1.30.80.5
10Rod Carew2.41.8
0.6
10Larry Hisle1.51.00.5
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
Pitching
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss Net eWins Player pWins pLoss Net pWins
1Bert Blyleven18.313.4
4.9
1Nolan Ryan22.315.37.0
2Nolan Ryan20.916.8
4.1
2John Hiller11.95.06.9
3Don Sutton17.113.0
4.1
3Jim Palmer17.510.96.6
4Tom Seaver16.512.8
3.7
4Don Sutton18.112.06.1
5John Hiller10.26.6
3.6
5Tom Seaver17.711.66.0
6Jim Palmer15.812.5
3.3
6Bert Blyleven18.413.35.1
7Bill Singer18.916.1
2.7
7Luis Tiant Jr.17.213.04.2
8Mel Stottlemyre Sr.16.714.2
2.6
8Bill Singer19.415.63.8
9Sparky Lyle7.14.6
2.5
9Steve Rogers8.85.23.6
10Carl Morton14.412.0
2.4
10Bill 'Spaceman' Lee15.311.83.6


Fielding by Position


Fielding, P
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Tom Seaver0.60.3
0.3
1Tommy John0.50.10.4
2Ron Bryant0.40.2
0.3
2Tom Seaver0.60.20.4
3Mike G. Marshall0.40.2
0.3
3Lindy McDaniel0.50.10.3
4Tommy John0.40.2
0.3
4Ross Grimsley Jr.0.50.20.3
5Jim Colborn0.50.3
0.2
5Ron Bryant0.50.10.3


Fielding, C
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Bob Boone2.51.9
0.6
1Ray Fosse2.01.30.7
2Fran Healy1.61.1
0.5
2Fran Healy1.71.10.6
3Ray Fosse1.81.5
0.4
3Bob Boone2.51.90.6
4Johnny Bench1.61.2
0.3
4Ellie Rodriguez1.30.80.5
5Thurman Munson2.11.8
0.3
5Johnny Bench1.71.20.5


Fielding, 1B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1George C. Scott3.12.6
0.5
1Chris Chambliss3.02.30.8
2Chris Chambliss2.92.4
0.5
2Mike Jorgensen1.91.40.5
3Mike Jorgensen1.81.4
0.4
3George C. Scott3.12.60.5
4Nate Colbert2.72.3
0.4
4Tony Perez2.42.00.4
5Carl Yastrzemski1.61.3
0.4
5Carl Yastrzemski1.61.20.4


Fielding, 2B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Bobby Grich6.74.6
2.1
1Bobby Grich6.94.42.4
2Ted Sizemore6.25.0
1.2
2Ted Sizemore6.25.01.2
3Joe L. Morgan5.74.8
0.8
3Felix Millan5.74.61.1
4Dick Green4.13.7
0.4
4Dick Green4.43.41.0
5Tony Taylor2.42.0
0.4
5Tony Taylor2.71.80.9


Fielding, 3B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Brooks Robinson4.93.8
1.0
1Brooks Robinson4.83.90.9
2Darrell Evans5.44.5
0.9
2Graig Nettles6.45.50.9
3Graig Nettles6.45.6
0.8
3Denis Menke3.12.30.8
4Aurelio Rodriguez5.04.4
0.7
4Ron Cey5.14.30.8
5Ron Cey5.04.4
0.6
5Wayne Garrett4.13.40.7


Fielding, SS
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Mark Belanger7.05.2
1.8
1Mark Belanger7.44.92.5
2Bert Campaneris6.45.5
0.9
2Dave Concepcion4.32.91.4
3Bud Harrelson4.43.6
0.9
3Bert Campaneris6.75.31.4
4Tim Foli5.95.1
0.8
4Bud Harrelson4.73.31.3
5Bill E. Russell7.66.8
0.8
5Bill E. Russell7.96.61.3


Fielding, LF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Joe Rudi5.44.1
1.3
1Joe Rudi5.73.72.0
2Tom Grieve0.90.2
0.7
2Tommy Harper6.85.31.5
3Tommy Harper6.45.7
0.7
3Walt Williams2.92.00.9
4Bob Watson5.75.2
0.6
4Pete Rose Sr.7.97.20.7
5Billy Williams5.85.3
0.5
5Bob Watson5.85.10.6


Fielding, CF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Johnny Grubb4.33.1
1.2
1Billy North7.55.32.2
2Billy North6.86.0
0.7
2Paul Blair5.84.21.6
3Paul Blair5.34.7
0.6
3Cesar Cedeno6.35.01.3
4Cesar Cedeno6.05.4
0.6
4Cesar Geronimo2.91.91.0
5Steve Hovley1.20.7
0.5
5Mickey Stanley6.76.00.7


Fielding, RF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Bobby Bonds7.46.6
0.8
1Bobby Bonds8.15.92.1
2Willie Crawford4.33.6
0.7
2Reggie Jackson6.15.01.0
3Bob Coluccio3.93.2
0.7
3Jose Cardenal5.74.71.0
4Leroy Stanton2.21.7
0.5
4Ken Singleton7.36.40.9
5Bobby Darwin5.65.1
0.5
5Jimmy Wynn5.85.10.7


Best by Position
Next, we look at 1973 Major-League leaders by position. The figures shown here only include Player decisions earned while playing this particular position.

Catcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Johnny Bench15.612.2
3.7
1Johnny Bench16.411.55.1
2Thurman Munson16.113.2
3.6
2Joe Ferguson13.810.53.5
3Ted Simmons18.515.9
3.0
3Thurman Munson16.013.33.4
4Joe Ferguson13.311.0
2.6
4Darrell Porter9.47.12.6
5Darrell Porter9.07.5
2.0
5Ted Simmons18.216.12.5


First Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Tony Perez18.913.9
3.3
1Tony Perez19.513.34.7
2John Mayberry Sr.16.312.7
2.7
2Lee May17.513.22.8
3Willie McCovey14.210.4
2.6
3Willie McCovey14.310.32.8
4George C. Scott18.615.2
2.2
4Gene Tenace13.410.12.5
5Ron Blomberg5.03.2
1.5
5George C. Scott18.715.12.4


Second Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Joe L. Morgan25.218.6
6.7
1Joe L. Morgan26.617.19.5
2Bobby Grich21.417.2
4.8
2Bobby Grich21.716.95.4
3Rod Carew20.718.1
3.3
3Davey Lopes18.015.13.0
4Davey Johnson20.717.8
3.0
4Ted Sizemore18.816.42.5
5Ted Sizemore18.516.7
2.0
5Rod Carew20.118.72.1


Third Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Darrell Evans20.714.6
5.2
1Darrell Evans20.614.75.0
2Sal Bando20.016.1
3.4
2Sal Bando20.116.03.6
3Bill Melton19.417.2
1.7
3Graig Nettles20.418.01.8
4Graig Nettles20.218.1
1.5
4Mike Schmidt14.011.61.8
5Bob Bailey18.015.7
1.4
5Carl Yastrzemski5.33.41.8


Shortstop
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Bert Campaneris19.619.4
2.9
1Dave Concepcion13.49.94.6
2Dave Concepcion12.510.8
2.9
2Bert Campaneris20.418.64.4
3Bud Harrelson11.411.0
1.6
3Bill E. Russell20.519.33.2
4Freddie Patek17.518.2
1.6
4Mark Belanger15.414.23.0
5Toby Harrah9.79.4
1.6
5Bud Harrelson11.910.62.4


Left Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Willie Stargell25.117.5
6.1
1Willie Stargell25.417.56.9
2Hank Aaron12.89.7
2.3
2Tommy Harper21.317.63.2
3Bob Watson20.316.5
2.2
3Pete Rose Sr.24.420.13.1
4Ron Fairly15.512.2
2.2
4Ron Fairly15.812.22.7
5Pete Rose Sr.23.920.1
2.1
5Bob Watson20.516.52.5


Center Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Cesar Cedeno21.416.2
4.2
1Cesar Cedeno22.115.55.6
2Amos Otis19.816.8
2.4
2Amos Otis20.516.13.9
3Johnny Grubb13.210.4
2.1
3Billy North19.915.93.5
4Reggie Smith14.011.6
2.0
4Dave May21.818.13.1
5Bobby Murcer22.420.0
1.6
5Willie Davis19.916.42.5


Right Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Reggie Jackson22.717.0
5.1
1Reggie Jackson23.716.07.2
2Bobby Bonds25.519.6
4.8
2Bobby Bonds26.019.25.6
3Ken Singleton22.818.8
3.0
3Willie Crawford17.412.14.6
4Willie Crawford16.413.2
2.3
4Jose Cardenal19.715.92.8
5Merv Rettenmund10.99.2
1.4
5Merv Rettenmund11.58.62.7


Starting Pitcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Bert Blyleven18.613.7
4.9
1Nolan Ryan22.415.66.7
2Nolan Ryan21.116.9
4.1
2Jim Palmer17.711.16.6
3Don Sutton17.413.4
4.1
3Tom Seaver18.311.86.4
4Tom Seaver17.013.1
4.0
4Don Sutton18.512.36.2
5Jim Palmer16.112.7
3.4
5Bert Blyleven18.713.65.1
6Mel Stottlemyre Sr.17.114.5
2.6
6Luis Tiant Jr.17.613.44.2
7Bill Singer19.216.7
2.6
7Steve Rogers9.05.23.8
8Carl Morton14.812.4
2.5
8Bill Singer19.716.13.6
9Jim Colborn15.713.3
2.4
9Ron Bryant17.214.03.3
10Luis Tiant Jr.16.714.4
2.3
10Bill 'Spaceman' Lee14.811.73.1


Relief Pitcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1John Hiller10.56.9
3.6
1John Hiller12.25.17.1
2Sparky Lyle7.24.9
2.2
2Elias Sosa7.53.83.7
3Bob Reynolds5.33.5
1.8
3Lindy McDaniel7.34.62.8
4Rollie Fingers7.05.4
1.6
4Cy Acosta7.14.32.8
5Mike G. Marshall11.09.4
1.6
5Terry Forster7.34.82.5
6Grant Jackson4.33.0
1.3
6Mike G. Marshall11.59.02.5
7Lindy McDaniel6.65.3
1.3
7Gene Garber5.93.52.4
8Ramon G. Hernandez4.53.2
1.3
8Rollie Fingers7.45.02.4
9Terry Forster6.75.4
1.3
9Dave Giusti6.64.52.1
10Doug Bird6.14.9
1.2
10Bobby Bolin4.52.71.8


I am writing these articles working backwards in time. From that perspective, this is the last time in which the next table appears in one of my articles. From the perspective of a future reader who may be reading through these articles in conventional chronological order, a new table appears in this article for the first time. Whichever way you want to view it, the 1973 season was the first season in major-league history in which the designated hitter rule was used.

The first designated hitter in major-league history was Ron Blomberg who drew a bases-loaded walk in the top of the first inning the New York Yankees in their opening game on April 6, 1973.

The best designated hitter in its debut season, as measured by Player won-lost records, was Hall-of-Famer Frank Robinson, who batted .266/.372/.489 with 30 home runs and 97 RBI in 147 games for the California Angels, 123 of which he was the DH.
Designated Hitter
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Frank Robinson12.79.9
2.8
1Frank Robinson12.89.92.8
2Carlos May8.66.4
2.1
2Deron Johnson9.88.21.5
3Deron Johnson9.78.3
1.3
3Carlos May8.26.81.4


Finally, here are the best at three oft-forgotten positions that can nevertheless matter: pitcher offense, pinch hitting, and pinch running.

Pitcher Offense
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Ken Brett1.81.6
1.0
1Ken Brett1.91.51.1
2Steve Renko1.61.5
0.8
2Steve Renko1.61.40.9
3Rick Wise1.71.7
0.7
3Rick Wise1.71.60.9


Pinch Hitter
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Ken McMullen1.80.8
1.0
1Ken McMullen2.00.61.4
2Phil Gagliano1.70.9
0.8
2Hal King2.00.71.2
3John Ellis1.30.6
0.8
3Ron Woods1.80.81.1


Pinch Runner
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Matt Alexander0.20.0
0.2
1Ted Martinez0.30.10.2
2Billy Grabarkewitz0.20.1
0.1
2Enos Cabell0.30.10.2
3Ken Brett0.10.0
0.1
3Matt Alexander0.20.00.2


Noteworthy Players of 1973

The top player in 1973, according to Player won-lost records, was Joe Morgan, who was in the midst of one of the best six-year runs in Player won-lost records (as measured by pWORL) of any player for whom I have calculated Player won-lost records. The lists above are also filled with several other of the "usual suspects" from the 1970s: Tom Seaver, Jim Palmer, Reggie Jackson.

In addition to the "usual suspects", however, 1973 was the best season in the careers of three players who are worth a bit closer look: two sabermetric darlings and a player considered overrated by some sabermetric observers.
Darrell Evans
In The New Bill James Historical Abstract, Bill James posited that Darrell Evans was "the most underrated player in baseball history". Evans's 1973 season may be the best example of this. The 1973 season was Darrell Evans's best season, measured by eWins over either positional average or replacement level (although I actually find his 1974 season was actually slightly better in context).

And it's not like Player won-lost records are finding something completely hidden from view in traditional statistics. Evans hit 41 home runs, he scored and drove in 100 runs (114 and 104, respectively). He had an on-base percentage over .400 (.403), an OPS over .950 (.959), and led the major leagues with 124 walks. He was 2nd in the NL in times on base, 3rd in total bases. I'm not saying these were all statistics that were widely known and appreciated in 1973; I'm just pointing out that the offensive things that Darrell Evans was good at are fairly obvious things.

Fielding is still a much tougher thing to measure and was all but impossible to evaluate in 1973. Even so, Evans had an above-average fielding percentage and led the National League in range factor per game at third base (a stat which, as crude and "old-school" as it seems today, didn't actually exist in 1973). But I would think that contemporary observers should have at least been able to tell that Darrell Evans was apparently playing a respectable third base in 1973.

Evans did make the All-Star team in 1973 - one of only two such appearances in his 21-year career. And he got MVP votes for the first of only four times in his career. But he finished 18th in NL MVP voting, finishing between Felix Millan and Lee May. No offense to Millan or May, who were very good baseball players in their prime, but the idea that they were comparable in value to Darrell Evans in 1973 is silly.

The next table shows Darrell Evans' career record as measured by Player won-lost records.

Darrell Evans
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1969ATL22
12
0.40.9-0.5
-0.4
0.40.8-0.4-0.3
1970ATL23
12
1.21.6-0.5
-0.4
1.51.40.00.2
1971ATL24
88
9.37.51.5
2.4
8.97.90.71.5
1972ATL25
125
16.213.92.1
3.5
16.213.92.03.5
1973ATL26
161
22.016.64.3
6.2
22.615.95.67.5
1974ATL27
160
22.917.05.3
7.1
22.117.93.75.5
1975ATL28
156
21.018.52.1
3.9
20.818.71.63.5
1976ATL29
135
12.111.3-0.2
1.0
12.111.4-0.30.9
1977SFN30
144
16.714.71.1
2.7
16.614.81.02.6
1978SFN31
159
20.717.62.3
4.1
20.517.82.03.8
1979SFN32
160
18.818.2-0.0
1.7
19.117.80.72.4
1980SFN33
154
20.219.10.5
2.3
21.018.42.03.8
1981SFN34
101
11.79.91.3
2.5
11.79.81.42.5
1982SFN35
141
15.413.31.6
2.9
15.413.41.42.7
1983SFN36
142
18.114.42.7
4.2
18.414.13.34.7
1984DET37
131
10.99.70.8
1.9
11.09.70.81.9
1985DET38
151
15.912.72.5
3.9
15.712.91.93.4
1986DET39
151
16.111.93.5
5.0
15.312.71.93.3
1987DET40
150
15.511.13.4
4.7
14.512.01.52.8
1988DET41
144
11.010.6-0.1
1.1
11.010.50.01.2
1989ATL42
106
7.38.9-2.1
-1.4
8.08.3-0.9-0.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,683
303.5259.531.6
59.1
302.7260.229.957.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
13
1.11.3 -0.21.11.3 -0.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,696
304.5260.8
58.9
303.8261.5 57.2


Bert Blyleven
For many, many years, Bert Blyleven was the poster boy for sabermetrics. There were probably thousands of articles written in support of his Hall-of-Fame candidacy, which utlimately ended in victory when he was elected to the Hall of Fame in 2011 in his 14th year on the ballot.

Like Evans, 1973 was the finest season of Bert Blyleven's career, and the fineness of his season was obvious without resorting to advanced sabermetrics. In 1973, Bert Blyleven finished 4th in the AL in innings pitched (with 325 - lots of pitchers pitched crazy numbers of innings around this time), 3rd in complete games (with 25), led the AL in shutouts (9), was 2nd in strikeouts (258), 3rd in K/9, 2nd in lowest BB/9. He was 2nd in the AL in ERA (and 1st in ballpark-adjusted ERA+) and also 2nd in WHIP. He led the American League in K/BB ratio (admittedly, we've moved closer to "advanced sabermetrics" here).

Blyleven's team, the Minnesota Twins were not a terrible team. They finished at exactly 0.500 (81-81) and tied for 4th in the American League in runs scored. Yet, despite all of that, Bert Blyleven, for all his impressive pitching stats, was able to pick up "only" 20 pitcher wins, 7th in the American League, and was charged with 17 pitcher losses, 5th in the AL.

This perfectly encapsulates the Hall-of-Fame argument against Bert Blyleven, that he didn't win as many games as he should have, the he "pitched just well enough to lose". In 1973, there's some slight merit to this argument. The next table shows Bert Blyleven's 1973 season in and out of context.

Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
Bert Blyleven
40
18.713.60.5785.1
7.0
19.413.00.5996.48.3


Blyeleven's pWins totals were a bit lower than his expected wins (eWins). But, honestly, the difference is not that great, and even in context, Bert Blyleven's 1973 season was excellent.

Exactly like Evans, 1973 was one of two seasons in which Bert Blyleven was named to the All-Star team and one of four seasons in which he received major award votes. Even with that, however, like Evans, his finish in major-award voting was disappointing to say the least: 7th in Cy Young voting and 26th in MVP voting.

The career record of Bert Blyleven as measured by Player won-lost records is presented next. I would note that Bert Blyleven, over the course of his 22-year career, contributed almost exactly as many actual wins to his teams, in context, 289.2 pWins, as expected wins, 291.8 eWins. Both of these numbers are extremely similar, also, to his traditional pitcher wins (287).

Bert Blyleven
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1970MIN19
27
10.510.30.7
1.9
10.610.11.22.3
1971MIN20
38
18.015.53.4
5.3
17.915.63.45.3
1972MIN21
39
17.917.11.6
3.7
17.917.11.83.9
1973MIN22
40
18.713.65.1
7.0
19.413.06.48.3
1974MIN23
37
15.812.83.0
4.7
16.312.34.05.7
1975MIN24
35
15.011.93.1
4.8
14.912.02.94.6
1976MIN25
36
17.514.53.1
4.9
17.714.23.55.4
1977TEX26
30
13.310.82.7
4.3
13.910.23.85.4
1978PIT27
37
15.313.52.6
4.2
15.513.33.24.8
1979PIT28
38
12.712.51.1
2.5
11.813.4-0.60.9
1980PIT29
37
11.412.9-0.7
0.7
11.712.6-0.11.2
1981CLE30
20
8.06.81.2
2.2
8.26.61.62.6
1982CLE31
4
1.31.6-0.2
-0.0
1.51.40.10.2
1983CLE32
24
8.98.50.5
1.5
9.48.01.52.6
1984CLE33
33
14.19.35.0
6.4
13.89.74.35.7
1985CLE34
37
17.515.22.5
4.6
18.514.14.56.6
1986MIN35
36
17.516.90.6
2.8
17.417.00.62.8
1987MIN36
37
16.715.91.1
3.1
15.317.3-1.70.3
1988MIN37
33
11.714.5-2.7
-1.0
12.513.7-1.10.5
1989CAL38
33
13.79.44.6
6.1
12.710.42.54.0
1990CAL39
23
6.78.4-1.6
-0.6
7.37.8-0.40.5
1992CAL41
25
7.19.7-2.6
-1.4
7.79.1-1.4-0.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
699
289.2261.434.3
67.8
291.8258.940.073.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
8
3.32.1 1.72.82.6 0.7
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
707
292.6263.5
69.5
294.6261.5 74.1


Nolan Ryan
Nolan Ryan is something of the mirror image of Bert Blyleven. Ryan had a slightly lower career winning percentage than Blyleven (.534 to .526) and the same number of career pitcher wins as Don Sutton (324). Yet, while it took Blyleven 14 years and Don Sutton 5 years to make the Hall, Nolan Ryan was elected to the Hall of Fame in his first year of eligibility with 491 of 497 (98.8%) votes. Ryan had a higher percentage of HOF votes than Willie Mays (94.7% in 1979), Hank Aaron (97.8% in 1982), Warren Spahn (83.2% in 1973), Jim Palmer (92.6% in 1990), Cal Ripken (98.5% in 2007), Rickey Henderson (94.8% in 2009), and, in fact, every other player ever except for Tom Seaver. Ryan received more votes than any other pitcher in voting for the MLB All Century Team.

Nolan Ryan's greatness is summarized in two numbers: 5,714 strikeouts and 7 no-hitters in his career. The sabermetric argument against him is perhaps best summarized in one other number: 2,795 career walks.

Ryan was frequently used as a foil for pro-Blyleven arguments, suggesting that Blyleven was a better pitcher than even the great Nolan Ryan, in large part because his career walk rate was about half as large as Ryan's. The 1973 season was the best year in the careers of both Blyleven and Ryan. Ryan set a major-league record with 383 strikeouts and threw the first two no-hitters of his career that season. He also finished second in voting for the AL Cy Young Award behind Jim Palmer. Yet, controlling for context, Blyleven beat Ryan in eWins over positional average and replacement level.

Nolan Ryan's career as measured by Player won-lost records is presented in the next table. By Player won-lost records, Ryan had a somewhat more valuable career than Bert Blyleven, although Blyleven nevertheless had an excellent career, highly worthy of the Hall of Fame.

Nolan Ryan
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1966NYN19
2
0.10.5-0.4
-0.3
0.20.4-0.2-0.2
1968NYN21
21
7.79.9-1.8
-0.9
7.710.0-1.9-0.9
1969NYN22
25
5.14.90.5
1.2
5.04.90.31.1
1970NYN23
27
8.611.2-2.1
-0.9
9.410.3-0.20.9
1971NYN24
30
11.614.8-2.7
-1.1
11.714.7-2.3-0.7
1972CAL25
39
21.120.11.9
4.4
21.020.11.94.5
1973CAL26
41
22.815.77.0
9.4
22.016.55.47.8
1974CAL27
42
21.818.43.3
5.7
21.818.43.45.8
1975CAL28
28
12.612.10.5
2.0
12.212.5-0.41.1
1976CAL29
39
20.217.92.3
4.6
20.018.12.04.2
1977CAL30
37
19.816.63.4
5.9
20.016.43.96.4
1978CAL31
31
15.313.31.9
3.6
15.413.22.23.9
1979CAL32
34
16.113.62.6
4.4
16.413.33.25.0
1980HOU33
35
14.713.91.6
3.2
14.214.50.62.2
1981HOU34
21
10.77.73.7
4.8
10.18.32.53.6
1982HOU35
35
16.215.81.6
3.3
15.016.9-0.41.3
1983HOU36
29
13.211.52.6
4.0
12.512.21.52.9
1984HOU37
30
11.713.0-0.5
0.9
12.212.60.62.0
1985HOU38
35
13.513.90.5
2.1
13.314.10.42.0
1986HOU39
30
12.511.81.4
2.8
12.411.91.52.9
1987HOU40
34
13.313.80.7
2.2
14.712.43.95.4
1988HOU41
33
13.815.2-0.5
1.2
13.515.5-1.00.7
1989TEX42
32
16.111.64.9
6.7
15.512.23.65.4
1990TEX43
30
12.310.12.3
3.7
12.89.63.34.7
1991TEX44
27
10.78.02.9
4.1
11.57.34.35.5
1992TEX45
27
9.69.40.3
1.5
9.89.20.72.0
1993TEX46
13
3.84.8-1.0
-0.5
4.14.4-0.20.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
807
354.6329.636.9
77.9
354.5329.738.879.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
9
2.72.6 0.63.12.2 1.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
816
357.3332.2
78.6
357.6331.8 81.2


John Hiller
John Hiller had a fascinating career. Working backwards, in 1976, Hiller won 12 games and had 13 saves with a 2.38 ERA in 121 innings, 112 in 55 games in relief and 9 in one complete-game shutout. In 1975, Hiller pitched only 70.2 innings in 36 games, with 14 saves and a 2.13 ERA. In 1974, Hiller pitched 59 games, all in relief, in which he pitched 150 innings and earned 17 wins, 13 saves, and 14 losses with a 2.64 ERA.

But 1973 was John Hiller's best season. He pitched in 65 games, all in relief, in which he pitched 125.1 innings with 134 strikeouts and a 1.44 ERA. He won 10 games (against 5 losses) and set a major-league record with 38 saves. For this, Hiller won two awards: the American League Rolaids Relief Man of the Year and American League Comeback Player of the Year. He won the latter award because two years earlier, Hiller had suffered three heart attacks in one day.

As measured by Player won-lost records, John Hiller's 1973 season was the best season ever by a pitcher who did not start a game, as measured by pWins over replacement level. The top five such seasons are shown in the next table.

Player Season pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
John Hiller197312.25.17.18.9
Willie Hernandez19849.83.16.47.7
John Smoltz200210.34.06.07.6
Dan Quisenberry198011.95.85.77.5
Jim Kern197912.46.65.67.4


John Hiller's career as measured by Player won-lost records is presented in the next table.

John Hiller
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1965DET22
5
0.30.10.2
0.2
0.20.20.00.1
1966DET23
1
0.00.0-0.0
-0.0
0.00.0-0.0-0.0
1967DET24
23
4.33.90.6
1.2
4.63.61.21.8
1968DET25
39
6.96.40.8
1.7
6.46.8-0.10.8
1969DET26
41
5.25.7-0.3
0.5
5.15.7-0.40.4
1970DET27
47
5.26.2-0.7
0.2
5.55.9-0.00.9
1972DET29
24
2.01.90.2
0.5
2.02.0-0.00.3
1973DET30
65
12.25.17.1
8.9
10.66.83.95.7
1974DET31
59
11.39.51.9
3.9
11.19.71.43.4
1975DET32
36
5.34.31.0
2.0
5.34.40.81.8
1976DET33
56
9.07.91.0
2.6
8.48.5-0.01.5
1977DET34
45
7.910.2-2.4
-0.9
8.99.1-0.21.3
1978DET35
51
7.24.42.8
3.9
6.64.91.72.7
1979DET36
43
4.66.1-1.6
-0.5
4.56.2-1.8-0.7
1980DET37
11
0.71.2-0.5
-0.3
0.91.0-0.20.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
546
82.272.810.1
23.9
80.174.96.220.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
5
0.00.0 -0.00.00.0 0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
551
82.272.8
23.9
80.174.9 20.1


Notable Debuts
Two players made their major-league debut in 1973 who have been elected to the National Baseball Hall of Fame: Dave Winfield and George Brett.

Dave Winfield George Brett
Season Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL
1973564.34.60.483-0.7
-0.2
130.61.00.381-0.4-0.3
197414518.816.30.5361.4
3.1
13313.014.60.471-1.8-0.5
197514320.516.70.5522.6
4.3
15920.917.90.5383.04.8
197613722.016.60.5714.4
6.3
15922.317.20.5655.07.0
197715723.620.80.5320.9
3.1
13921.215.70.5755.37.2
197815825.118.20.5795.8
7.8
12816.514.20.5392.23.6
197915926.919.80.5765.4
7.6
15421.216.80.5584.26.0
198016221.020.20.510-0.5
1.5
11718.510.30.6428.19.5
198110514.612.80.5341.3
2.7
8910.610.50.503-0.21.0
198214019.918.80.5150.4
2.1
14418.615.10.5513.14.6
198315221.418.60.5352.1
3.9
12316.813.80.5492.74.1
198414120.916.80.5543.0
4.7
10414.910.90.5774.15.3
198515524.118.70.5634.8
6.8
15522.215.40.5906.88.6
198615420.417.60.5362.0
3.8
12315.613.20.5412.03.4
198715620.717.70.5392.3
4.0
11512.611.80.518-0.21.0
198814921.817.10.5603.8
5.7
15718.215.00.5492.34.0
1989
 
12414.512.50.5370.82.1
199013216.416.30.502-0.3
1.2
14215.314.20.5200.21.6
199115016.816.50.505-0.5
1.1
13111.011.30.494-1.10.3
199215617.712.80.5804.3
6.1
15211.312.20.482-1.5-0.1
199314312.914.40.473-1.8
-0.1
14511.912.40.490-0.80.9
1994766.16.30.493-0.6
0.2
1995451.32.40.358-1.2
-1.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS2,971397.3339.80.53938.5
74.7
2,706327.7275.90.54343.873.8


Last Hurrahs
Finally, 1973 was the final season for two members of the Baseball Hall of Fame: 1951 NL Rookie-of-the-Year Willie Mays and 1956 AL Rookie-of-the-Year Luis Aparicio.

Willie Mays Luis Aparicio
Season Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL
195112115.612.90.5472.1
3.6
1952345.73.30.6292.2
2.7
1953
 
195415124.616.50.5986.6
9.0
195515227.217.40.6108.5
10.8
195615223.417.90.5674.3
6.5
15217.517.50.5000.92.8
195715224.518.50.5694.7
6.8
14318.216.90.5181.83.6
195815226.018.40.5856.4
8.6
14518.216.90.5192.44.1
195915125.016.00.6107.9
9.9
15220.119.30.5111.43.3
196015325.519.10.5715.0
7.3
15321.319.10.5282.95.0
196115426.117.30.6027.6
10.1
15619.319.60.4960.62.8
196216229.618.10.62110.6
13.1
15317.819.10.482-0.61.3
196315724.719.10.5644.7
6.8
14619.320.20.4880.01.9
196415726.216.30.6169.1
11.2
14621.017.50.5453.55.4
196515726.517.60.6017.9
10.1
14418.316.90.5192.23.9
196615226.116.60.6118.3
10.3
15120.119.50.5081.63.4
196714117.914.60.5522.6
4.2
13415.218.20.456-1.50.1
196814824.116.80.5906.2
8.2
15720.620.90.4971.43.5
196911714.912.70.5401.6
3.1
15620.521.80.484-0.22.0
197013917.614.70.5442.0
3.7
14618.218.90.4910.52.4
197113618.111.80.6055.5
7.0
12514.516.00.476-0.01.5
1972889.77.70.5581.5
2.4
11013.812.90.5171.83.1
1973666.16.40.490-0.7
-0.1
13215.916.90.4851.22.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS2,992465.3329.80.585114.8
155.2
2,601329.9328.10.50120.052.9


Article last updated: May 17, 2020

Wins over positional average and replacement level are calculated using data only for the 1973 season. Positional averages for starting pitching and relief pitching are calculated using single-year data for all starting pitchers and all relief pitchers.

All articles are written so that they pull data directly from the most recent version of the Player won-lost database. Hence, any numbers cited within these articles should automatically incorporate the most recent update to Player won-lost records. In some cases, however, the accompanying text may have been written based on previous versions of Player won-lost records. I apologize if this results in non-sensical text in any cases.

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