Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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1996 Season

The 1996 Season as seen through the Prism of Player Won-Lost Records

This article takes a look at the 1996 season as measured by Player won-lost records.

The Best of 1996

I calculate Player won-lost records two ways: pWins, which tie to team wins and eWins, which control for context and the ability of one's teammates. For players with more pWins than eWins, their Player wins contributed to more team wins than one might expect; for players with more eWins than pWins, just the opposite is true: their Player wins translated into fewer team wins than expected. Or more briefly: a player with more pWins than eWins was better in context, a player with more eWins than pWins was worse in context.

The top 10 players in pWins above Positional Average and Replacement Level were as follows.

pWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players
pWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players
Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
1John Smoltz18.111.87.3
9.1
1John Smoltz18.111.87.3
9.1
2Ken Caminiti23.816.07.2
9.1
2Ken Caminiti23.816.07.2
9.1
3Mike Piazza19.512.96.9
8.5
3Barry Bonds25.617.56.8
8.8
4Barry Bonds25.617.56.8
8.8
4Alex Rodriguez22.516.96.6
8.5
5J. Kevin Brown16.110.66.6
8.3
5Mike Piazza19.512.96.9
8.5
6Alex Rodriguez22.516.96.6
8.5
6J. Kevin Brown16.110.66.6
8.3
7Jeff Bagwell22.914.96.4
8.2
7Jeff Bagwell22.914.96.4
8.2
8Roberto Alomar21.616.36.2
8.0
8Pat Hentgen17.912.06.1
8.1
9Pat Hentgen17.912.06.1
8.1
9Roberto Alomar21.616.36.2
8.0
10Jim Thome20.414.16.1
7.7
10Jim Thome20.414.16.1
7.7


The top 10 players in eWins above Positional Average and Replacement Level were as follows.

eWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players
eWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1Alex Rodriguez23.216.28.1
9.9
1Alex Rodriguez23.216.28.1
9.9
2Barry Bonds26.117.07.9
9.9
2Barry Bonds26.117.07.9
9.9
3Greg Maddux17.210.77.8
9.5
3Greg Maddux17.210.77.8
9.5
4J. Kevin Brown16.410.47.4
9.0
4J. Kevin Brown16.410.47.4
9.0
5John Smoltz17.612.46.4
8.2
5John Smoltz17.612.46.4
8.2
6Mark McGwire16.79.96.1
7.4
6Gary Sheffield25.518.85.7
7.7
7Gary Sheffield25.518.85.7
7.7
7Ken Caminiti23.016.85.6
7.5
8Ken Caminiti23.016.85.6
7.5
8Pat Hentgen17.512.35.4
7.4
9Ken Griffey Jr.19.914.25.6
7.2
9Barry Larkin22.617.85.5
7.4
10Barry Larkin22.617.85.5
7.4
10Mark McGwire16.79.96.1
7.4


I take a look at some of the most interesting players of 1996 at the end of this article.

1996 Postseason

The 1996 postseason saw the first of two World Series matchups between the two teams with the strongest claim as the best team of the 1990s. The New York Yankees defeated the Atlanta Braves, 4 games to 2, to win their first World Series in 18 seasons and what would be the first of four World Series titles in five seasons.

1996 Postseason: Total
Player Team pWins pLosses pWORL
Bernie WilliamsNYA2.81.21.8
John SmoltzATL2.31.31.3
John WettelandNYA1.60.51.3
Mariano RiveraNYA1.30.31.2
Greg MadduxATL2.51.71.1
Cecil FielderDET1.90.91.0
Andruw JonesATL1.60.80.9
Dennis EckersleySLN0.90.10.9
Derek JeterNYA2.21.70.8
Tom GlavineATL1.71.30.8


Top postseason players by round were as follows.

1996 World Series
Player Team pWins pLosses Net Wins
Andruw JonesATL1.30.70.6
John WettelandNYA0.60.10.5
Greg MadduxATL0.90.40.5
Mariano RiveraNYA0.50.20.4
Jim LeyritzNYA0.50.10.4

1996 Postseason: League Championship Series
Player Team pWins pLosses Net Wins
Bernie WilliamsNYA1.40.41.1
Mark LemkeATL1.50.70.8
Cecil FielderDET1.00.40.6
Royce ClaytonSLN1.10.60.5
Darryl StrawberryNYA0.50.10.4

1996 Postseason: Division Series
Player Team pWins pLosses Net Wins
Brian JordanSLN0.70.20.5
John BurkettFLO0.80.30.5
Juan GonzalezTEX0.80.30.5
John SmoltzATL0.60.20.4
Brady AndersonBAL0.80.40.4


Best of 1996 by Factor and Position

Next, let's look at the top players in various aspects of the game.
Best by Factor: Batting, Baserunning, Pitching, Fielding
There are four basic factors for which players earn Player won-lost records: Batting, Baserunning, Pitching, and Fielding. The top players in 1996 in wins over positional average (WOPA) by factor were as follows.

Batting
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss eWOPA Player pWins pLoss pWOPA
1Gary Sheffield18.811.2
7.2
1Jeff Bagwell18.110.86.9
2Barry Bonds17.510.1
7.0
2Ken Caminiti17.410.16.8
3Mark McGwire14.47.9
6.5
3Mike Piazza16.99.96.6
4Jeff Bagwell17.611.3
5.8
4Barry Bonds17.310.46.5
5Jim Thome14.89.6
5.1
5Mark McGwire14.38.06.3
6Alex Rodriguez15.910.7
5.1
6Edgar Martinez15.69.56.2
7Ken Caminiti16.511.0
5.1
7Albert Belle17.611.56.2
8Edgar Martinez14.910.2
4.8
8Jim Thome15.39.16.1
9Albert Belle16.912.2
4.7
9Gary Sheffield18.211.86.0
10Mike Piazza15.910.9
4.6
10Steve Finley18.112.35.3
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
Baserunning
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss eWOPA Player pWins pLoss pWOPA
1Kenny Lofton2.21.5
0.6
1Kenny Lofton2.41.31.1
2Delino DeShields Sr.1.60.9
0.6
2Barry Larkin1.70.90.7
3Lance Johnson2.31.7
0.6
3Chipper Jones1.30.60.7
4Ray Durham1.40.8
0.5
4Tom Goodwin2.01.30.7
5Roberto Alomar1.50.9
0.5
5Roberto Alomar1.50.90.7
6Brian L. Hunter1.61.0
0.5
6Delino DeShields Sr.1.60.90.7
7Barry Bonds1.61.1
0.5
7Jose Valentin1.20.60.6
8Otis Nixon1.91.5
0.4
8Brian L. Hunter1.61.00.5
9Stan Javier0.80.4
0.4
9Paul Molitor1.61.10.5
10Tom Goodwin1.91.4
0.4
10Ray Durham1.30.80.5
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
Pitching
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLoss Net eWins Player pWins pLoss Net pWins
1Greg Maddux14.99.0
5.9
1John Smoltz16.210.06.2
2J. Kevin Brown14.48.7
5.7
2J. Kevin Brown14.68.56.2
3Mariano Rivera8.74.2
4.5
3Mariano Rivera9.33.55.8
4John Smoltz15.310.9
4.4
4Pat Hentgen17.511.95.6
5Pat Hentgen16.612.8
3.8
5Greg Maddux14.79.25.5
6Roger Clemens13.610.4
3.2
6Charles Nagy13.28.05.3
7Charles Nagy12.29.0
3.2
7Trevor Hoffman9.64.55.1
8Kevin Appier13.010.0
3.0
8Troy Percival8.13.44.7
9Roberto M. Hernandez8.75.7
3.0
9John Wetteland8.13.94.2
10Juan Guzman11.48.5
2.9
10Andy Pettitte14.510.34.2


Fielding by Position


Fielding, P
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Alex Fernandez0.50.2
0.4
1Mike Fetters0.50.00.5
2Kevin Ritz0.50.2
0.3
2Kevin Ritz0.60.10.4
3Bob Tewksbury0.40.1
0.3
3Alex Fernandez0.50.20.3
4Pat Hentgen0.40.1
0.3
4Bob Tewksbury0.40.10.3
5Mel Rojas0.30.0
0.3
5Mel Rojas0.30.00.3


Fielding, C
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Ivan Rodriguez2.21.2
0.9
1Ivan Rodriguez2.21.21.0
2Tom Lampkin0.90.4
0.5
2Charles Johnson1.81.20.5
3Kirt Manwaring1.30.9
0.4
3Dan A. Wilson1.61.10.5
4Charles Johnson1.71.3
0.4
4Tom Pagnozzi1.51.10.4
5Dan A. Wilson1.51.2
0.3
5Tom Lampkin0.80.40.4


Fielding, 1B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1John Mabry2.21.6
0.6
1Greg Colbrunn3.12.11.0
2Will Clark2.31.7
0.6
2Mark P. Johnson1.81.10.7
3Greg Colbrunn2.92.3
0.5
3Jose Offerman1.81.20.6
4John Olerud1.30.9
0.5
4Will Clark2.31.70.6
5Mark P. Johnson1.71.3
0.4
5Jeff Bagwell3.42.90.5


Fielding, 2B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Jody Reed5.44.8
0.7
1Fernando Vina5.84.21.5
2Ryne Sandberg5.04.4
0.6
2Roberto Alomar5.64.61.0
3Fernando Vina5.34.7
0.6
3Eric Young Sr.6.05.01.0
4Keith Lockhart2.62.1
0.5
4Jody Reed5.54.70.9
5Tomas Perez3.12.6
0.5
5Mark Lemke5.64.80.8


Fielding, 3B
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Vinny Castilla5.94.9
1.0
1Shane Andrews4.13.11.0
2Dave Hollins4.13.5
0.6
2Vinny Castilla5.94.91.0
3Scott Brosius3.32.7
0.6
3Scott Brosius3.42.60.7
4Tim Naehring3.42.8
0.6
4Dave Hollins4.13.50.7
5Shane Andrews3.93.3
0.6
5Robin Ventura4.53.80.7


Fielding, SS
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Jose Valentin6.25.5
0.7
1Kevin Stocker5.24.01.2
2Alex Rodriguez5.64.9
0.7
2David Howard5.74.61.1
3Rey Sanchez3.93.2
0.7
3Jose Valentin6.45.31.1
4Alex S. Gonzalez6.55.8
0.6
4Greg Gagne6.15.40.7
5Kevin Stocker4.94.3
0.6
5Alex Rodriguez5.64.90.7


Fielding, LF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Bernard Gilkey7.15.5
1.5
1Rusty Greer6.04.51.5
2Rusty Greer5.64.8
0.8
2Bernard Gilkey7.05.61.4
3Chad Curtis1.71.1
0.6
3Tony Phillips7.66.21.4
4Darren Bragg1.81.3
0.5
4Barry Bonds6.75.80.9
5Barry Bonds6.56.0
0.5
5Marty Cordova5.85.00.8


Fielding, CF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Brian L. Hunter5.24.0
1.2
1Marquis Grissom6.04.41.6
2Ray Lankford6.04.9
1.0
2Ray Lankford6.24.71.4
3Ken Griffey Jr.4.73.8
0.9
3Ernie Young5.44.41.0
4Ernie Young5.24.6
0.6
4Ken Griffey Jr.4.73.81.0
5Lance Johnson6.66.0
0.6
5Kenny Lofton5.64.70.9


Fielding, RF
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses Net eWins Player pWins pLosses Net pWins
1Sammy Sosa6.44.9
1.6
1Sammy Sosa6.64.62.0
2Reggie L. Sanders3.32.2
1.0
2Paul O'Neill6.04.02.0
3Raul Mondesi Sr.7.36.3
1.0
3Reggie L. Sanders3.42.11.3
4Dave Martinez1.81.1
0.8
4Moises Alou4.33.01.3
5Manny Ramirez6.05.3
0.7
5David Justice2.11.20.9


Best by Position
Next, we look at 1996 Major-League leaders by position. The figures shown here only include Player decisions earned while playing this particular position.

Catcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Mike Piazza18.114.1
4.5
1Mike Piazza19.412.96.9
2Todd Hundley15.912.3
4.0
2Chris Hoiles10.98.92.6
3Benito Santiago12.010.6
1.7
3Ivan Rodriguez15.113.92.1
4Ivan Rodriguez14.914.2
1.6
4Tom Pagnozzi10.69.02.0
5Terry Steinbach12.311.7
1.4
5Todd Hundley14.813.41.9


First Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Jeff Bagwell22.315.5
5.0
1Jeff Bagwell22.914.96.4
2Mark McGwire14.69.0
4.8
2Mark McGwire14.98.75.5
3Frank E. Thomas16.912.7
3.1
3Rafael Palmeiro19.114.63.3
4Mo Vaughn17.213.4
2.8
4John Jaha11.07.43.0
5John Jaha10.87.6
2.6
5Mo Vaughn17.213.42.8


Second Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Chuck Knoblauch21.117.6
4.6
1Roberto Alomar20.415.65.7
2Roberto Alomar19.616.4
4.2
2Chuck Knoblauch21.117.64.6
3Craig Biggio22.020.0
2.7
3Craig Biggio22.419.63.5
4Ryne Sandberg19.017.2
2.5
4Ryne Sandberg19.416.73.4
5Eric Young Sr.18.717.8
1.5
5Eric Young Sr.19.217.32.5


Third Base
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Ken Caminiti22.717.1
4.9
1Ken Caminiti23.816.07.3
2Jim Thome19.214.9
4.1
2Jim Thome20.214.06.0
3Chipper Jones16.913.0
3.3
3Chipper Jones17.412.54.3
4Scott Brosius13.611.2
2.3
4Scott Brosius13.411.31.9
5Matt D. Williams13.310.7
2.2
5Jeff Cirillo16.615.01.5


Shortstop
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Alex Rodriguez22.816.5
7.4
1Alex Rodriguez22.516.96.7
2Barry Larkin22.218.1
4.8
2Barry Larkin22.018.34.4
3Jose Valentin17.816.8
2.0
3Greg Gagne16.114.32.3
4Cal Ripken19.419.2
1.4
4Cal Ripken19.918.72.3
5John Valentin14.214.0
1.1
5Jose Valentin17.916.72.3


Left Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Barry Bonds24.916.7
6.9
1Barry Bonds24.916.77.0
2Bernard Gilkey23.817.9
4.5
2Albert Belle22.918.64.6
3Greg Vaughn18.815.2
2.8
3Rusty Greer19.615.34.5
4Rusty Greer18.615.3
2.5
4Bernard Gilkey23.417.93.6
5Ellis Burks16.713.2
2.3
5Ron Gant17.113.23.5


Center Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Ken Griffey Jr.19.214.1
5.1
1Steve Finley24.718.75.5
2Brady Anderson20.716.1
4.6
2Ken Griffey Jr.19.014.24.7
3Ray Lankford20.817.3
3.0
3Ray Lankford21.616.54.7
4Eric Davis14.511.8
2.4
4Marquis Grissom23.318.34.4
5Steve Finley23.220.2
2.3
5Kenny Lofton21.518.33.2


Right Field
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Gary Sheffield25.319.0
4.9
1Paul O'Neill20.614.94.9
2Sammy Sosa20.415.7
3.5
2Manny Ramirez21.716.94.0
3Manny Ramirez21.217.4
2.9
3Gary Sheffield24.719.73.6
4Raul Mondesi Sr.22.919.2
2.3
4Sammy Sosa20.315.83.3
5Juan Gonzalez15.112.4
2.1
5Moises Alou16.712.43.2


Starting Pitcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Greg Maddux15.69.6
6.2
1J. Kevin Brown15.28.86.5
2J. Kevin Brown14.99.1
6.0
2John Smoltz16.510.26.5
3John Smoltz15.611.1
4.7
3Pat Hentgen17.912.06.1
4Pat Hentgen17.012.9
4.3
4Greg Maddux15.49.95.7
5Charles Nagy12.59.3
3.4
5Charles Nagy13.68.25.6
6Roger Clemens13.710.6
3.3
6Jeff Fassero14.910.94.2
7Kevin Appier13.210.2
3.2
7Tom Glavine14.410.44.2
8Juan Guzman11.68.7
3.0
8Andy Pettitte14.810.84.1
9Jeff Fassero14.211.5
2.9
9Alex Fernandez15.612.03.8
10Tom Glavine13.711.1
2.8
10Orel Hershiser14.010.43.7


Relief Pitcher
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Mariano Rivera8.94.3
4.5
1Mariano Rivera9.63.65.9
2Trevor Hoffman8.55.7
2.7
2Trevor Hoffman9.74.55.0
3Roberto M. Hernandez8.75.8
2.7
3Troy Percival8.13.54.4
4Mel Rojas7.04.6
2.2
4John Wetteland8.23.94.1
5Robb Nen6.74.5
2.1
5Mark Wohlers7.94.13.6
6Troy Percival6.84.8
1.8
6Robb Nen7.53.73.6
7Heathcliff Slocumb7.45.4
1.8
7Mel Rojas7.73.93.6
8Dan Plesac5.03.6
1.4
8Roberto M. Hernandez9.15.43.5
9Bruce Ruffin5.54.0
1.3
9Jeff Brantley7.54.03.4
10Mike Timlin5.33.9
1.3
10Mike Fetters6.93.73.1


Designated Hitter
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Edgar Martinez15.210.7
3.7
1Edgar Martinez15.810.14.9
2Jose Canseco8.06.4
1.1
2Geronimo Berroa8.56.61.4
3Reggie Jefferson4.53.3
1.0
3Paul Molitor14.512.51.1


Finally, here are the best at three oft-forgotten positions that can nevertheless matter: pitcher offense, pinch hitting, and pinch running.

Pitcher Offense
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Steve Avery1.11.1
0.6
1Donovan Osborne1.51.21.0
2Jim Bullinger0.90.6
0.6
2Steve Avery1.30.90.8
3Tom Glavine1.31.6
0.6
3John Smoltz1.61.70.8


Pinch Hitter
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1Billy Ashley1.20.4
0.8
1Billy Ashley1.30.31.0
2Thomas Howard1.20.6
0.7
2John Vander Wal1.91.01.0
3Ruben Amaro Jr.1.50.9
0.6
3Mark Whiten1.20.30.9


Pinch Runner
Context-Neutral Context-Dependent
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA Player pWins pLosses pWOPA
1David Hulse0.60.2
0.4
1David Hulse0.50.30.3
2Jesus Tavarez0.20.0
0.2
2Jesus Tavarez0.20.00.2
3Royce Clayton0.10.0
0.1
3Damon Mashore0.20.00.2


Noteworthy Players of 1996

Braves Ace: Greg Maddux or John Smoltz
According to all of the first four tables in this article, the best pitcher in major-league baseball in 1996 was a starting pitcher for the Atlanta Braves. If you look at pWins, which are tied to team wins and incorporate context, the best pitcher in major-league baseball was John Smoltz. But if you control for context and teammate quality, the best pitcher in baseball was Smoltz's teammate, Greg Maddux.

The next table compares the 1996 seasons of Greg Maddux and John Smoltz, as measured by Player won-lost records.

Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
Greg Maddux
35
16.211.75.6
7.4
17.210.77.89.5
John Smoltz
35
18.111.87.3
9.1
17.612.46.48.2


John Smoltz led the National League in innings pitched, strikeouts, K/9, pitcher wins, and pitcher winning percentage. Based on all of that (but probably mostly the 24 wins), he won the Cy Young Award. Greg Maddux actually put up a slightly lower ERA than Smoltz, however, 2.72 to 2.94. Smoltz's advantages in pWins are largely the result of the Braves going 26-9 in Smoltz's starts but only 20-15 in Maddux's starts. And a large part of that advantage was that the Braves scored 5.32 runs per 27 outs in Smoltz's starts versus 3.92 runs per 27 outs in Maddux's starts.

Some of that difference in run support was just dumb luck, but some of it was because Smoltz (.218/.253/.295) out-hit Maddux (.147/.183/.176), and some of it was because Maddux pitched with backup catcher Eddie Perez (.256/.293/.404) more frequently than Smoltz did, while Smoltz pitched almost exclusively with Javy Lopez (.282/.322/.456) behind the plate.

One other advantage that Smoltz enjoyed over Maddux was that, by leading the league in strikeouts and K/9, Smoltz did more of the job of defense himself without relying on his defense. In fact, according to Fangraphs, Smoltz actually had a slightly better FIP (Fielding Independent Pitching) than Maddux in 1996, 2.64 to 2.73.

It may or may not be fair to give Smoltz credit for pitching in more win-favorable conditions, but it's hard to argue with the results.

The next table compares the careers of Greg Maddux and John Smoltz, as measured by Player won-lost records.

Greg Maddux John Smoltz
Season Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL
198661.62.3-0.5
-0.3
1987349.913.6-2.9
-1.6
19883717.212.55.7
7.4
124.46.4-1.8-1.2
19893515.914.03.0
4.8
3314.312.72.54.1
19903515.614.91.7
3.5
3814.615.60.11.9
19913915.714.02.7
4.4
3814.513.51.93.6
19923517.512.36.3
8.0
3617.016.11.83.9
19933617.913.55.4
7.1
3515.314.61.63.3
19942514.48.07.0
8.4
218.99.6-0.30.9
19952816.57.410.0
11.4
2911.710.81.53.0
19963516.211.75.6
7.4
3518.111.87.39.1
19973314.29.26.0
7.4
3616.414.92.54.4
19983417.012.06.2
8.0
2613.17.76.17.3
19993315.712.93.7
5.4
2913.410.83.34.7
20003517.012.26.0
7.7
20013516.011.75.6
7.3
364.32.41.92.5
20023513.510.14.3
5.9
7510.34.06.07.6
20033713.314.00.4
2.1
625.62.43.13.9
20043414.613.12.5
4.2
737.83.54.05.2
20053512.314.8-1.2
0.3
3313.511.82.64.2
20063413.312.42.1
3.6
3515.313.63.04.7
20073511.711.31.4
2.8
3212.910.93.14.6
20083410.113.8-2.8
-1.3
62.42.00.60.9
2009
 
154.96.5-1.4-0.7
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS759327.2271.778.2
114.0
735238.8201.849.777.9


Position Player Comparison: Barry Larkin vs. Mike Piazza
Another comparison of how context can affect relative value is Cincinnati Reds shortstop Barry Larkin versus Los Angeles Dodgers catcher Mike Piazza.

The next table compares their 1996 seasons, as measured by Player won-lost records.

Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
Barry Larkin
152
22.018.34.4
6.3
22.617.85.57.4
Mike Piazza
148
19.512.96.9
8.5
18.414.04.96.4


Barry Larkin's 1996 performance translated into somewhat fewer Reds' wins than expected while Piazza's performance produced slightly more Dodgers' wins than expected. The reason for this was basically the timing of their performances. Baseball-Reference shows players' batting splits for various splits. One breakdown they show is by the "leverage" of the situation.

Overall in 1996, Barry Larkin's OPS was .977. By leverage, his OPS in high-leverage situations was .890; in medium leverage, .940; and, in low leverage, 1.036.

For Mike Piazza, the split was just the opposite. His overall OPS of .985 broke down between high, medium, and low leverage as 1.238, .966, and .887, respectively.

For both Larkin and Piazza, the extremity of these splits by leverage in 1996 were unusual. For his career, Larkin's OPS splits were .806/.825/.810 in high/medium/low-leverage situations. For his career, Piazza's splits were .929/.891/.949 in high/medium/low-leverage situations.

The next table compares the careers of Barry Larkin and Mike Piazza, as measured by Player won-lost records.

Barry Larkin Mike Piazza
Season Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL
1986415.54.51.2
1.7
198712514.514.01.2
2.5
198815122.819.14.2
6.3
19899713.510.03.9
5.0
199015822.518.35.0
6.8
199112319.015.34.2
5.8
199214021.516.16.1
7.8
211.21.8-0.6-0.5
199310013.512.31.7
2.9
14918.113.54.96.4
199411016.013.63.1
4.5
10712.59.73.24.3
199513119.915.15.5
7.2
11214.610.24.75.9
199615222.018.34.4
6.3
14819.512.96.98.5
1997738.28.20.3
1.1
15218.113.45.06.5
199814520.016.64.0
5.9
15118.613.26.17.7
199916122.417.65.5
7.5
14117.914.04.66.1
200010211.713.0-0.9
0.3
13617.911.86.47.9
2001455.74.71.1
1.6
14116.713.34.46.0
200214514.515.3-0.4
1.2
13513.613.21.42.8
2003707.86.61.4
2.1
676.46.40.30.9
200411110.710.60.4
1.5
12911.211.9-0.90.3
2005
 
1139.710.6-0.40.5
2006
 
12610.910.60.61.7
2007
 
836.67.1-0.9-0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS2,180291.5249.551.9
77.9
1,911213.7173.645.765.1


Top AL Pitcher: Pat Hentgen
The only American League pitcher to appear in any of the first four tables of this article is Toronto Blue Jays pitcher Pat Hentgen. Hentgen led the American League in innnings pitched (265.2), complete games (10), shutouts (3), and home runs allowed per nine innings (0.7). He was second in the league in ERA (3.22) and pitcher wins (20). It was a strong performance for which he deservedly won the American League Cy Young award.

Unfortunately, Pat Hentgen suffered the fate of so many major-league pitchers. Although he was only 27 in 1996, he only had one more good year left in him. The 1997 season was the last one in which Hentgen pitched 200 innings. Pat Hentgen's career, as measured by Player won-lost records, is shown in the next table.

Pat Hentgen
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1991TOR22
3
0.20.10.1
0.1
0.20.20.00.0
1992TOR23
28
1.81.50.3
0.6
1.51.7-0.20.0
1993TOR24
34
14.311.42.9
4.5
12.712.9-0.11.5
1994TOR25
24
12.69.03.6
5.1
11.99.72.23.7
1995TOR26
30
11.612.6-0.9
0.8
11.812.4-0.51.1
1996TOR27
35
17.912.06.1
8.1
17.512.35.47.4
1997TOR28
35
15.014.40.8
2.8
15.613.82.03.9
1998TOR29
29
10.712.4-1.5
0.0
10.912.2-1.10.5
1999TOR30
34
10.211.0-0.6
0.8
10.211.0-0.70.7
2000SLN31
33
12.413.6-0.2
1.4
12.413.5-0.01.6
2001BAL32
9
3.32.90.5
1.0
3.42.80.81.2
2002BAL33
4
1.22.6-1.4
-1.1
1.42.4-0.9-0.7
2003BAL34
28
8.89.8-0.8
0.5
8.99.7-0.50.8
2004TOR35
18
4.28.0-3.6
-2.8
5.07.2-2.0-1.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
344
124.3121.15.4
21.7
123.5121.84.120.4
------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
3
1.51.7 0.11.41.7 -0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
347
125.7122.7
21.8
124.9123.5 20.4


Top Relief Pitcher: Mariano Rivera
The top relief pitcher in MLB, as measured by either pWins or eWins over positional average was Hall-of-Famer Mariano Rivera. This was Rivera's first season as the best relief pitcher in baseball - but not his last. It was also arguably the most valuable season of his career, mostly because he had a career high in innings pitched in 1996 - by 27 innings over his second-highest total.

In 1996, Rivera pitched 107.2 innings in 61 games, all in relief. He only finished 14 games and earned only 5 saves (the first 5 saves of his career). But he also earned 8 traditional pitcher wins and 26 holds while striking out 130 (50 more than in his second-highest season) with an ERA of 2.09. Oh, and he then added 14.1 IP in the postseason, allowing only one run (a 0.63 ERA).

The next table shows Mariano Rivera's career, as measured by Player won-lost records.

Mariano Rivera
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1995NYA25
19
4.04.2-0.3
0.4
4.04.3-0.20.4
1996NYA26
61
9.63.65.9
7.2
9.14.14.86.1
1997NYA27
66
7.24.13.1
4.2
6.54.81.72.8
1998NYA28
54
6.41.94.3
5.2
5.13.21.72.6
1999NYA29
66
6.52.53.9
4.9
6.22.93.24.1
2000NYA30
66
7.54.03.4
4.6
7.34.32.94.1
2001NYA31
71
8.84.04.4
5.8
8.24.63.24.6
2002NYA32
45
4.93.90.9
1.9
4.74.10.71.7
2003NYA33
64
7.12.94.1
5.1
6.33.72.73.7
2004NYA34
74
9.43.65.5
6.8
8.74.34.15.4
2005NYA35
71
7.63.24.3
5.4
7.33.63.64.7
2006NYA36
63
7.03.43.4
4.5
6.83.62.94.0
2007NYA37
67
6.43.92.3
3.4
6.14.21.72.8
2008NYA38
64
7.52.64.7
5.8
6.83.33.44.5
2009NYA39
66
6.23.13.0
4.0
5.73.71.92.8
2010NYA40
61
5.63.32.1
3.1
5.53.42.03.0
2011NYA41
64
6.22.83.3
4.2
5.63.42.13.0
2012NYA42
9
0.70.30.4
0.5
0.70.30.40.5
2013NYA43
64
7.13.73.1
4.3
6.44.41.72.9
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,115
125.961.161.9
81.3
116.870.244.363.7
------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
96
12.93.5 10.911.45.0 8.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,211
138.864.6
92.2
128.275.2 71.6


Notable Debuts
One player who debuted in 1996 has made the Hall-of-Fame so far as I write this (in 2019), but three additional players who debuted that year appear on the 2020 BBWAA Hall-of-Fame ballot. The career records of these four players are compared below.

Vladimir Guerrero Sr. Bobby Abreu
Season Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL
199690.61.0-0.5
-0.4
140.50.6-0.1-0.1
19979010.912.0-2.1
-1.0
585.75.8-0.50.1
199815923.219.91.4
3.6
15118.714.82.64.3
199916024.721.31.5
3.7
15221.516.63.35.1
200015424.320.62.5
4.6
15422.919.12.64.6
200115925.322.30.9
3.4
16223.319.02.85.0
200216126.318.26.6
8.9
15721.316.83.25.2
200311217.313.42.8
4.3
15823.418.13.95.9
200415622.817.94.4
6.5
15922.918.73.25.3
200514120.614.75.3
6.9
16223.118.33.75.5
200615621.518.92.0
3.9
15622.718.04.05.9
200715022.615.66.3
8.1
15820.318.80.72.4
200814318.714.73.3
5.0
15621.519.31.53.3
20091008.48.7-0.6
0.5
15219.918.70.52.4
201015216.513.42.7
4.6
15418.417.9-0.21.5
201114510.112.5-3.1
-1.6
14212.411.40.41.9
2012
 
997.57.9-0.60.2
2013
 
2014
 
753.64.3-0.8-0.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS2,147293.8245.033.4
61.2
2,419309.4264.030.258.2


Scott Rolen Andruw Jones
Season Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL
1996374.34.4-0.3
0.1
313.33.10.00.3
199715621.018.81.7
3.6
15316.513.12.74.1
199816021.717.53.7
5.6
15922.316.85.07.0
199911215.111.33.7
4.9
16225.019.05.47.5
200012816.114.71.4
2.8
16124.118.25.37.3
200115120.415.64.5
6.4
16123.319.53.35.6
200215522.417.64.6
6.7
15421.717.93.25.3
200315420.916.54.3
6.1
15622.818.34.26.2
200414223.013.88.5
10.4
15421.917.83.75.7
2005567.06.00.8
1.4
16024.818.16.38.1
200614217.617.2-0.6
1.0
15622.418.14.05.8
200711213.512.90.1
1.2
15419.419.1-0.11.6
200811513.911.62.1
3.3
754.97.3-2.6-2.0
200912815.312.23.1
4.4
827.16.60.21.0
201013317.514.92.4
3.9
1079.99.40.21.1
2011657.87.80.1
0.9
765.94.01.82.3
2012918.98.8-0.3
0.6
946.06.4-0.60.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS2,037266.5221.639.8
63.3
2,195281.1232.841.967.0


Farewell Seasons
Finally, the 1996 season was the final season for three Hall-of-Famers: Andre Dawson, Ozzie Smith, and Alan Trammell.

The next table compares the career Player won-lost records for Smith and Trammell. They're kind of an obvious comparison, as both of them were shortstops with Smith being the far better fielder (and baserunner) and Trammell the far better hitter.



Ozzie Smith Alan Trammell
Season Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL
1977
 
190.81.3-0.5-0.4
197815920.921.80.4
2.4
13914.714.11.73.1
197915617.319.1-0.5
1.3
14213.813.81.22.5
198015821.121.31.2
3.2
14618.916.83.75.3
198111013.115.5-1.4
0.2
10513.812.32.64.0
198214019.517.03.4
5.1
15717.015.22.94.3
198315920.117.92.7
4.4
14218.616.33.34.8
198412417.915.83.3
4.8
13920.015.26.17.8
198515822.518.35.3
7.2
14917.919.8-0.11.6
198615318.716.92.8
4.5
15119.517.73.24.9
198715822.917.56.3
8.1
15123.116.08.310.0
198815322.317.85.1
7.1
12820.914.96.98.7
198915520.619.02.6
4.4
12114.714.80.92.3
199014316.017.4-0.6
0.9
14619.717.13.85.4
199115020.717.63.7
5.5
10013.212.51.42.6
199213218.516.72.6
4.3
293.93.60.60.9
199314118.318.10.9
2.7
11213.411.42.43.6
19949810.812.5-1.0
0.1
767.110.1-2.4-1.5
1995444.85.6-0.6
-0.1
746.77.6-0.30.4
1996827.56.80.9
1.6
664.17.4-2.9-2.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS2,573333.3312.537.3
67.7
2,292281.6257.942.668.1


Add it all up and you get virtually identical results, at least when measured via pWins over replacement level (pWORL).

Ozzie Smith also makes for an interesting comparison to the other Hall-of-Famer whose career ended in 1996, Andre Dawson.

Ozzie Smith Andre Dawson
Season Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss pWOPA pWORL
1976
 
242.53.4-1.0-0.7
1977
 
13916.415.40.31.9
197815920.921.80.4
2.4
15722.518.73.05.0
197915617.319.1-0.5
1.3
15522.818.53.35.3
198015821.121.31.2
3.2
15122.318.63.04.9
198111013.115.5-1.4
0.2
10318.113.24.25.9
198214019.517.03.4
5.1
14824.116.96.68.5
198315920.117.92.7
4.4
15923.219.82.74.6
198412417.915.83.3
4.8
13820.118.10.32.1
198515822.518.35.3
7.2
13921.017.42.64.4
198615318.716.92.8
4.5
13016.516.5-1.10.4
198715822.917.56.3
8.1
15323.220.11.63.6
198815322.317.85.1
7.1
15722.218.72.14.1
198915520.619.02.6
4.4
11815.512.81.93.2
199014316.017.4-0.6
0.9
14720.120.0-0.81.0
199115020.717.63.7
5.5
14916.916.6-0.80.7
199213218.516.72.6
4.3
14318.317.5-0.01.7
199314118.318.10.9
2.7
12111.211.1-0.21.2
19949810.812.5-1.0
0.1
755.87.0-1.7-0.8
1995444.85.6-0.6
-0.1
795.97.5-2.1-1.4
1996827.56.80.9
1.6
421.71.9-0.2-0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS2,573333.3312.537.3
67.7
2,627350.4309.723.655.4


Dawson's and Smith's careers were almost exactly the same length so that both of them are thought of, I think, as something of career Hall-of-Fame candidates. But Andre Dawson had a wonderful peak when he was young, from about age 23 through 28 (1978 - 1983), and then hung around for quite a while as a decent - and, eventually, a below-average - guy.

In contrast, Ozzie Smith was brilliant defensively from day one but could not hit major-league pitching worth a lick for several years. In 1979, for example, he won a "Reverse Triple Crown", finishing last in the National League (among batting qualifiers) in batting average (.211), home runs (0), and RBI (27). But Ozzie improved such that, by 1984, he was actually a slightly above-average batter (although that "average" included pitchers). Having finally figured out how to be at least competent as a hitter, while continuing to be an outstanding fielder, Smith had a later peak than Dawson, running from about age 27 through age 34 (1982 - 1989).

Their peaks end up barely overlapping, although for one season, 1983, they played the same number of games (159) and earned the same number of pWOPA.

The last two tables here compare their careers from 1978 - 1982 - Dawson's peak before Smith really learned to hit - and then from 1984 - 1993, when Smith was at his best while Dawson was already heading (somewhat gracefully) into his decline phase.

1978 - 1982
Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
Ozzie Smith
723
91.994.63.2
12.1
91.295.32.411.3
Andre Dawson
714
109.886.020.2
29.5
108.187.716.726.0


1984 - 1993
Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
Ozzie Smith
1467
198.3175.032.1
49.5
195.0178.325.643.0
Andre Dawson
1395
185.1168.75.5
22.3
185.8168.17.023.8


Article last updated: November 17, 2019

Wins over positional average and replacement level are calculated using data only for the 1996 season. Positional averages for starting pitching and relief pitching are calculated using single-year data for all starting pitchers and all relief pitchers.

All articles are written so that they pull data directly from the most recent version of the Player won-lost database. Hence, any numbers cited within these articles should automatically incorporate the most recent update to Player won-lost records. In some cases, however, the accompanying text may have been written based on previous versions of Player won-lost records. I apologize if this results in non-sensical text in any cases.

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