Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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The 2006 Season as seen through the Prism of Player Won-Lost Records



Next in my continuing series of looking at individual seasons through the prism of Player won-lost records is the 2006 season.

The Best of 2006

I calculate Player won-lost records two ways: pWins, which tie to team wins and eWins, which control for context and the ability of one's teammates. For players with more pWins than eWins, their Player wins contributed to more team wins than one might expect; for players with more eWins than pWins, just the opposite is true: their Player wins translated into fewer team wins than expected. Or more briefly: a player with more pWins than eWins was better in context, a player with more eWins than pWins was worse in context.

The top 10 players in pWins above Positional Average and Replacement Level were as follows.

pWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players
          pWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players
Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL           Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
1Albert Pujols23.212.74.3
5.6
1Albert Pujols23.212.74.3
5.6
2Carlos Beltran23.014.64.0
5.4
2Carlos Beltran23.014.64.0
5.4
3David Ortiz19.111.33.3
5.1
3David Ortiz19.111.33.3
5.1
4Derek Jeter22.717.13.2
4.7
4Derek Jeter22.717.13.2
4.7
5Johan Santana15.99.93.0
4.4
5Johan Santana15.99.93.0
4.4
6Frankie Rodriguez8.93.22.8
3.6
6Carlos Guillen22.217.82.6
4.1
7Brandon Webb15.110.62.8
4.0
7Brandon Webb15.110.62.8
4.0
8Carlos Guillen22.217.82.6
4.1
8Chase Utley22.217.72.5
3.9
9Justin Morneau21.615.02.6
3.9
9Justin Morneau21.615.02.6
3.9
10Chase Utley22.217.72.5
3.9
10Jim Thome15.810.32.3
3.9


The top 10 players in eWins above Positional Average and Replacement Level were as follows.

eWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players
          eWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL           Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1Albert Pujols22.013.93.1
4.4
1David Ortiz18.611.92.8
4.6
2Carlos Beltran21.915.72.9
4.2
2Albert Pujols22.013.93.1
4.4
3David Ortiz18.611.92.8
4.6
3Carlos Beltran21.915.72.9
4.2
4Brandon Webb15.010.72.7
3.9
4Chase Utley22.317.62.5
4.0
5Johan Santana15.410.42.6
3.9
5Johan Santana15.410.42.6
3.9
6Chase Utley22.317.62.5
4.0
6Brandon Webb15.010.72.7
3.9
7Ryan Howard21.314.42.5
3.7
7Jim Thome15.810.32.3
3.9
8Grady Sizemore23.018.52.3
3.8
8Grady Sizemore23.018.52.3
3.8
9Jim Thome15.810.32.3
3.9
9Travis Hafner15.09.52.3
3.8
10Travis Hafner15.09.52.3
3.8
10Ryan Howard21.314.42.5
3.7


NL MVP Race
The best player in the major leagues in 2006, as measured by pWins over positional average or replacement level, was St. Louis Cardinals first baseman Albert Pujols. Looking at (context-neutral, teammate-adjusted) eWins, an MVP case could be made for Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Brandon Webb or Philadelphia Phillies second baseman Chase Utley. New York Mets centerfielder Carlos Beltran also deserved to be in the MVP conversation.

The voters chose Philadelphia Phillies first baseman Ryan Howard. Howard had a very good season - he even led the major leagues in batting wins over non-pitcher average. But other players were better.

I compared Pujols's and Howards's 2006 seasons briefly in a previous article which looked at road park factors and how they can affect player value. I also wrote an article about Brandon Webb when he announced his retirement last year.

I will close this section by comparing the careers of the top two players in the major leagues in pWOPA and pWORL in 2006: Albert Pujols and Carlos Beltran. Carlos Beltran has amassed a career value that puts him near the borderline for Hall-of-Fame consideration; Albert Pujols is, of course, well over that borderline.

Albert Pujols Carlos Beltran
Year Games Wins Losses Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL Games Wins Losses Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL
1998
 
141.62.20.424-0.3-0.1
1999
 
15619.921.40.481-0.90.7
2000
 
9810.111.50.466-0.80.1
2001
16123.417.80.5682.1
3.8
15521.320.10.5150.62.4
2002
15724.218.60.5662.1
3.8
16220.020.20.497-0.21.5
2003
15723.114.90.6073.2
4.7
14118.615.50.5471.63.0
2004
15421.513.40.6173.2
4.6
15922.618.70.5471.83.4
2005
16120.714.50.5892.3
3.6
15119.918.60.5170.41.8
2006
14323.212.70.6474.3
5.6
14023.014.60.6134.05.4
2007
15820.114.20.5872.3
3.5
14420.015.50.5632.13.3
2008
14819.112.30.6072.6
3.8
16124.217.90.5752.94.5
2009
16024.814.70.6283.8
5.3
8111.09.10.5490.91.6
2010
15922.114.70.6012.7
4.1
646.87.00.495-0.20.4
2011
14719.413.50.5902.1
3.4
14219.517.70.5250.21.7
2012
15418.115.00.5471.1
2.5
15120.716.00.5641.83.2
2013
999.69.40.5060.0
1.0
14519.317.10.5290.41.8
2014
15917.914.40.5541.2
2.6
10910.010.20.496-0.30.8
2015
15717.715.20.5380.7
2.2
13315.614.90.510-0.01.2
2016
15216.414.20.5350.7
2.4
15115.914.90.5160.31.7
2017
14913.214.10.484-0.3
1.3
1298.59.30.475-0.40.7
2018
11711.811.80.499-0.3
0.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS2,692346.2255.30.57633.9
58.9
2,586328.5292.50.52914.138.8


AL MVP Race
The actual MVP race was a close race between a Minnesota Twin and New York Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter. Based on pWins over either positional average or replacement level, Player won-lost records would seem to agree. Except for one thing: based on Player won-lost records, the Minnesota Twins' MVP candidate was Johan Santana, but the actual 2006 AL MVP was Santana's teammate, first baseman Justin Morneau.

I take a somewhat closer look at these three players next.

Derek Jeter
Derek Jeter might have had more written about him than any other recent major-league player. On the one hand, he is adored, regarded by some as the greatest New York Yankee of all time. On the other hand, he is regarded by others as the worst defensive shortstop in major-league history.

Googling to find the examples in the previous paragraph, I came across this article with the headline, "Derek Jeter, Still Baseball's Most Underrated Overrated Player". I think that headline hits the nail pretty well on the head. And I think this dichotomy can perhaps best be seen in Derek Jeter's MVP vote totals through his career.

On the one hand, Derek Jeter received MVP votes in 12 seasons and he ranks 42nd in career MVP shares at Baseball-Reference.com. That would seem to support the "Jeter is overrated" hypothesis. On the other hand, based on Player won-lost records, Derek Jeter was among the top two players in the American League in pWins over positional average (pWOPA), replacement level (pWORL), or both three times: 1998, 1999, and 2006. Derek Jeter finished 3rd, 6th, and 2nd in MVP voting those three years. To some extent, I think that Derek Jeter is so over-rated that he's under-rated.

Derek Jeter's career, as measured by Player won-lost records, is shown in the next table.

Derek Jeter
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1995NYA21
15
1.01.60.379-0.3
-0.2
1.21.40.453-0.10.0
1996NYA22
157
18.319.60.483-0.0
1.5
18.519.30.4900.21.7
1997NYA23
159
21.420.30.5131.3
2.9
20.621.00.4950.62.2
1998NYA24
149
23.216.70.5813.9
5.5
21.918.00.5492.64.2
1999NYA25
158
26.217.80.5954.9
6.6
24.519.50.5573.35.0
2000NYA26
148
20.616.60.5532.5
4.0
19.517.70.5251.53.0
2001NYA27
150
20.317.30.5402.0
3.6
20.017.60.5311.73.3
2002NYA28
157
20.417.50.5392.0
3.5
19.618.30.5181.22.7
2003NYA29
119
16.012.80.5551.9
3.1
15.113.70.5241.12.2
2004NYA30
154
22.918.10.5582.9
4.5
21.319.70.5191.32.9
2005NYA31
159
23.220.40.5332.0
3.6
22.920.70.5261.73.3
2006NYA32
154
22.717.10.5703.2
4.7
21.418.40.5381.93.4
2007NYA33
156
21.418.10.5422.0
3.4
20.319.20.5130.82.3
2008NYA34
150
18.517.80.5100.9
2.3
18.218.10.5020.62.0
2009NYA35
153
19.516.50.5412.0
3.3
19.017.10.5261.42.8
2010NYA36
157
20.420.10.5040.7
2.3
19.820.80.4880.11.6
2011NYA37
131
16.115.40.5100.6
1.9
15.615.90.4960.21.4
2012NYA38
159
20.218.80.5181.2
2.7
20.019.00.5131.02.5
2013NYA39
17
1.51.80.464-0.1
0.0
1.41.90.428-0.2-0.1
2014NYA40
145
15.818.00.468-0.8
0.5
15.318.60.450-1.4-0.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,747
369.5322.40.53432.9
59.6
356.1335.80.51519.546.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
158
21.318.40.536 3.521.819.60.526 3.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,905
390.8340.80.534
63.2
377.9355.40.515 49.5


Johan Santana
The best pitcher in the American League in 2006 (and, arguably, in the major leagues) was Johan Santana of the Minnesota Twins. The 2006 season was the last of three consecutive seasons over which Johan Santana led American League pitchers in pWOPA and pWORL (he led all major-league pitchers in 2004 and 2006). Santana remained very good for three more seasons after 2006, although the last of these (2009) was injury-shortened (25 games). Unfortunately, that was mostly the end of Johan Santana's run as an elite major-league pitcher.

The next table compares the careers of Johan Santana and another pitcher whose run as the best pitcher in baseball was cut short by injuries, Sandy Koufax, as measured by Player won-lost records.

Johan Santana Sandy Koufax
Age Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL
19
 
122.52.40.5100.10.3
20
 
163.44.40.440-0.4-0.0
21
302.43.20.424-0.4
-0.1
345.35.80.479-0.20.4
22
151.61.30.5380.1
0.3
4010.212.00.461-0.60.3
23
277.55.50.5771.0
1.8
359.79.40.5070.41.2
24
4510.36.10.6302.2
3.2
3710.612.40.459-0.70.3
25
3415.48.10.6563.7
5.1
4217.615.70.5271.42.8
26
3314.58.50.6293.0
4.2
2811.89.20.5631.72.6
27
3415.99.90.6163.0
4.4
4022.613.20.6315.26.9
28
3313.510.80.5551.4
2.8
2915.911.10.5872.84.1
29
3415.111.80.5612.1
3.5
4325.014.50.6325.97.6
30
2511.39.20.5501.4
2.4
4123.016.00.5904.15.8
31
2912.612.70.4970.4
1.6
32
 
33
218.410.00.456-0.6
0.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS360128.597.30.56917.3
29.3
397157.6126.20.55519.732.4


Justin Morneau
The winner of the official 2006 American League MVP award was Justin Morneau, who narrowly defeated Derek Jeter. This decision was widely disdained in sabermetric circles.

Using the measure of Player won-lost records that most closely matches other sabermetric measures, eWins, over either positional average or replacement level, Justin Morneau was not among the top 25 players in the American League in 2006.

And yet, Justin Morneau's name appears in two of the top 10 lists above: not at the top among American Leaguers, but within the top four at least.

The next table presents Justin Morneau's 2006 season, as measured by Player won-lost records, both in and out of context.

Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
Justin Morneau
157
21.615.00.5902.6
3.9
20.016.60.5461.02.3


Putting Justin Morneau's 2006 season in context, it turns out to have been worth approximately 1.6 more wins to the Minnesota Twins than expected.

It turns out that the timing of Justin Morneau's hitting in 2006 was extremely favorable to the Twins. Overall, for the season, Morneau batted .321/.375/.559, an OPS of .934. In extra innings, Morneau batted .500/.545/1.375, an OPS of 1.920! In tie games, Morneau batted .324/.370/.613/.983. For the season, 47% of Morneau's plate appearances came with runners on base (309 out of 661), but he hit 56% of his home runs with runners on base (19 of 34).

Baseball-Reference divides plate appearances into three buckets by leverage: high, medium, and low. Morneau's OPS in high-leverage plate appearances was 1.027.

But, to me, the most amazing split of Justin Morneau's 2006 batting stats is this one. In (94) Twins victories, Morneau batted .371/.421/.661 (1.082 OPS) with 27 HRs and 109 RBI (in 418 PAs). In (63) Twins losses, Morneau batted .235/.296/.382 (.679 OPS) with 7 HRs and only 21 RBI in 243 PAs.

On average, hitters generally perform better in team wins than in team losses - that's one reason why teams win those games, of course. But generally not to that extent. For the 2006 AL as a whole, batters hit .311/.380/.512/.892 in team wins and .235/.294/.355/.650 in team losses. Morneau's teammate, Joe Mauer, hit .404/.493/.586/1.080 in team wins and .266/.328/.393/.720 in team losses. The OPS difference for the AL as a whole was .242, for Mauer it was .360; for Morneau, it was .403.

2006 Postseason

The 2006 postseason had several great moments. Billy Beane's Oakland A's finally won a postseason series. The New York Mets carried the momentum of a 97-win regular season through a 3-game sweep of the Los Angeles Dodgers only to be shocked in 7 games by the St. Louis Cardinals.

The American League pennant was won by the Detroit Tigers, winner of 24 games more than the season before and 52 wins more than three years earlier. For the National League, the pennant winner was the 83-win St. Louis Cardinals, although that 83 wins was a little misleading as this was essentially the same team that had won 100 and 105 games the two previous regular seasons. The Cardinals won the World Series in five games.

The best performers in the 2006 postseason, as measured by Player won-lost records, are presented in the next table.

2006 Postseason: Total
pWins pLosses pWORL
Kenny RogersDET2.10.70.8
Albert PujolsSLN2.71.40.7


Top postseason players by round were as follows.

2006 Postseason: World Series
pWins pLosses pWORL
Albert PujolsSLN1.10.40.3
Scott RolenSLN0.90.30.3
Jeff WeaverSLN1.10.80.3
Kenny RogersDET0.60.20.3
Chris Carpenter (1997)SLN0.60.20.3
Adam WainwrightSLN0.50.10.2
David EcksteinSLN0.80.50.2
Anthony ReyesSLN0.50.20.2
Ramon SantiagoDET0.30.10.1
Preston WilsonSLN0.50.40.1
Jim EdmondsSLN0.60.50.1
Yadier MolinaSLN0.50.50.1
So TaguchiSLN0.40.30.1
Sean CaseyDET0.60.50.1

2006 Postseason: League Championship Series
pWins pLosses pWORL
Jeff SuppanSLN1.10.30.5
Magglio OrdonezDET1.10.30.4
Carlos BeltranNYN1.30.70.4

2006 Postseason: Division Series
pWins pLosses pWORL
Chris Carpenter (1997)SLN1.10.60.4
Kenny RogersDET0.80.30.3
Jeremy BondermanDET0.50.10.3
Tom GlavineNYN0.60.20.3
Jay PaytonOAK0.70.20.2
Milton BradleyOAK0.60.20.2
Chris R. YoungSDN0.50.20.2
Eric ChavezOAK0.50.10.2
Carlos GuillenDET0.60.30.2
Jose B. ReyesNYN0.60.20.2
Jeff WeaverSLN0.50.10.2
Barry ZitoOAK0.70.40.2
Carlos DelgadoNYN0.50.20.2
Chien-Ming WangNYA0.50.20.2
Craig MonroeDET0.70.40.2
Tyler JohnsonSLN0.40.10.2
Albert PujolsSLN0.80.50.2
Marco ScutaroOAK0.50.30.2
Ron BelliardSLN0.60.40.2
Shawn GreenNYN0.50.20.2


Best of 2006 by Factor and Position

Next, let's look at the top players in (context-neutral, teammate-adjusted) eWins over Positional Average in various aspects of the game.
Best by Factor: Batting, Baserunning, Pitching, Fielding
There are four basic factors for which players earn Player won-lost records: Batting, Baserunning, Pitching, and Fielding. The top players in 2006 in eWOPA by factor were as follows.

Batting
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Ryan Howard16.910.23.2

Positional Average excludes pitcher offense



As I noted earlier, I wrote an article that pointed out that the road ballparks in which Ryan Howard played in 2006 were disproportionately pitchers' parks. Controlling for that helps to boost his batting value to the best in the major leagues.

Baserunning
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Ichiro Suzuki2.11.20.4
Carl Crawford1.81.00.4

Positional Average excludes pitcher offense



Pitching
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Brandon Webb12.58.63.9
Johan Santana12.89.33.5
Derek Lowe11.68.33.2


Fielding, P
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Josh Johnson0.70.20.6


It's actually a little amazing to realize that Greg Maddux apparently deserved his 16th Gold Glove.

Fielding, C
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Yadier Molina1.71.20.5


Fielding, 1B
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Albert Pujols3.02.30.6


Fielding, 2B
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Chase Utley6.04.61.4


Fielding, 3B
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Freddy Sanchez3.72.51.3


Fielding, SS
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Adam Everett6.54.71.7


Fielding, LF
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Reed Johnson2.91.91.0


Fielding, CF
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Vernon Wells5.64.70.9


Fielding, RF
eWins eLosses Net Wins
Ryan Freel2.61.61.0


Best by Position
Next, we look at 2006 Major-League leaders in eWOPA by position. The figures shown here only include Player decisions earned while playing this particular position, and include no contextual adjustments (expected or actual).



Catcher
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Brian McCann12.19.51.5
Jorge Posada12.810.71.5
Joe Mauer12.910.81.5


First Base
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Albert Pujols19.812.82.6


Second Base
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Chase Utley22.117.72.4


Third Base
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Miguel Cabrera20.115.61.8


Shortstop
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Derek Jeter21.018.02.0


Left Field
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Alfonso Soriano25.020.61.4
Manny Ramirez17.914.51.4


Center Field
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Carlos Beltran21.215.42.7


Right Field
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Jermaine Dye20.817.01.7


Starting Pitcher
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Brandon Webb12.98.92.0
Johan Santana13.19.51.8


Relief Pitcher
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Takashi Saito4.52.31.1


For relief pitchers, context-neutral records may not be the best measure of how good they are, as context can matter a great deal, depending on how a pitcher is used. Here are the top relief pitchers of 2006 in context, in terms of pWins and pWOPA.

Top Relief Pitchers of 2006, based on pWORL
Player pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL
Frankie Rodriguez8.93.20.7352.83.6
Joe Nathan6.71.80.7852.43.0
B.J. Ryan7.13.00.7012.02.7
Bobby Jenks7.73.90.6621.92.7
J.J. Putz6.82.80.7102.02.6


Designated Hitter
eWins eLosses eWOPA
David Ortiz16.111.02.0
Travis Hafner13.48.91.8
Jim Thome13.99.31.8


Finally, here are the best at three oft-forgotten positions that can nevertheless matter: pitcher offense, pinch hitting, and pinch running.

Pitcher Offense
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Carlos Zambrano1.11.40.4


Pinch Hitter
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Daryle Ward1.81.20.4


Pinch Runner
eWins eLosses eWOPA
Reggie Abercrombie0.20.00.1
Chris Roberson0.20.00.1
Damian Jackson0.10.00.1


Finally, to close out this article, I take a closer look at the surprise team of 2006.

Remarkable Turnaround: 2006 Detroit Tigers

The 2003 Detroit Tigers lost an American League record 119 games, winning 5 of their final 6 to just barely avoid finishing worse that the 120-loss New York Mets. Three years later, the 2006 Detroit Tigers were the talk of the baseball world, winning 95 games and the American League pennant.

How did they do it?

The next three tables divide the players on the 2006 Detroit Tigers into three groups and look at how those groups of players performed, as measured by Player won-lost records.

The first table shows the 2006 Player won-lost records for players who played on both the 2003 and 2006 Detroit Tigers. The players in this table are sorted by pWins over replacement level in 2006.

2006 Detroit Tigers who were also on 2003 Detroit Tigers
(sorted by pWORL)
Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
Jeremy Bonderman
34
13.910.51.7
3.0
13.810.61.62.9
Brandon Inge
159
19.616.01.6
2.8
18.716.90.61.9
Craig Monroe
147
17.915.70.7
2.1
17.016.7-0.21.1
Nate Robertson
32
13.212.90.2
1.6
12.913.3-0.21.2
Fernando Rodney
63
5.64.10.7
1.4
5.44.30.51.2
Mike Maroth
13
3.42.50.5
0.8
2.73.2-0.20.1
Jamie Walker
56
1.61.20.2
0.4
1.51.30.10.3
Omar Infante
78
5.65.9-0.1
0.3
5.85.80.10.5
Wilfredo Ledezma
24
2.83.0-0.1
0.3
3.02.80.10.4
Chris Spurling
9
0.10.10.0
0.0
0.10.10.00.0
Ramon Santiago
43
1.62.1-0.2
-0.1
1.62.1-0.2-0.1
Dmitri Young
48
2.93.9-0.6
-0.2
3.23.5-0.30.1


The Tigers had two regulars who had been with them three years earlier, although Brandon Inge switched positions between the two seasons, moving from catcher to third base. Both Inge and Monroe performed better in 2006 than they had in 2003.

The 2006 Tigers also had three starting pitchers who had been with the team in 2003: Jeremy Bonderman, Nate Robertson, and Mike Maroth, as well as key relief pitcher Francisco Rodney.

But overall, the number of holdovers from the 2003 Tigers to the 2006 Tigers was fairly small.

The second table shows the 2006 Player won-lost records for players who played for the 2006 Detroit Tigers, who made their major-league debut after 2003. Again, the players in this table are sorted by pWins over replacement level in 2006.

2006 Detroit Tigers who debuted after 2003
(sorted by pWORL)
Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
Curtis Granderson
159
19.416.91.3
2.6
18.417.80.41.7
Justin Verlander
30
12.210.31.0
2.2
11.311.10.11.3
Joel Zumaya
62
7.24.91.1
1.9
6.75.40.61.4
Chris Shelton
115
9.88.20.5
1.1
9.28.8-0.10.5
Roman Colon
20
1.41.20.1
0.3
1.31.3-0.00.2
Zach Miner
27
4.65.2-0.3
0.3
4.65.1-0.20.3
Jordan Tata
8
0.30.3-0.0
0.0
0.30.30.00.0
Brent Clevlen
31
1.21.4-0.1
0.0
1.51.20.20.2
Mike Rabelo
1
0.00.00.0
0.0
0.00.00.00.0
Kevin Hooper
8
0.00.1-0.0
-0.0
0.00.0-0.00.0
Andrew Miller
8
0.30.5-0.1
-0.1
0.30.4-0.00.0
Jack Hannahan
3
0.00.2-0.1
-0.1
0.00.1-0.1-0.0


Historically, the best way for very bad teams to get better is with good young homegrown talent. The 2006 Tigers got some of this: 25-year-old centerfielder Curtis Granderson, 23-year-old starting pitcher (and 2006 AL Rookie of the Year) Justin Verlander, 21-year-old reliever Joel Zumaya, and 26-year-old first baseman (and Rule 5 pickup from the Pittsburgh Pirates following the 2003 season) Chris Shelton.

Finally, the third table shows the 2006 Player won-lost records for players who played for the 2006 Detroit Tigers, who also played in 2003, but not for the Tigers. Once again, the players in this table are sorted by pWins over replacement level in 2006.

2006 Detroit Tigers who played in 2003 for somebody else
(sorted by pWORL)
Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
Carlos Guillen
153
22.217.82.6
4.1
21.518.42.03.4
Kenny Rogers
34
11.99.91.0
2.2
11.010.90.11.3
Placido Polanco
110
14.312.41.2
2.2
12.913.8-0.10.8
Magglio Ordonez
155
20.219.00.4
1.8
20.119.10.21.6
Todd Jones
62
5.84.10.9
1.6
5.64.30.71.4
Marcus Thames
110
10.59.00.5
1.3
10.59.00.51.3
Ivan Rodriguez
136
12.512.60.3
1.2
12.712.40.51.4
Vance Wilson
56
3.63.10.4
0.6
3.43.40.10.3
Alexis Gomez
62
2.72.7-0.0
0.2
2.72.60.00.2
Jason Grilli
51
1.92.1-0.1
0.1
2.01.90.00.3
Chad Durbin
3
0.10.00.0
0.0
0.00.00.00.0
Matt Stairs
14
0.70.8-0.1
0.0
0.70.7-0.00.1
Bobby Seay
14
0.20.3-0.1
-0.0
0.20.3-0.00.0
Colby Lewis
2
0.00.2-0.1
-0.1
0.10.1-0.0-0.0
Neifi Perez
21
1.42.3-0.4
-0.3
1.62.2-0.3-0.2
Sean Casey
53
4.45.6-0.8
-0.4
4.55.5-0.7-0.4


This last table is the key one for the 2006 Tigers: between shrewd trading and judicious free-agent signings, the Tigers brought in five starting position players, a starting pitcher, and a closer, among others. Oh, and the 2006 Tigers added one more piece to the puzzle that's not reflected in these three tables: manager Jim Leyland.

Overall, an excellent building job by Dave Dombrowski and his staff.



All articles are written so that they pull data directly from the most recent version of the Player won-lost database. Hence, any numbers cited within these articles should automatically incorporate the most recent update to Player won-lost records. In some cases, however, the accompanying text may have been written based on previous versions of Player won-lost records. I apologize if this results in non-sensical text in any cases.

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