Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Lee Smith
2013 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Lee Smith

The first table below presents Lee Smith's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Lee Smith
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1980CHN22
18
0.60.70.462-0.1
0.0
1.10.80.5640.10.2
1981CHN23
40
3.14.20.424-0.7
-0.2
3.33.60.485-0.20.2
1982CHN24
72
6.15.60.5240.2
0.8
5.95.20.5300.30.9
1983CHN25
66
8.75.10.6281.5
2.4
5.23.70.5840.61.1
1984CHN26
69
9.65.50.6391.8
2.7
4.74.40.516-0.00.5
1985CHN27
65
10.26.00.6291.8
2.9
5.14.40.5360.20.8
1986CHN28
66
8.76.90.5590.7
1.6
4.64.10.5320.10.7
1987CHN29
62
7.55.70.5680.6
1.4
4.33.60.5480.20.7
1988BOS30
64
7.75.30.5931.0
1.7
4.13.60.5340.10.6
1989BOS31
64
5.13.70.5830.6
1.1
3.42.80.5420.10.5
32
64
8.74.20.6772.0
2.8
4.03.20.5560.30.7
1991SLN33
67
8.55.30.6181.4
2.4
3.63.20.5330.10.6
1992SLN34
70
7.14.70.6041.0
1.7
3.73.40.522-0.00.5
35
62
6.04.60.5660.6
1.3
2.82.80.499-0.10.3
1994BAL36
41
4.73.20.5920.7
1.2
2.01.70.5350.10.3
1995CAL37
52
5.53.80.5890.6
1.2
2.42.00.5480.10.4
38
54
2.42.50.493-0.1
0.2
2.62.50.513-0.00.3
1997MON39
25
0.81.20.394-0.3
-0.1
1.01.20.464-0.10.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,021
111.378.20.58713.3
25.1
63.756.00.5321.99.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
4
0.30.90.262 -0.20.30.40.398 -0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,025
111.679.20.587
24.9
64.056.40.532 9.2


Relief pitchers might be the hardest position to evaluate statistically. My Leaders page shows leaders by position using context-neutral eWins. But, of course, one key aspect of elite relief pitchers is that they tend to pitch in high-context situations, which magnifies their value. Exactly how much that value should be "magnified" is very much a debatable position, however.

Even if we want to give full credit for the increased context of relief pitcher performance, however, there are two aspects to the change in context. First, it simply increases the quantity of player decisions, so that, for example, Lee Smith earned 189.5 pDecisions (pWins + pLosses) versus only 119.7 eDecisions (i.e., his average context in his career was 1.58).

Second, the timing of a player's decisions can also affect the overall quality of the player's performance. Lee Smith not only accumulated more pDecisions than eDecisions; he also had a higher winning percentage within context than without.

Putting this together, the next two tables show the top 25 relief pitchers as measured by career pWOPA and career pWORL, respectively. For the purposes of these tables, I defined a player as a "relief pitcher" if he earned at least 10 (context-neutral) eWins in his career as a relief pitcher and more eWins as a relief pitcher than as a starting pitcher.

Top 25 Relief Pitchers, based on pWOPA
Player pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL
Mariano Rivera126.660.80.67629.642.3
Trevor Hoffman100.762.30.61816.627.4
Joe Nathan78.948.30.62013.822.2
Frankie Rodriguez90.056.90.61313.623.9
Jonathan Papelbon67.836.80.64813.520.8
Lee Smith111.378.20.58713.325.1
Billy Wagner80.050.40.61412.621.4
Rich Gossage131.3101.90.56311.725.7
John Franco103.874.40.58311.622.9
Dan Quisenberry71.444.50.61611.118.4
Troy Percival71.144.60.61511.018.9
Craig Kimbrel47.522.80.67610.915.9
Bruce Sutter88.462.60.58510.920.1
Kenley Jansen44.220.10.68810.915.4
John Wetteland71.747.60.60110.618.0
Tom Henke67.342.20.61510.517.4
Robb Nen63.138.60.62010.517.2
Hoyt Wilhelm138.7116.10.54410.425.8
Rollie Fingers121.197.30.5559.823.0
Doug Jones84.459.80.5859.818.8
Bob Wickman84.361.00.5809.518.9
Dave Righetti99.678.40.5609.019.2
Rick Aguilera96.378.30.5528.718.8
Keith Foulke56.636.40.6098.614.9
Joakim Soria51.330.70.6268.614.4


Top 25 Relief Pitchers, based on pWORL
Player pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL
Mariano Rivera126.660.80.67629.642.3
Trevor Hoffman100.762.30.61816.627.4
Hoyt Wilhelm138.7116.10.54410.425.8
Rich Gossage131.3101.90.56311.725.7
Lee Smith111.378.20.58713.325.1
Frankie Rodriguez90.056.90.61313.623.9
Rollie Fingers121.197.30.5559.823.0
John Franco103.874.40.58311.622.9
Joe Nathan78.948.30.62013.822.2
Billy Wagner80.050.40.61412.621.4
Jonathan Papelbon67.836.80.64813.520.8
Lindy McDaniel121.8105.60.5367.520.8
Bruce Sutter88.462.60.58510.920.1
Dave Righetti99.678.40.5609.019.2
Stu Miller107.292.40.5377.819.0
Bob Wickman84.361.00.5809.518.9
Troy Percival71.144.60.61511.018.9
Doug Jones84.459.80.5859.818.8
Rick Aguilera96.378.30.5528.718.8
Dan Quisenberry71.444.50.61611.118.4
John Wetteland71.747.60.60110.618.0
Roberto M. Hernandez87.367.30.5657.317.5
Tom Henke67.342.20.61510.517.4
Todd Jones84.364.70.5667.217.2
Robb Nen63.138.60.62010.517.2


2013 Hall of Fame Ballot Series


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