Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jeff Bagwell
2014 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Jeff Bagwell

The first table below presents Jeff Bagwell's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Jeff Bagwell
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1991HOU23
156
17.815.90.5280.2
1.5
18.015.60.5360.51.8
1992HOU24
162
22.616.90.5721.9
3.4
21.817.70.5511.02.6
1993HOU25
142
16.714.00.5440.5
1.7
17.413.30.5671.22.4
1994HOU26
110
17.19.90.6322.7
3.9
17.49.60.6433.04.2
1995HOU27
114
15.310.70.5891.5
2.6
15.110.80.5831.42.4
1996HOU28
162
22.915.00.6042.9
4.4
22.315.50.5912.43.9
1997HOU29
162
22.014.60.6012.3
3.8
22.614.00.6172.94.4
1998HOU30
147
19.313.30.5911.9
3.2
19.013.60.5831.72.9
1999HOU31
162
22.814.20.6163.3
4.7
21.815.20.5892.33.8
2000HOU32
159
18.715.60.5460.4
1.8
19.914.40.5801.63.0
2001HOU33
161
22.414.10.6143.1
4.6
21.115.30.5791.83.4
2002HOU34
158
19.515.10.5641.1
2.5
19.515.20.5621.12.5
2003HOU35
160
18.516.10.5350.3
1.7
18.815.90.5420.51.9
2004HOU36
156
16.714.00.5440.6
1.8
16.714.00.5440.61.8
2005HOU37
39
3.03.00.505-0.1
0.2
3.12.90.5190.00.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,150
275.3202.50.57622.7
41.8
274.7203.10.57522.141.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
33
2.53.40.423 -0.42.62.80.488 0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,183
277.8205.90.576
41.4
277.3205.90.575 41.1


The 2014 Hall-of-Fame ballot is Jeff Bagwell's 4th appearance on a Hall-of-Fame ballot. Last year, I did a series on the players on the 2013 Hall-of-Fame ballot. In my article last year on Jeff Bagwell, I compared him to Frank Thomas, with whom he shares a birthdate (May 27, 1968) and who joins him on this year's Hall-of-Fame ballot. They are a good statistical match for each other.

For this year's article, however, I am going to take a look at how Jeff Bagwell ranks on the list of the greatest first basemen in major-league baseball. The next table shows the top 10 players in (context-neutral, teammate-adjusted) eWins over positional average as first basemen. The numbers in this table refer only to eWins and eLosses compiled while the player was a first baseman and only include seasons for which I have calculated Player won-lost records (mostly since 1921).

Top 10 First Basemen
(ranked by career eWOPA at First Base)
Player eWins eLosses eWOPA
Lou Gehrig244.1164.028.0
Jimmie Foxx235.8164.123.5
Johnny Mize205.9145.920.9
Albert Pujols224.6165.020.7
Jeff Bagwell267.3199.620.3
Mark McGwire209.3151.520.1
Willie McCovey228.6175.714.9
Frank E. Thomas125.088.413.6
Joey Votto187.1144.413.3
Will Clark219.2173.012.9


Bagwell's ranking in the above table is impressive. One thing worth noting in Bagwell's favor on that list is that he has significantly more eWins than the players ahead of him on the list. Comparing Bagwell to a player like Mark McGwire relative to replacement level will make Bagwell look better by virtue of his longer career. The next table shows the top 10 players in career pWins over replacement level among players for whom at least half of their career wins were at first base.

Top 10 First Basemen
(ranked by total career pWORL)
Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
Albert Pujols346.2255.333.958.9
Lou Gehrig265.8160.140.358.0
Jimmie Foxx289.1195.134.454.8
Eddie Murray345.4284.918.644.9
Willie McCovey295.2220.823.444.5
Jeff Bagwell275.3202.522.741.8
Tony Perez307.0256.414.837.7
Jason Giambi234.7183.318.537.4
Johnny Mize216.0154.421.937.2
Mark McGwire219.8158.621.736.6


2014 Hall of Fame Ballot Series


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