Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Larry Walker
2014 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Larry Walker

The first table below presents Larry Walker's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Larry Walker
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1989MON22
20
1.51.40.5220.0
0.1
1.41.70.454-0.2-0.1
1990MON23
131
14.613.60.5190.2
1.2
15.913.40.5420.81.9
1991MON24
136
16.215.40.513-0.2
1.0
16.415.30.517-0.11.1
1992MON25
143
20.314.90.5772.3
3.6
18.614.30.5641.72.9
1993MON26
138
22.115.00.5963.1
4.5
20.015.40.5651.83.2
1994MON27
103
15.811.30.5831.6
2.7
14.711.00.5721.22.3
1995COL28
131
18.816.70.5290.3
1.7
18.515.40.5450.82.2
1996COL29
83
8.98.70.505-0.1
0.6
8.78.30.5130.00.7
1997COL30
153
24.417.60.5812.4
4.1
24.317.60.5802.34.0
1998COL31
130
16.114.30.5280.2
1.4
17.513.00.5721.52.7
1999COL32
127
16.413.20.5540.9
2.1
17.813.10.5761.72.9
2000COL33
86
11.110.60.512-0.1
0.8
11.210.80.508-0.20.7
2001COL34
142
19.314.60.5691.6
3.1
20.213.50.5982.64.1
2002COL35
136
19.615.10.5651.6
3.0
18.114.40.5571.22.6
2003COL36
143
17.615.10.5380.7
2.0
17.114.80.5360.61.8
37
82
10.08.20.5470.6
1.3
10.57.70.5761.11.9
2005SLN38
99
14.08.80.6152.2
3.1
11.19.00.5540.81.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,983
266.9214.70.55417.2
36.3
261.8208.80.55617.736.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
28
3.43.20.520 0.33.42.80.551 0.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,011
270.3217.80.554
36.6
265.2211.60.556 36.9


This is Larry Walker's fourth year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot. In my 2013 Hall-of-Fame ballot series, I compared Walker's 1994 and 1998 seasons and the very different contexts in which they took place.

This article follows up on a similar theme: how do we control for the context in which Larry Walker played? What does it mean to put up Triple Crown numbers of .366/49/130 when teams scored an average of 6.5 runs per team per game in your home park (Coors Field, 1997)? This article compares Larry Walker's most similar players as measured by Baseball-Reference.com, which looks only at raw offensive statistics without regard to context to Larry Walker's most similar players as I calculate them, controlling for context and considering all aspects of player value.

The next table shows the 10 players identified as most similar to Larry Walker at Baseball-Reference.com
Most Similar Players to Larry Walker
according to Baseball-Reference Similarity Scores
Wins over Baseline
Player Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL Batting Baserunning Fielding
Larry Walker
1,983
266.9214.717.2
36.3
19.91.13.7
Duke Snider
2,137
269.0201.226.2
45.4
22.8-1.16.3
Ellis Burks
1,996
242.9211.811.5
30.7
13.3-0.72.0
Carlos Beltran
2,585
328.9292.714.2
38.9
13.32.47.0
Moises Alou
1,937
257.0226.76.9
26.1
12.1-0.62.8
Jim Edmonds
2,008
256.8210.121.2
39.5
15.0-0.17.6
Miguel Cabrera
2,224
285.9227.222.3
41.5
25.3-0.50.8
Joe DiMaggio
1,700
280.1192.038.3
57.5
23.71.27.1
Johnny Mize
1,746
203.4145.720.7
35.2
23.80.31.5
Vladimir Guerrero
2,147
292.3247.714.0
37.0
18.8-0.52.9
Lance Berkman
1,879
240.5187.917.9
34.7
21.0-0.71.5

note: Player Won-Lost records have not been calculated for all of Joe DiMaggio's and Johnny Mize's careers.

Walker's BB-Ref most-similars are an odd bunch. Three Hall-of-Famers, but, frankly, all of whom were better than Larry Walker (and none of whom strike me as all that similar to Walker). A few modern guys with plausible Hall-of-Fame cases - Beltran, Edmonds, Cabrera, Guerrero, maybe Berkman. But Burks and Alou look like odd matches (although looking at their raw offensive statistics, it's easy enough to see how they made the list).

The next table shows the players that I calculate as the 10 players most similar to Larry Walker in career value.

Most Similar Players to Larry Walker in Value
Wins over Baseline
Player Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL Batting Baserunning Fielding
Larry Walker
1,983
266.9214.717.2
36.3
19.91.13.7
Jimmy Wynn
1,917
266.8227.012.2
32.2
19.01.13.5
Reggie Smith
1,984
262.3219.813.0
32.4
18.10.24.1
Bobby Abreu
2,418
307.8266.612.0
34.7
17.00.64.2
Billy Williams
2,484
329.8281.711.0
36.6
20.80.73.1
Darrell Evans
2,683
302.8259.214.9
37.6
17.2-0.34.0
Minnie Minoso
1,829
262.9213.915.2
34.5
12.90.94.5
Darryl Strawberry
1,581
217.9164.819.9
35.0
16.10.42.9
Wade Boggs
2,439
291.9254.318.5
39.8
15.60.36.6
Vladimir Guerrero
2,147
292.3247.714.0
37.0
18.8-0.52.9
Dwight Evans
2,597
326.9274.919.7
43.8
20.00.96.8


This list also includes three Hall-of-Famers. In addition to Williams, Brett, and Boggs, all four of the other players who are eligible, have been elected to the Hall of Merit (as has Larry Walker) and I suspect that at least Sheffield and Griffey will join them fairly quickly after they become eligible.

They're my Sim Scores so I'm not exactly objective, but I feel like that list of players gives a good sense of exactly how good a player - and how deserving a Hall-of-Fame candidate - Larry Walker really was.

2014 Hall of Fame Ballot Series


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