Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mark McGwire
2014 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Mark McGwire

The first table below presents Mark McGwire's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Mark McGwire
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1986OAK22
18
1.81.50.5430.1
0.3
1.51.70.457-0.2-0.0
1987OAK23
151
17.113.50.5591.0
2.2
18.013.10.5801.72.9
1988OAK24
155
19.313.20.5932.6
3.8
16.514.10.5390.81.9
1989OAK25
143
16.012.70.5580.9
1.9
15.612.90.5470.61.6
1990OAK26
156
18.613.20.5852.1
3.2
17.113.60.5571.12.3
1991OAK27
154
13.613.00.511-0.1
1.0
14.212.50.5330.51.6
1992OAK28
139
18.012.50.5902.2
3.4
17.712.00.5962.33.4
1993OAK29
27
3.52.60.5750.3
0.6
3.32.00.6300.60.8
1994OAK30
47
4.83.50.5740.4
0.8
4.13.20.5590.30.6
1995OAK31
104
13.88.00.6342.4
3.4
12.87.50.6302.23.0
1996OAK32
130
16.610.00.6232.8
3.9
15.59.20.6262.73.7
33
156
18.215.30.5430.4
1.7
19.013.40.5861.83.1
1998SLN34
155
21.412.80.6263.2
4.6
23.313.50.6333.75.2
1999SLN35
153
17.613.10.5731.4
2.6
20.813.80.6012.63.9
2000SLN36
89
10.45.70.6451.8
2.5
9.65.60.6311.52.1
2001SLN37
97
9.48.00.5380.1
0.9
8.37.40.529-0.00.7
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,874
220.1158.90.58121.9
36.7
217.3155.70.58322.236.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
42
2.74.10.402 -0.63.03.70.455 -0.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,916
222.8162.90.581
36.2
220.4159.30.583 36.6


This is Mark McGwire's eighth year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot. In my 2013 Hall-of-Fame ballot series, I looked at how many home runs a player in the 1970s would had to have hit to equal the value of Mark McGwire's home runs.

There is a natural tendency to compare players who accumulated their value similarly, so when we think of players "similar" to Mark McGwire, we naturally think of home-run hitting first basemen. For example, the players most similar to McGwire, according to Baseball-Reference.com, include Jason Giambi, Harmon Killebrew, Carlos Delgado, and Willie McCovey, all of whom were power-hitting first basemen.

But baseball players can accumulate value in a lot of different ways: batting, baserunning, fielding, pitching, hitting home runs, hitting doubles, etc.

The next table shows the players whose aggregate career value - as measured by both pWins and eWins, in both levels and also over positional average and replacement level - most closely matches the career value of Mark McGwire, but with no regard for how that value was accumulated.

Most Similar Players to Mark McGwire in Overall Career Value
Player Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
Mark McGwire
1874
220.1158.921.9
36.7
217.3155.722.236.8
Mike Piazza
1911
214.0174.922.4
38.4
206.5166.922.638.0
Arky Vaughan
1560
227.9188.721.8
39.1
224.6186.721.138.2
Johnny Mize
1746
203.4145.720.7
35.2
198.4140.221.135.1
Roy Halladay
416
171.5133.123.7
39.7
169.8135.821.537.6
Bret Saberhagen
399
154.9120.620.4
34.2
157.6122.520.934.9
Carlton Fisk
2497
251.4220.821.3
40.0
244.8214.321.139.3
Lou Boudreau
1646
230.1191.222.6
39.5
225.4192.619.536.3
Jim Edmonds
2008
256.8210.121.2
39.5
247.1204.519.237.0
Jeff Bagwell
2150
275.4202.422.3
41.3
270.1199.621.239.9
Clayton Kershaw
296
134.896.526.0
37.1
127.994.323.334.0


To me, that's a fun set of comps: 5 pitchers, 2 catchers, a first baseman, a second baseman, and a center fielder. What do Mark McGwire, Carlton Fisk, Bobby Grich, and Don Drysdale have in common? On the surface there's not a lot of similarities between a power-hitting first baseman who only managed to put together 11 healthy seasons, a catcher who played until he was 45 years old, a 4-time Gold Glove winning middle infielder, and a starting pitcher who pitched in 5 World Series and had a reputation as a headhunter. Except that they all put up similar career value - at a level of value that generally warrants serious Hall-of-Fame consideration.

2014 Hall of Fame Ballot Series


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