Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jason Schmidt

2015 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Jason Schmidt

The first table below presents Jason Schmidt's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Jason Schmidt
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1995ATL22
9
2.12.10.5030.0
0.3
1.41.70.456-0.10.0
23
19
6.07.10.459-0.2
0.5
5.87.20.444-0.40.3
1997PIT24
32
12.612.40.5040.7
2.1
11.210.60.5140.92.1
1998PIT25
33
12.715.00.458-0.5
0.9
12.713.40.4860.31.6
1999PIT26
33
12.612.30.5060.7
1.9
13.013.30.4950.41.7
2000PIT27
11
3.45.00.409-0.6
-0.2
3.94.40.472-0.10.4
28
25
10.19.10.5251.1
2.0
10.09.30.5180.91.9
2002SFN29
29
12.410.00.5531.7
2.8
11.910.20.5391.42.5
2003SFN30
29
14.38.40.6283.5
4.7
13.910.00.5822.63.8
2004SFN31
32
16.211.00.5963.5
4.9
15.310.60.5893.14.5
2005SFN32
29
10.79.90.5190.8
1.8
11.111.70.4860.21.3
2006SFN33
32
14.713.50.5211.4
2.8
13.812.50.5241.42.7
2007LAN34
6
1.82.50.424-0.2
0.0
1.82.00.4790.00.2
2009LAN36
5
1.41.80.433-0.1
0.0
1.11.60.411-0.2-0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
324
131.0120.10.52211.8
24.4
127.1118.60.51710.522.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
5
2.91.50.660 1.02.11.50.573 0.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
329
133.8121.60.522
25.5
129.1120.20.517 23.3


On August 30, 1996, Jason Schmidt was traded from the Atlanta Braves to the Pittsburgh Pirates to complete a deal the center of which was to bring Denny Neagle to the Braves.

This trade took place during the height of the Atlanta Braves' run as the best-run franchise in major-league baseball. Through this time period, the Braves developed a (mostly well-deserved) reputation as being particularly adept at trading away prospects who ended up not amounting to anything while holding on to their prospects who grew up to be productive major-league players - particularly pitchers. Jason Schmidt was definitely an exception to this rule - perhaps the only such exception until Adam Wainwright seven years later.

The next table compares Jason Schmidt to the top Braves' starting pitcher each year who came from outside of the Braves' system (excluding Greg Maddux, who joined the team in 1993), from 1997 through 2006. The comparison is made using context-neutral, teammate-adjusted eWins to avoid any contextual issues associated with the rest of the Braves team.

Jason Schmidt Atlanta Braves
Season eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL Player eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
199711.210.60.9
2.1
Denny Neagle15.412.32.33.8
199812.713.40.3
1.6
Denny Neagle12.612.70.61.8
199913.013.30.4
1.7
Terry Mulholland10.110.40.21.3
20003.94.4-0.1
0.4
John Burkett8.08.70.10.9
200110.09.30.9
1.9
John Burkett14.812.02.13.5
200211.910.21.4
2.5
Kevin Millwood14.011.71.83.1
200313.910.02.6
3.8
Russ Ortiz13.712.11.52.9
200415.310.63.1
4.5
Jaret Wright12.010.11.62.8
200511.111.70.2
1.3
Tim Hudson12.412.20.81.9
200613.812.51.4
2.7
Tim Hudson12.613.50.31.5
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
1997 - 2006116.8106.011.2
22.3
125.5115.711.323.4
The 2002 Atlanta Braves had only 4 games started by players who didn't make their major-league debut with the Braves or Greg Maddux. Millwood was the best starting pitcher for the 2002 Braves who is not currently in the Hall of Fame.

The Denny Neagle trade certainly worked out in the short term, as Neagle out-performed Schmidt in 1997 and 1998. But Neagle was gone from Atlanta by 1999 and Schmidt was better than what the Braves replaced him with. Schmidt was hurt in 2000 and played in only 11 games (and wasn't terribly good when he was playing), but from 2001 - 2006 Schmidt was a consistently excellent pitcher and decisively better than the Braves' alternative in three of six seasons.

Overall, from 1997 - 2006, the alternatives that the Braves used were slightly better than Schmidt, but by a total of fewer than three wins - not to mention that the Braves had to replace Jason Schmidt over this time period with 7 different pitchers, none of whom came to the Braves for free.

2015 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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