Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Lee Smith

2015 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Lee Smith

The first table below presents Lee Smith's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Lee Smith
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1980CHN22
18
0.60.70.462-0.1
0.0
1.10.80.5640.10.2
1981CHN23
40
3.14.20.424-0.7
-0.2
3.33.60.485-0.20.2
1982CHN24
72
6.15.60.5240.2
0.8
5.95.20.5300.30.9
1983CHN25
66
8.75.10.6281.5
2.4
5.23.70.5840.61.1
1984CHN26
69
9.65.50.6391.8
2.7
4.74.40.516-0.00.5
1985CHN27
65
10.26.00.6291.8
2.9
5.14.40.5360.20.8
1986CHN28
66
8.76.90.5590.7
1.6
4.64.10.5320.10.7
1987CHN29
62
7.55.70.5680.6
1.4
4.33.60.5480.20.7
1988BOS30
64
7.75.30.5931.0
1.7
4.13.60.5340.10.6
1989BOS31
64
5.13.70.5830.6
1.1
3.42.80.5420.10.5
32
64
8.74.20.6772.0
2.8
4.03.20.5560.30.7
1991SLN33
67
8.55.30.6181.4
2.4
3.63.20.5330.10.6
1992SLN34
70
7.14.70.6041.0
1.7
3.73.40.522-0.00.5
35
62
6.04.60.5660.6
1.3
2.82.80.499-0.10.3
1994BAL36
41
4.73.20.5920.7
1.2
2.01.70.5350.10.3
1995CAL37
52
5.53.80.5890.6
1.2
2.42.00.5480.10.4
38
54
2.42.50.493-0.1
0.2
2.62.50.513-0.00.3
1997MON39
25
0.81.20.394-0.3
-0.1
1.01.20.464-0.10.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,021
111.378.20.58713.3
25.1
63.756.00.5321.99.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
4
0.30.90.262 -0.20.30.40.398 -0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,025
111.679.20.587
24.9
64.056.40.532 9.2


This is Lee Smith's thirteenth year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot. In my 2013 Hall-of-Fame ballot series, I looked at how Smith ranked among all relief pitchers in career pWins over positional average and replacement level. In my 2014 Hall-of-Fame ballot series, I compared Lee Smith to the last relief pitcher elected to the Hall of Fame, Goose Gossage.



This year, I decided to move away from comparing relief pitchers to relief pitchers. The next table shows the 10 players most similar to Lee Smith in career value, as measured by Player won-lost records, with no regard for how the player accumulated that value.

Wins over Baseline
Player Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding
Lee Smith
1021
111.378.213.3
25.1
-0.5-0.02.20.2
Don Newcombe
449
142.5126.713.5
24.9
-0.0-0.13.40.3
Eddie Stanky
1259
159.2134.913.6
25.2
5.80.20.03.8
Ed Lopat
356
150.8135.712.8
25.3
-3.0-0.25.00.6
Evan Longoria
1435
179.9153.512.9
25.5
8.80.00.05.3
Eddie Rommel
394
113.297.010.3
20.5
-2.7-0.24.11.2
Andy Messersmith
348
143.1129.112.8
24.6
-3.0-0.08.20.3
Thurman Munson
1423
154.1133.212.8
24.5
4.50.10.02.6
Curt Davis
375
119.1107.29.5
20.0
-2.5-0.16.30.6
Joey Votto
1430
172.9129.314.2
25.3
19.6-0.60.00.5
David Price
269
107.484.513.8
24.1
-0.5-0.09.80.2


That's not a bad list. It includes two players who won a Cy Young and MVP award in the same season, although one of them is still mid-career and the other missed two seasons of his prime to military service.

The retired starting pitcher whose career was most similar in value to Lee Smith's appears to have been Jim Maloney, who pitched for the Cincinnati Reds in the 1960's.

Lee Smith's career is compared to Jim Maloney's career in the next table.

Lee Smith Jim Maloney
Age Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL
20
 
113.85.10.424-0.5-0.1
21
 
296.27.30.458-0.40.3
22
180.60.70.462-0.1
0.0
238.78.30.5130.61.3
23
403.14.20.424-0.7
-0.2
3318.512.70.5923.75.1
24
726.15.60.5240.2
0.8
3115.013.10.5331.63.0
25
668.75.10.6281.5
2.4
3417.713.20.5723.14.4
26
699.65.50.6391.8
2.7
3215.512.20.5592.13.3
27
6510.26.00.6291.8
2.9
3314.812.60.5401.72.8
28
668.76.90.5590.7
1.6
3513.814.10.4940.51.6
29
627.55.70.5680.6
1.4
3011.48.70.5671.92.8
30
647.75.30.5931.0
1.7
70.71.60.298-0.5-0.3
31
645.13.70.5830.6
1.1
130.81.80.309-0.5-0.4
32
648.74.20.6772.0
2.8
33
678.55.30.6181.4
2.4
34
707.14.70.6041.0
1.7
35
626.04.60.5660.6
1.3
36
414.73.20.5920.7
1.2
37
525.53.80.5890.6
1.2
38
542.42.50.493-0.1
0.2
39
250.81.20.394-0.3
-0.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS1,021111.378.20.58713.3
25.1
311126.8110.90.53313.323.8


Obviously Smith and Maloney match up very well in career value - that was, after all, why I chose Maloney for the comparison. But they actually got to that career value in fairly different ways. Measured by pWins over replacement level, Jim Maloney had five seasons better than Lee Smith's best season. But Lee Smith beat Maloney in total seasons with positive pWOPA, 14 - 8.

2015 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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