Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
Home     List of Articles



Luis A. Castillo

2016 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Luis A. Castillo

The first table below presents Luis A. Castillo's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Luis A. Castillo
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1996FLO20
41
5.64.80.5420.5
0.9
4.84.80.5000.10.5
1997FLO21
75
7.38.10.471-0.4
0.2
7.28.60.457-0.60.0
1998FLO22
44
4.15.30.436-0.6
-0.2
5.35.60.487-0.10.3
1999FLO23
127
15.315.10.5030.1
1.3
15.214.80.5060.21.3
2000FLO24
136
16.615.90.5110.5
1.8
18.315.80.5361.42.7
2001FLO25
134
15.616.30.489-0.3
1.0
15.315.60.495-0.21.2
2002FLO26
146
19.317.30.5271.2
2.7
19.218.50.5100.62.1
2003FLO27
152
20.718.60.5271.1
2.7
20.318.70.5210.92.4
2004FLO28
149
19.118.30.5090.5
1.9
18.117.30.5100.51.8
2005FLO29
122
14.614.50.501-0.1
1.0
14.613.60.5190.41.5
2006MIN30
142
17.418.60.483-0.2
1.1
16.618.50.473-0.50.7
31
135
16.016.60.492-0.2
1.0
16.316.40.4990.11.2
2008NYN32
87
8.110.80.429-1.4
-0.7
9.210.60.465-0.70.0
2009NYN33
142
16.116.50.495-0.3
0.9
15.316.10.488-0.50.7
2010NYN34
83
7.37.50.492-0.1
0.4
7.78.40.479-0.30.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,715
203.0204.10.4990.4
16.0
203.5203.30.5001.016.7
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
20
2.62.40.514 0.32.52.80.473 0.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,735
205.5206.50.499
16.3
206.0206.10.500 16.7


Over his career, Luis Castillo was remarkably average. I don't mean that as an insult: being a league-average major-league baseball player is both very rare and very valuable. And, as with most players Castillo was better - and, hence, solidly above average - for several seasons in the prime of his career. But overall, Luis Castillo's career wins over positional average (WOPA) was 0.36 in context and 1.01 out of context. Castillo's career winning percentage was also very close to 0.500.

Even beyond his basic record, Castillo was extremely average. Here are Castillo's (context-neutral) won-lost records divided between offense and defense.

Offense Defense
eWin eLoss Win Pct eWin eLoss Win Pct
146.3147.1
0.499
57.356.60.503


To be fair, those numbers are a little misleading. Castillo was average offensively because he combined below-average batting (for most of his career, Castillo had good OBP's but very little power) and above-average baserunning. But Castillo was a legimitately average fielder over the course of career, although, as with Castillo's career value, that average career value was accumulated through a combination of above-average and below-average seasons.

The next table breaks Castillo's career record down by position - he only played second base, pinch hitter, and pinch runner, in his career.

Wins over Positional Average
Second Base Pinch Hitter Pinch Runner
0.9-0.130.00


Again, very average.

So, how does Luis Castillo rate among the most average players in major-league history? I tried to find out. To do so, I looked at all players' total wins over positional average - for both pWins and eWins - wins over 0.500 on both offense (batting plus baserunning) and defense (pitching plus fielding) - and wins over positional average for all positions played. For each of these variables, I squared them. This has two effects. First, it makes all of the numbers positive, so being one win above average rates the same as one win below average. Second, by squaring (instead of, say, taking the absolute value), it penalizes numbers that are further from zero - so, for example, pWOPA and eWOPA both equal to two score lower than a pWOPA equal to zero and an eWOPA equal to three (4 vs. 9). I then added all of these numbers up and divided by total pWins. I made this adjustment because it is somewhat easier to be uniformly average the fewer player decisions one earns.

Having constructed this variable, then, I sorted all players for whom I have calculated Player won-lost records. Lower numbers would mean a more average player.

Even dividing by Player wins, the names at the top of the list tended to be players who played only a handful of games. The next table, then, shows the top 10 most average major-league players who accumulated 50 or more pWins in their career.

Player Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
Alex Kampouris67268.570.30.494-0.15.770.771.10.4990.56.5
Logan Forsythe73776.475.90.5020.36.173.473.80.498-0.25.4
Rick Waits31878.779.80.497-0.07.778.578.00.5020.78.3
Luis A. Castillo1,715203.0204.10.4990.416.0203.5203.30.5001.016.7
Rich Rollins1,00199.196.10.5080.38.398.697.20.504-0.57.5
Jerry Priddy1,296153.2154.50.4980.412.6153.8153.60.5001.113.3
Cass Michaels1,282140.1143.30.494-0.810.5147.2146.70.5011.112.8
D'Angelo Jimenez63966.867.10.4990.45.866.668.30.494-0.25.1
Kevin Kouzmanoff68575.575.80.499-0.94.772.371.80.502-0.44.9
Bill Hall1,046103.3101.60.5040.68.2104.0105.30.497-1.06.9


And voila! Luis Castillo was the most average baseball player in major-league history.

2016 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




Home     List of Articles