Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mark McGwire

2016 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Mark McGwire



The first table below presents Mark McGwire's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Mark McGwire
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1986OAK22
18
1.81.50.5430.1
0.3
1.51.70.457-0.2-0.0
1987OAK23
151
17.113.50.5591.0
2.2
18.013.10.5801.72.9
1988OAK24
155
19.313.20.5932.6
3.8
16.514.10.5390.81.9
1989OAK25
143
16.012.70.5580.9
1.9
15.612.90.5470.61.6
1990OAK26
156
18.613.20.5852.1
3.2
17.113.60.5571.12.3
1991OAK27
154
13.613.00.511-0.1
1.0
14.212.50.5330.51.6
1992OAK28
139
18.012.50.5902.2
3.4
17.712.00.5962.33.4
1993OAK29
27
3.52.60.5750.3
0.6
3.32.00.6300.60.8
1994OAK30
47
4.83.50.5740.4
0.8
4.13.20.5590.30.6
1995OAK31
104
13.88.00.6342.4
3.4
12.87.50.6302.23.0
1996OAK32
130
16.610.00.6232.8
3.9
15.59.20.6262.73.7
33
156
18.215.30.5430.4
1.7
19.013.40.5861.83.1
1998SLN34
155
21.412.80.6263.2
4.6
23.313.50.6333.75.2
1999SLN35
153
17.613.10.5731.4
2.6
20.813.80.6012.63.9
2000SLN36
89
10.45.70.6451.8
2.5
9.65.60.6311.52.1
2001SLN37
97
9.48.00.5380.1
0.9
8.37.40.529-0.00.7
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,874
220.1158.90.58121.9
36.7
217.3155.70.58322.236.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
42
2.74.10.402 -0.63.03.70.455 -0.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,916
222.8162.90.581
36.2
220.4159.30.583 36.6


This is Mark McGwire's tenth, and final, year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot. In my 2013 Hall-of-Fame ballot series, I looked at how many home runs a player in the 1970s would had to have hit to equal the value of Mark McGwire's home runs. In my 2014 Hall-of-Fame ballot series, I looked at the players whose aggregate career value - as measured by both pWins and eWins, in both levels and also over positional average and replacement level - most closely matched the career value of Mark McGwire, without regard for how that value was accumulated. In 2015, I looked at the players with the largest gap between batting and baserunning winning percentage.

This year, I am going to compare Mark McGwire to a Hall-of-Famer with a similar career profile: Johnny Mize. The next table compares Mark McGwire and Johnny Mize, as measured by Player won-lost records. I am missing some games for seasons before 1939. For those seasons of Mize's career for which I am missing some of his games, his record here is extrapolated based on the games for which I have data. Seasons with missing games are italicized in the table below.

Mark McGwire Johnny Mize
Age Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL
22
181.81.50.5430.1
0.3
23
15117.113.50.5591.0
2.2
12615.89.30.6292.43.6
24
15519.313.20.5932.6
3.8
14518.814.40.5671.22.6
25
14316.012.70.5580.9
1.9
14916.214.80.523-0.30.9
26
15618.613.20.5852.1
3.2
15220.113.90.5901.83.2
27
15413.613.00.511-0.1
1.0
15519.714.30.5791.93.3
28
13918.012.50.5902.2
3.4
12616.410.00.6212.33.5
29
273.52.60.5750.3
0.6
14220.812.30.6283.34.6
30
474.83.50.5740.4
0.8
31
10413.88.00.6342.4
3.4
32
13016.610.00.6232.8
3.9
33
15618.215.30.5430.4
1.7
10113.49.00.5991.52.4
34
15521.412.80.6263.2
4.6
15421.114.50.5942.43.8
35
15317.613.10.5731.4
2.6
15220.514.60.5852.84.3
36
8910.45.70.6451.8
2.5
11911.210.60.5130.21.1
37
979.48.00.5380.1
0.9
909.26.00.6041.21.8
38
 
1139.57.70.5520.71.4
39
 
783.53.70.484-0.20.2
40
 
813.43.10.5250.20.6
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS1,874220.1158.90.58121.9
36.7
1,883219.8158.40.58121.637.3

Numbers in italics are extrapolated to include games for which Retrosheet is missing play-by-play data.

Mize and McGwire had careers of very similar length - a difference of 10 games and 290 plate appearances - but for fairly different reasons. McGwire's career was cut short by injuries, which significantly shortened his 1993, 1994, 2000, and 2001 seasons, and led to his retirement after his age-37 season. Mize, on the other hand, played until he was 40, but missed three full seasons because of World War II.

Mize was more consistently excellent than McGwire, but McGwire's prime seasons would have certainly fit well within Johnny Mize's career.

2016 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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