Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Derrek Lee

2017 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Derrek Lee

The first table below presents Derrek Lee's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Derrek Lee
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1997SDN21
22
1.31.30.492-0.1
0.0
1.51.30.5330.00.1
1998FLO22
141
11.412.50.478-1.3
-0.3
12.411.70.514-0.40.5
1999FLO23
70
4.65.90.438-0.9
-0.5
4.55.40.456-0.7-0.3
2000FLO24
158
12.511.90.513-0.5
0.5
14.012.10.5370.11.2
2001FLO25
158
15.614.00.527-0.1
1.2
15.013.90.520-0.31.0
2002FLO26
162
18.214.50.5570.8
2.1
18.415.00.5520.62.0
2003FLO27
155
17.213.40.5611.0
2.2
18.013.70.5681.32.5
2004CHN28
161
18.415.60.5410.6
1.9
18.016.10.5290.21.5
2005CHN29
158
20.514.00.5942.3
3.6
21.514.40.5992.63.9
2006CHN30
50
5.25.00.507-0.2
0.2
4.94.50.524-0.00.3
2007CHN31
150
16.413.50.5490.8
1.8
16.414.10.5380.51.6
2008CHN32
155
19.215.30.5561.1
2.4
17.015.80.518-0.21.0
2009CHN33
141
18.414.10.5661.0
2.3
17.412.90.5741.22.4
34
148
14.814.60.503-0.8
0.3
14.314.00.505-0.70.4
35
113
10.511.20.484-0.8
0.0
11.310.90.510-0.30.6
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,942
204.0176.80.5363.1
17.7
204.8175.70.5384.018.6
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
27
2.23.00.428 -0.32.63.10.456 -0.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,969
206.3179.80.536
17.4
207.3178.80.538 18.4


This is Derrek Lee's first year appearing on a Hall-of-Fame ballot.

I have created a system of identifying the players most similar to a particular player, as measured by Player won-lost records. The player identified as most similar to Derrek Lee in career value is long-time New York Yankees first baseman Don Mattingly.

By traditional measures, Mattingly would seem to have been much more valuable than Lee over his career. Mattingly ended his career with a .307 lifetime batting average to .281 for Lee. Mattingly made 6 All-Star teams, won 7 Gold Gloves, and won an MVP award. Lee made 2 All-Star teams, won 3 Gold Gloves, and peaked in MVP voting at third in 2005.

But perception is not necessarily reality. The next table compares Derrek Lee's career to that of Don Mattingly, as measured by Player won-lost records.

Derrek Lee Don Mattingly
Age Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL Games pWins pLoss Win Pct. pWOPA pWORL
21
221.31.30.492-0.1
0.0
70.20.60.279-0.2-0.2
22
14111.412.50.478-1.3
-0.3
918.07.90.505-0.00.5
23
704.65.90.438-0.9
-0.5
15318.216.10.5320.61.9
24
15812.511.90.513-0.5
0.5
15921.416.10.5711.93.3
25
15815.614.00.527-0.1
1.2
16219.815.70.5591.62.9
26
16218.214.50.5570.8
2.1
14117.114.00.5500.82.0
27
15517.213.40.5611.0
2.2
14417.214.10.5501.12.3
28
16118.415.60.5410.6
1.9
15817.116.80.505-0.60.6
29
15820.514.00.5942.3
3.6
1028.911.70.431-1.8-1.0
30
505.25.00.507-0.2
0.2
15215.515.40.502-0.40.9
31
15016.413.50.5490.8
1.8
15717.217.40.497-0.70.7
32
15519.215.30.5561.1
2.4
13414.613.20.5250.21.3
33
14118.414.10.5661.0
2.3
9711.08.20.5720.91.8
34
14814.814.60.503-0.8
0.3
12811.412.60.474-1.1-0.2
35
11310.511.20.484-0.8
0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER RECORDS1,942204.0176.80.5363.1
17.7
1,785197.6179.60.5242.316.9


Lee and Mattingly had similar value in their best seasons - identical, as measured by pWORL - and Mattingly's second-best season was better than Lee's second-best season. They had similar value in their third-best seasons. But after that, Lee pulls decisively ahead, besting Mattingly in seasons of at least 2 pWORL, 7 to 4, and seasons of at least 1 pWOPA, 6 to 4, and Lee beats Mattingly in career pWins, 204.0 - 197.6, in career pWOPA, 3.1 - 2.3, and in career pWORL, 17.7 - 16.9.

2017 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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