Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Larry Walker

2017 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Larry Walker

The first table below presents Larry Walker's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Larry Walker
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1989MON22
20
1.51.40.5220.0
0.1
1.41.70.454-0.2-0.1
1990MON23
131
14.613.60.5190.2
1.2
15.913.40.5420.81.9
1991MON24
136
16.215.40.513-0.2
1.0
16.415.30.517-0.11.1
1992MON25
143
20.314.90.5772.3
3.6
18.614.30.5641.72.9
1993MON26
138
22.115.00.5963.1
4.5
20.015.40.5651.83.2
1994MON27
103
15.811.30.5831.6
2.7
14.711.00.5721.22.3
1995COL28
131
18.816.70.5290.3
1.7
18.515.40.5450.82.2
1996COL29
83
8.98.70.505-0.1
0.6
8.78.30.5130.00.7
1997COL30
153
24.417.60.5812.4
4.1
24.317.60.5802.34.0
1998COL31
130
16.114.30.5280.2
1.4
17.513.00.5721.52.7
1999COL32
127
16.413.20.5540.9
2.1
17.813.10.5761.72.9
2000COL33
86
11.110.60.512-0.1
0.8
11.210.80.508-0.20.7
2001COL34
142
19.314.60.5691.6
3.1
20.213.50.5982.64.1
2002COL35
136
19.615.10.5651.6
3.0
18.114.40.5571.22.6
2003COL36
143
17.615.10.5380.7
2.0
17.114.80.5360.61.8
37
82
10.08.20.5470.6
1.3
10.57.70.5761.11.9
2005SLN38
99
14.08.80.6152.2
3.1
11.19.00.5540.81.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,983
266.9214.70.55417.2
36.3
261.8208.80.55617.736.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
28
3.43.20.520 0.33.42.80.551 0.5
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,011
270.3217.80.554
36.6
265.2211.60.556 36.9


This is Larry Walker's 7th year on the BBWAA Hall-of-Fame ballot. Last year, he appeared on 15.5% of ballots.

I began writing articles about Hall of Fame candidates with the 2013 Hall-of-Fame ballot (which was released in late 2012), Larry Walker's third year on the ballot. Hence, this is the fifth article which I have written about Larry Walker.
For this year, I expand somewhat on the first article above and compare Larry Walker's years as a Montreal Expo to his years as a Colorado Rockie.

Walker was clearly more valuable over his career as a Colorado Rockie. He played the majority of his 17 seasons in Colorado (10). Furthering the gap with his time in Montreal, Walker did not reach his prime level of performance until his fourth season in Montreal, 1992, a level which he maintained essentially throughout his time in Colorado (the 2003 season being Walker's last full season in Colorado).

The next table compares an average prime Larry Walker season in Montreal (1992 - 1994) with an average Larry Walker season in Colorado (1995 - 2003). In calculating average games played, I extrapolated Walker's 1994 and 1995 season totals up to a 162-game season for his team.

Larry Walker
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Team Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct eWOPA eWORL
1992-94 Montreal Expos
142
21.515.20.5862.6
4.0
19.715.10.5661.7
3.1
1995-2003 Colorado Rockies
127
17.114.20.5470.8
2.1
17.213.60.5591.2
2.4


At first glance, Walker appears to have been considerably more valuable as an Expo than as a Rockie. This is due to two factors. First, Walker was healthier in Montreal. This is primarily due to the 1996 and 2000 seasons, when Walker played fewer than 90 games because of injuries. Second, Walker's performance as an Expo was somewhat more valuable in context (pWins) than out (eWins) while the exact opposite is true of his time as a Rockie (he has more eWOPA and eWORL than pWOPA and pWORL).

Controlling for these two effects - playing time and context - perhaps the cleanest comparative in the above table would be to compare eWin Pct, context-neutral winning percentage. Zeroing in on that number, the implication is clear: Larry Walker was basically the same player in his last three seasons in Montreal as he was throughout his career in Colorado.

2017 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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