Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Tim Raines

2017 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Tim Raines

The first table below presents Tim Raines's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Tim Raines
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1979MON19
0
0.00.00.0000.0
0.0
0.00.00.0000.00.0
1980MON20
9
0.40.70.332-0.2
-0.1
0.71.00.429-0.1-0.0
1981MON21
81
13.411.10.5470.7
1.7
13.010.20.5600.91.9
1982MON22
156
20.519.70.510-0.1
1.4
21.020.70.504-0.41.2
1983MON23
156
25.619.90.5622.0
3.7
25.519.70.5652.13.7
1984MON24
160
23.920.50.5381.0
2.7
24.119.20.5571.83.4
1985MON25
150
22.119.00.5380.9
2.4
22.417.40.5621.83.3
1986MON26
151
20.718.80.5240.3
1.7
23.119.10.5481.32.8
1987MON27
139
21.616.40.5671.9
3.4
20.816.00.5661.83.2
1988MON28
109
15.113.40.5300.4
1.4
15.513.40.5360.51.6
1989MON29
145
18.916.90.5280.3
1.6
19.616.70.5400.72.0
1990MON30
130
17.115.70.5220.1
1.3
17.315.40.5290.31.5
1991CHA31
155
17.318.20.488-0.7
0.8
18.718.30.506-0.01.5
1992CHA32
144
20.315.80.5622.0
3.4
20.316.10.5571.83.3
1993CHA33
115
15.012.00.5551.3
2.4
14.812.40.5430.92.0
1994CHA34
100
13.111.10.5420.9
1.9
12.111.70.5070.01.0
1995CHA35
133
14.715.80.481-0.9
0.5
15.815.90.498-0.41.0
1996NYA36
59
6.75.80.5340.3
0.8
6.45.80.5240.20.7
1997NYA37
74
8.67.10.5470.7
1.4
8.57.80.5240.31.1
1998NYA38
109
9.17.10.5590.8
1.7
8.88.20.5190.21.0
1999OAK39
58
3.95.00.435-0.6
-0.2
3.93.80.5060.00.3
41
51
3.43.30.509-0.0
0.3
3.12.60.5400.20.4
2002FLO42
97
1.82.50.422-0.3
-0.0
2.22.70.459-0.10.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,481
313.2275.90.53210.7
33.9
317.9274.20.53713.937.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
34
3.64.00.475 0.03.44.00.458 -0.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,515
316.8280.00.532
33.9
321.3278.20.537 37.1


This is Tim Raines's 10th and final year on the BBWAA Hall-of-Fame ballot. Last year, he appeared on 69.8% of ballots, finishing 23 votes short of election.

I began writing articles about Hall of Fame candidates with the 2013 Hall-of-Fame ballot (which was released in late 2012), Tim Raines's sixth year on the ballot. Hence, this is the fifth article which I have written about Tim Raines.
This year, I am going to look at the impact of labor strife on Tim Raines's career.

Tim Raines's games played by season are shown in the table below.

Year Games Played
19790
19809
198181
1982156
1983156
1984160
1985150
1986151
1987139
1988109
1989145
1990130
1991155
1992144
1993115
1994100
1995133
199659
199774
1998109
199958
200151
200297


Looking at the above table, without thinking about labor strikes, it appears that Tim Raines broke into the big leagues in 1979, but didn't become a regular until 1982, was a regular for 11 seasons, 1982 - 1992, missing significant time in one of those seasons (1988), along with less significant time missed in two other seasons (1987 and 1990), before transitioning into part-time play starting in 1993. Or, in one sentence, the above table makes it appear that Tim Raines's career consisted of maybe a decade as a regular (1982 - 92, less time missed in 1987, 1988, and 1990), followed by a decade of part-time play (1993 - 2002).

If you normalize Tim Raines's record to 162-game seasons, however, his games played look like this:

Year Games Played
19790
19809
1981122
1982156
1983155
1984161
1985151
1986152
1987139
1988108
1989145
1990130
1991155
1992144
1993115
1994143
1995149
199659
199774
1998109
199958
200151
200297


Now, we see that Tim Raines became a regular in 1981 and remained one through 1995, with two seasons with significant time missed (1988, 1993) and two seasons with less significant time missed (1987, 1990). Raines was not a starter for a decade who then hung around for another decade; he was a starter for 15 seasons, before hanging around for another 6 seasons of part-time work. That seems like a fairly significant difference in narrative to me.

Raines was also adversely affected by labor issues in 1987. That season, he was a victim of collusion which caused him to miss the first month (20 games) of that season. Adjusting for that as well, Raines played the equivalent of 140+ games 11 times and 150+ games 7 times.

If we were to adjust Tim Raines's career to account for missed games in 1981, 1987, 1994, and 1995, it would look like this.

Tim Raines
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Season Games pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1979
0
0.00.00.0
0.0
0.00.00.0
0.0
1980
9
0.40.7-0.2
-0.1
0.71.0-0.1
-0.0
1981
121.5
20.116.71.0
2.5
19.515.41.4
2.8
1982
156
20.519.7-0.1
1.4
21.020.7-0.4
1.2
1983
156
25.619.92.0
3.7
25.519.72.1
3.7
1984
160
23.920.51.0
2.7
24.119.21.8
3.4
1985
150
22.119.00.9
2.4
22.417.41.8
3.3
1986
151
20.718.80.3
1.7
23.119.11.3
2.8
1987
159
24.718.82.1
3.8
23.818.32.0
3.7
1988
109
15.113.40.4
1.4
15.513.40.5
1.6
1989
145
18.916.90.3
1.6
19.616.70.7
2.0
1990
130
17.115.70.1
1.3
17.315.40.3
1.5
1991
155
17.318.2-0.7
0.8
18.718.3-0.0
1.5
1992
144
20.315.82.0
3.4
20.316.11.8
3.3
1993
115
15.012.01.3
2.4
14.812.40.9
2.0
1994
143
18.815.91.2
2.7
17.216.80.0
1.5
1995
149
16.417.7-1.0
0.5
17.717.8-0.4
1.1
1996
59
6.75.80.3
0.8
6.45.80.2
0.7
1997
74
8.67.10.7
1.4
8.57.80.3
1.1
1998
109
9.17.10.8
1.7
8.88.20.2
1.0
1999
58
3.95.0-0.6
-0.2
3.93.80.0
0.3
2001
51
3.43.3-0.0
0.3
3.12.60.2
0.4
2002
97
1.82.5-0.3
-0.0
2.22.7-0.1
0.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,601
330.4290.511.5
36.0
334.5288.514.639.2


2017 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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