Brian Roberts

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Brian Roberts

2020 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Brian Roberts

Five facts about Brian Roberts:

Brian Roberts was named to two All-Star teams in his career, in 2005 and 2007.

Brian Roberts led the American League in doubles twice and in stolen bases once, all with totals of at least 50.

There have been 41 seasons in major-league history in which a player had at least 40 doubles and 40 stolen bases. Roberts had two such seasons.

There have been 20 seasons in major-league history in which a player had at least 40 doubles and 50 stolen bases. There have been 5 seasons in major-league history in which a player had at least 50 doubles and 40 stolen bases. Brian Roberts had one of each.

From 2004 - 2009, Brian Roberts hit 40 or more doubles five times in six seasons, including three seasons with at least 50 doubles. Overall, he hit 278 doubles in 910 games over these six seasons. Only three players have hit more than 278 doubles over a six-year span: Tris Speaker (all six-season stretches from 1918 - 1926), Joe "Ducky" Medwick (all six-season stretches from 1933 - 1941), and Todd Helton (from 1999 - 2004 or 2000 - 2005).

The first two tables below present Brian Roberts's career as measured by Player won-lost records, in and out of context.

Season	Team	Age	Games	pWins	pLosses	pWORL	pWOPA

Basic Player Won-Lost Records
						Value Decomposition
2001	BAL	23	75	6.0	9.0	-1.8	-2.6
2002	BAL	24	38	3.6	4.4	-0.3	-0.7
2003	BAL	25	112	12.6	14.0	0.4	-0.9
2004	BAL	26	159	18.0	19.8	0.7	-1.2
2005	BAL	27	143	19.0	18.1	3.1	1.4
2006	BAL	28	138	17.2	17.5	2.0	0.4
2007	BAL	29	156	19.6	20.5	1.4	-0.4
2008	BAL	30	155	18.4	19.5	1.1	-0.6
2009	BAL	31	159	20.6	19.8	3.1	1.2
2010	BAL	32	59	7.0	6.8	1.0	0.3
2011	BAL	33	39	5.5	5.2	0.9	0.4
2012	BAL	34	17	1.6	2.7	-0.8	-1.0
2013	BAL	35	77	8.1	7.5	1.5	0.7
2014	NYA	36	91	9.5	9.8	0.9	-0.0
			------	------	------	------	------
CAREER (reg. season)			1,418	166.6	174.7	13.2	-3.3
			------	------	------	------	------
PostSeason (career)			0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
			------	------	------	------	------
COMBINED			1,418	166.6	174.7	13.2	-3.3

Season	Team	Age	Games	eWins	eLosses	eWORL	eWOPA

Expected Player Won-Lost Records
						Value Decomposition
2001	BAL	23	75	6.6	8.4	-0.7	-1.4
2002	BAL	24	38	3.7	4.3	-0.1	-0.6
2003	BAL	25	112	13.1	13.5	1.3	0.0
2004	BAL	26	159	18.1	19.7	0.9	-1.0
2005	BAL	27	143	19.8	17.3	4.7	2.9
2006	BAL	28	138	17.3	17.4	2.2	0.5
2007	BAL	29	156	20.6	19.5	3.4	1.5
2008	BAL	30	155	19.5	18.5	3.2	1.4
2009	BAL	31	159	20.9	19.5	3.8	1.9
2010	BAL	32	59	6.8	7.0	0.7	-0.0
2011	BAL	33	39	5.0	5.7	-0.0	-0.6
2012	BAL	34	17	1.6	2.6	-0.8	-1.0
2013	BAL	35	77	8.0	7.6	1.3	0.5
2014	NYA	36	91	9.4	9.9	0.7	-0.2
			------	------	------	------	------
CAREER (reg. season)			1,418	170.4	170.9	20.6	4.1
			------	------	------	------	------
PostSeason (career)			0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
			------	------	------	------	------
COMBINED			1,418	170.4	170.9	20.6	4.1

This is Brian Roberts's first year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot.

Vote Prediction

It is an honor for Brian Roberts simply to appear on a Hall-of-Fame ballot.

Player Won-Lost Records and Brian Roberts

In his prime, Brian Roberts was a fine basebally player. Not a Hall-of-Famer, but he made two All-Star teams and led the league in a few offensive categories. All of which contributes to him arguably being one of the top 25 second basemen of this century (i.e., since 2000).

The top 25 second basemen, as ranked by eWins over positional average earned only at second base since 2000, are shown next.


Top Second Basemen since 2000
	Player	eWins	eLosses	eWOPA
1	Chase Utley	226.2	196.1	30.6
2	Robinson Cano	269.6	248.5	26.8
3	Dustin Pedroia	188.9	173.2	19.9
4	Ian Kinsler	236.4	221.7	19.8
5	Jeff Kent	160.7	144.3	17.6
6	Jose Altuve	158.3	146.3	14.9
7	Dan Uggla	158.9	148.2	11.3
8	Daniel Murphy	109.1	99.7	9.4
9	Ben Zobrist	100.9	93.5	8.8
10	Ray Durham	137.2	130.8	8.7
11	Brian Dozier	130.5	124.5	8.3
12	Neil Walker	129.4	121.6	8.0
13	Alfonso Soriano	97.7	92.8	7.7
14	Howie Kendrick	141.8	137.1	7.6
15	Bret Boone	106.1	102.0	7.2
16	Jose Vidro	109.1	103.1	7.1
17	Jason Kipnis	130.3	126.2	7.1
18	Mark Ellis	158.1	155.6	5.9
19	Marcus Giles	92.2	86.9	5.9
20	Orlando Hudson	151.9	148.3	5.9
21	Placido Polanco	114.4	111.5	5.3
22	Brian Roberts	160.7	160.2	4.8
23	Kelly Johnson	102.7	99.0	4.5
24	Rickie Weeks	128.2	124.3	4.4
25	Mark Bellhorn	36.4	32.9	4.3

In his prime, Roberts was a pretty good hitter for a second baseman and a decent fielder. But the aspect of baseball at which Roberts most excelled was baseruning.

The top 25 players in baserunning wins over non-pitcher average since 2000 are shown next.


Top Baserunners since 2000
	Player	eWins	eLosses	eWOPA
1	Jimmy Rollins	23.4	16.9	5.9
2	Johnny Damon	17.5	11.9	5.6
3	Rajai Davis	15.8	10.2	5.4
4	Billy Hamilton	11.5	6.1	5.2
5	Ichiro Suzuki	25.3	20.1	5.0
6	Juan Pierre	26.0	20.6	4.8
7	Jacoby Ellsbury	14.7	9.9	4.8
8	Carl Crawford	18.5	13.8	4.6
9	Jose B. Reyes	23.7	18.7	4.5
10	Coco Crisp	15.4	11.1	4.2
11	Carlos Beltran	17.6	13.3	4.1
12	Ian Kinsler	17.6	13.8	3.6
13	Chase Utley	14.0	10.2	3.5
14	Brett Gardner	14.0	10.5	3.5
15	Dee Gordon	14.1	10.3	3.5
16	Shane Victorino	11.8	8.1	3.5
17	Elvis Andrus	17.3	13.8	3.4
18	Mike Trout	12.0	8.7	3.3
19	Jarrod Dyson	9.0	5.7	3.3
20	Alexis Rios	13.3	10.0	3.3
21	Brian Roberts	14.3	11.1	3.1
22	Michael Bourn	13.9	10.7	2.9
23	Dave R. Roberts	10.1	7.0	2.9
24	Rafael Furcal	16.9	13.6	2.9
25	Will Venable	7.7	4.7	2.8

Positional Average excludes pitcher offense

Article last updated: December 16, 2019

2020 Hall of Fame Ballot Series

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