Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jason Giambi

2020 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Jason Giambi

Five facts about Jason Giambi: The first two tables below present Jason Giambi's career as measured by Player won-lost records, in and out of context.

Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWORL pWOPA
1995OAK24
54
4.84.80.3-0.2
1996OAK25
140
14.615.00.4-1.0
1997OAK26
142
15.314.41.70.2
1998OAK27
153
15.515.30.4-1.2
1999OAK28
158
18.514.34.73.0
2000OAK29
152
20.011.88.97.2
2001OAK30
154
21.512.79.57.7
2002NYA31
155
20.312.58.76.9
2003NYA32
156
18.012.26.64.9
2004NYA33
80
7.06.50.80.1
2005NYA34
139
14.09.65.03.8
2006NYA35
139
16.911.26.64.9
2007NYA36
83
6.15.31.20.5
2008NYA37
145
15.312.93.01.6
38
102
8.88.50.6-0.3
2010COL39
87
5.55.20.60.1
2011COL40
64
4.43.51.10.7
2012COL41
60
2.52.40.3-0.0
2013CLE42
71
5.24.61.30.6
2014CLE43
26
0.81.2-0.3-0.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,260
234.8183.861.639.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
45
3.73.80.1-0.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,305
238.5187.661.738.8


Expected Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games eWins eLosses eWORL eWOPA
1995OAK24
54
5.14.50.90.4
1996OAK25
140
15.014.61.3-0.2
1997OAK26
142
15.314.41.80.3
1998OAK27
153
16.614.32.51.0
1999OAK28
158
18.114.73.82.2
2000OAK29
152
19.412.47.66.0
2001OAK30
154
20.813.38.26.4
2002NYA31
155
19.313.56.84.9
2003NYA32
156
17.412.85.33.6
2004NYA33
80
6.57.0-0.3-1.0
2005NYA34
139
13.99.74.83.5
2006NYA35
139
16.411.75.64.0
2007NYA36
83
6.05.31.10.3
2008NYA37
145
15.312.93.11.7
38
102
8.88.40.8-0.2
2010COL39
87
5.35.40.4-0.2
2011COL40
64
4.73.31.81.3
2012COL41
60
2.22.7-0.2-0.5
2013CLE42
71
4.75.10.3-0.3
2014CLE43
26
0.81.1-0.2-0.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,260
231.6187.055.232.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
45
4.33.21.30.9
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,305
235.9190.356.533.7


This is Jason Giambi's first year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot.

Vote Prediction
Jason Giambi is one of three players debuting on this ballot who I could conceivably see getting more than a handful of courtesy votes. Giambi was a five-time All-Star who had three consecutive top-5 MVP finishes in 2000, 2001, and 2002, winning the award in 2000. His career numbers are respectable, although he failed to hit any traditional Hall-of-Fame markers - he had 2,010 hits, 440 home runs, 1,441 RBI. His case is, instead, a peak case - the three top-5 MVP seasons, six consecutive 100-RBI seasons, a string of on-base percentages of .422, .476, .477, .435, .412, and .440 (with an injury-plagued 80-game .342 between the last two).

Giambi also admitted using performance-enhancing drugs.

It's hard to get a good feel for who Hall-of-Fame voters might view Giambi as comparable to. The man he replaced at first base for the Oakland A's peaked at 23.7% of the vote. But McGwire also hit more than 100 home runs more than Giambi.

Baseball-Reference lists Carlos Delgado as Giambi's most similar batter. Delgado received 3.8% of the vote in his only year on the ballot. But that was on a much more crowded ballot than this year's.

Based on my similarity scores, the player most similar to Giambi was just elected to the Hall of Fame last year, Edgar Martinez. But Carlos Delgado is number two.

Delgado is probably not a bad comparison. Delgado hit 473 home runs with 2,038 hits, and 1,512 RBI, all slightly more than Giambi. But Delgado was only a two-time All-Star and he only finished top-5 in MVP voting twice, with a high finish of second. Maybe the crowded ballot for Delgado matches up with the PED taint for Giambi? Let's go with 3.5%, just missing the 5% needed to stay on the ballot a second year.

Player Won-Lost Records and Jason Giambi
Jason Giambi was voted American League MVP in 2000. He then followed that up with a second-place MVP finish in 2001 and a fifth-place finish in 2002. Over the four seasons following that, Giambi made two All-Star teams and received MVP votes three times. Giambi struggled with injuries and age over the last few years of the decade, but even with that, Giambi was one of the best players in the first decade of the 2000s, as measured by Player won-lost records.

pWins over Positional Average
Top 10 Players, 2000 - 2009
pWins over Replacement Level
Top 10 Players, 2000 - 2009
Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL Player pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
1Barry Bonds154.490.758.4
70.5
1Alex Rodriguez217.5163.955.9
74.2
2Albert Pujols200.6132.156.5
72.4
2Albert Pujols200.6132.156.5
72.4
3Alex Rodriguez217.5163.955.9
74.2
3Barry Bonds154.490.758.4
70.5
4Jim Edmonds165.4122.240.0
53.9
4Derek Jeter204.3172.639.8
57.8
5Derek Jeter204.3172.639.8
57.8
5Manny Ramirez192.4147.738.6
55.8
6Manny Ramirez192.4147.738.6
55.8
6Jim Edmonds165.4122.240.0
53.9
7Jason Giambi147.8103.137.3
51.0
7Vladimir Guerrero Sr.207.8165.033.5
52.2
8Chipper Jones184.0142.436.0
51.7
8Lance Berkman197.7151.135.2
51.9
9Johan Santana107.174.635.8
48.5
9Chipper Jones184.0142.436.0
51.7
10Mariano Rivera72.634.635.6
45.9
10Jason Giambi147.8103.137.3
51.0


Article last updated: December 1, 2019

2020 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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