Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Rafael Furcal

2020 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Rafael Furcal

Five facts about Rafael Furcal: The first two tables below present Rafael Furcal's career as measured by Player won-lost records, in and out of context.

Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWORL pWOPA
2000ATL22
131
16.914.54.32.8
2001ATL23
79
10.510.01.90.8
2002ATL24
154
20.818.64.72.8
2003ATL25
156
22.218.56.34.3
2004ATL26
142
17.617.22.60.9
2005ATL27
154
21.018.25.13.3
2006LAN28
159
21.920.73.81.8
2007LAN29
138
17.318.41.0-0.6
2008LAN30
36
5.64.22.01.5
2009LAN31
150
19.417.64.12.4
2010LAN32
97
13.511.93.11.9
33
87
11.010.42.00.9
2012SLN34
121
14.815.51.3-0.2
2013-35
-
----
2014MIA36
9
0.81.1-0.2-0.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,613
213.4196.942.122.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
59
7.67.80.80.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,672
221.0204.642.922.4


Expected Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games eWins eLosses eWORL eWOPA
2000ATL22
131
16.514.93.62.1
2001ATL23
79
9.910.60.7-0.3
2002ATL24
154
19.320.11.8-0.1
2003ATL25
156
21.019.83.91.8
2004ATL26
142
17.717.12.91.1
2005ATL27
154
20.318.93.92.1
2006LAN28
159
21.121.52.10.1
2007LAN29
138
17.118.50.7-0.9
2008LAN30
36
5.44.41.61.2
2009LAN31
150
18.318.62.10.3
2010LAN32
97
13.611.83.32.1
33
87
10.411.00.7-0.4
2012SLN34
121
15.015.31.60.1
2013-35
-
----
2014MIA36
9
0.71.2-0.3-0.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
1,613
206.4203.828.68.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
59
7.77.70.90.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
1,672
214.1211.629.59.0


This is Rafael Furcal's first year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot.

Vote Prediction
It is an honor for Rafael Furcal simply to appear on a Hall-of-Fame ballot.

Player Won-Lost Records and Rafael Furcal
Rafael Furcal had a very nice career. Not a Hall-of-Fame career, certainly, but he did a lot of things very well. As measured by Player won-lost records, he was a pretty good hitter for a shorstop over the course of his career and an above-average fielder.

The one aspect of the game in which Furcal probably most excelled, though, was baserunning. Furcal led his league in triples once (with 10 in 2003) and also had seasons with 11, 9, 8, and 7 triples. He stole 20 or more bases in each of his first eight seasons with seasons of 47, 40, and 37 steals. For his career, he stole 314 bases and was caught stealing only 94 times, a success rate of 77.0%.

The next table, then, shows the top 25 baserunners since 2000, as measured by baserunning eWins over non-pitcher average.

Context-Neutral Baserunning
Player eWins eLoss eWOPA
1Jimmy Rollins23.316.95.9
2Johnny Damon17.511.85.6
3Rajai Davis15.710.25.4
4Billy Hamilton11.56.15.2
5Ichiro Suzuki25.220.15.0
6Juan Pierre26.020.64.8
7Jacoby Ellsbury14.79.84.8
8Carl Crawford18.513.84.5
9Jose B. Reyes23.718.74.4
10Coco Crisp15.411.14.2
11Carlos Beltran17.613.24.1
12Ian Kinsler17.513.83.6
13Dee Gordon14.010.23.5
14Chase Utley14.010.23.5
15Brett Gardner14.010.53.5
16Shane Victorino11.88.13.5
17Elvis Andrus17.213.83.4
18Jarrod Dyson9.05.73.3
19Mike Trout11.98.63.2
20Alexis Rios13.310.03.2
21Brian Roberts14.211.13.1
22Michael Bourn13.910.72.9
23Dave R. Roberts10.07.02.9
24Rafael Furcal16.913.62.9
25Will Venable7.74.72.8
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
Of course, the ultimate value of baserunning is the extent to which it helps one score runs - and, the extent to which those runs scored translate into team wins. Well, Rafael Furcal was pretty damn good at scoring runs. He scored over 100 runs four times, including a whopping 130 runs in 156 games in 2003. He also added seasons of 95, 92, and two 87-run seasons. For his career, he scored 1,063 runs in 1,614 games, a rate of 107 runs per 162 games.

And putting Furcal's baserunning in context - i.e., looking at pWins, which tie to team wins, instead of eWins (expected wins), Furcal's baserunning looks even more impressive.

Context-Dependent Baserunning
Player pWins pLoss pWOPA
1Jimmy Rollins24.315.97.8
2Rafael Furcal18.112.35.4
3Rajai Davis15.710.35.4
4Chase Utley14.99.35.3
5Juan Pierre26.220.45.3
6Johnny Damon17.212.15.1
7Ichiro Suzuki25.320.15.0
8Billy Hamilton11.46.34.9
9Mike Trout12.77.94.8
10Brett Gardner14.69.84.7
11Ian Kinsler18.113.34.7
12Derek Jeter18.514.04.4
13Elvis Andrus17.713.44.3
14Coco Crisp15.411.14.3
15Jose B. Reyes23.518.94.1
16Jacoby Ellsbury14.210.43.8
17Shane Victorino11.88.03.6
18Jarrod Dyson9.15.53.5
19Carl Crawford17.914.43.4
20Alcides Escobar10.37.03.2
21Michael Bourn14.110.63.2
22Lorenzo Cain9.86.63.1
23Will Venable7.74.63.0
24Nate McLouth7.74.62.9
25Luis A. Castillo16.212.92.9
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense


Article last updated: November 28, 2019

2020 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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