2020 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Rafael Furcal
Five facts about Rafael Furcal:Basic Player Won-Lost Records | |||||||
Value Decomposition | |||||||
Season | Team | Age | Games | pWins | pLosses | pWORL | pWOPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | ATL | 22 | 131 | 16.9 | 14.5 | 4.2 | 2.7 |
2001 | ATL | 23 | 79 | 10.5 | 10.0 | 1.8 | 0.8 |
2002 | ATL | 24 | 154 | 20.8 | 18.6 | 4.6 | 2.7 |
2003 | ATL | 25 | 156 | 22.2 | 18.5 | 6.2 | 4.2 |
2004 | ATL | 26 | 142 | 17.6 | 17.2 | 2.5 | 0.8 |
2005 | ATL | 27 | 154 | 21.0 | 18.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 |
2006 | LAN | 28 | 159 | 21.9 | 20.7 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
2007 | LAN | 29 | 138 | 17.3 | 18.4 | 0.9 | -0.7 |
2008 | LAN | 30 | 36 | 5.6 | 4.2 | 2.0 | 1.5 |
2009 | LAN | 31 | 150 | 19.4 | 17.6 | 4.1 | 2.3 |
2010 | LAN | 32 | 97 | 13.5 | 11.9 | 3.1 | 1.9 |
33 | 87 | 11.0 | 10.4 | 1.9 | 0.9 | ||
LAN | 37 | 4.2 | 4.7 | 0.0 | -0.4 | ||
SLN | 50 | 6.9 | 5.7 | 1.9 | 1.3 | ||
2012 | SLN | 34 | 121 | 14.8 | 15.5 | 1.2 | -0.2 |
2013 | - | 35 | - | - | - | - | - |
2014 | MIA | 36 | 9 | 0.8 | 1.1 | -0.2 | -0.3 |
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
CAREER (reg. season) | 1,613 | 213.4 | 196.8 | 41.1 | 21.5 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
PostSeason (career) | 59 | 7.6 | 7.8 | 0.8 | 0.0 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
COMBINED | 1,672 | 221.0 | 204.6 | 41.8 | 21.5 |
Expected Player Won-Lost Records | |||||||
Value Decomposition | |||||||
Season | Team | Age | Games | eWins | eLosses | eWORL | eWOPA |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2000 | ATL | 22 | 131 | 16.5 | 14.9 | 3.5 | 2.0 |
2001 | ATL | 23 | 79 | 9.9 | 10.6 | 0.6 | -0.4 |
2002 | ATL | 24 | 154 | 19.3 | 20.1 | 1.7 | -0.2 |
2003 | ATL | 25 | 156 | 21.0 | 19.8 | 3.7 | 1.7 |
2004 | ATL | 26 | 142 | 17.7 | 17.1 | 2.8 | 1.1 |
2005 | ATL | 27 | 154 | 20.3 | 18.9 | 3.8 | 2.0 |
2006 | LAN | 28 | 159 | 21.1 | 21.5 | 1.9 | -0.0 |
2007 | LAN | 29 | 138 | 17.1 | 18.5 | 0.6 | -1.0 |
2008 | LAN | 30 | 36 | 5.4 | 4.4 | 1.6 | 1.2 |
2009 | LAN | 31 | 150 | 18.3 | 18.6 | 2.0 | 0.3 |
2010 | LAN | 32 | 97 | 13.6 | 11.8 | 3.3 | 2.1 |
33 | 87 | 10.4 | 11.0 | 0.6 | -0.4 | ||
LAN | 37 | 4.0 | 4.8 | -0.4 | -0.8 | ||
SLN | 50 | 6.4 | 6.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | ||
2012 | SLN | 34 | 121 | 14.9 | 15.3 | 1.5 | 0.0 |
2013 | - | 35 | - | - | - | - | - |
2014 | MIA | 36 | 9 | 0.7 | 1.2 | -0.3 | -0.4 |
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
CAREER (reg. season) | 1,613 | 206.4 | 203.8 | 27.4 | 7.9 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
PostSeason (career) | 59 | 7.7 | 7.7 | 0.9 | 0.2 | ||
------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | ------ | |||
COMBINED | 1,672 | 214.1 | 211.6 | 28.3 | 8.0 |
Vote PredictionIt is an honor for Rafael Furcal simply to appear on a Hall-of-Fame ballot.
Player Won-Lost Records and Rafael FurcalRafael Furcal had a very nice career. Not a Hall-of-Fame career, certainly, but he did a lot of things very well. As measured by Player won-lost records, he was a pretty good hitter for a shorstop over the course of his career and an above-average fielder.
Context-Neutral Baserunning | |||||||||
Player | eWins | eLoss | eWOPA | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jimmy Rollins | 23.3 | 16.9 | 5.8 | |||||
2 | Johnny Damon | 17.5 | 11.8 | 5.6 | |||||
3 | Rajai Davis | 15.7 | 10.1 | 5.5 | |||||
4 | Ichiro Suzuki | 25.2 | 20.1 | 5.0 | |||||
5 | Billy Hamilton | 10.6 | 5.6 | 4.8 | |||||
6 | Jacoby Ellsbury | 14.7 | 9.8 | 4.8 | |||||
7 | Juan Pierre | 25.9 | 20.6 | 4.7 | |||||
8 | Carl Crawford | 18.4 | 13.8 | 4.5 | |||||
9 | Jose B. Reyes | 23.6 | 18.7 | 4.4 | |||||
10 | Coco Crisp | 15.3 | 11.1 | 4.2 | |||||
11 | Carlos Beltran | 17.6 | 13.2 | 4.1 | |||||
12 | Ian Kinsler | 17.1 | 13.1 | 3.9 | |||||
13 | Dee Gordon | 13.3 | 9.4 | 3.6 | |||||
14 | Shane Victorino | 11.8 | 8.1 | 3.5 | |||||
15 | Chase Utley | 14.0 | 10.2 | 3.5 | |||||
16 | Brett Gardner | 13.3 | 9.9 | 3.4 | |||||
17 | Alexis Rios | 13.3 | 10.0 | 3.2 | |||||
18 | Brian Roberts | 14.2 | 11.1 | 3.0 | |||||
19 | Michael Bourn | 13.9 | 10.7 | 2.9 | |||||
20 | Dave R. Roberts | 10.0 | 7.0 | 2.9 | |||||
21 | Jarrod Dyson | 7.8 | 4.9 | 2.9 | |||||
22 | Rafael Furcal | 16.8 | 13.6 | 2.8 | |||||
23 | Mike Trout | 10.8 | 7.9 | 2.8 | |||||
24 | Will Venable | 7.6 | 4.7 | 2.8 | |||||
25 | Derek Jeter | 17.7 | 14.8 | 2.8 |
Positional Average excludes pitcher offenseOf course, the ultimate value of baserunning is the extent to which it helps one score runs - and, the extent to which those runs scored translate into team wins. Well, Rafael Furcal was pretty damn good at scoring runs. He scored over 100 runs four times, including a whopping 130 runs in 156 games in 2003. He also added seasons of 95, 92, and two 87-run seasons. For his career, he scored 1,063 runs in 1,614 games, a rate of 107 runs per 162 games.
Context-Dependent Baserunning | |||||||||
Player | pWins | pLoss | pWOPA | ||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Jimmy Rollins | 24.3 | 15.9 | 7.8 | |||||
2 | Rajai Davis | 15.7 | 10.1 | 5.4 | |||||
3 | Rafael Furcal | 18.1 | 12.3 | 5.4 | |||||
4 | Chase Utley | 14.9 | 9.3 | 5.3 | |||||
5 | Juan Pierre | 26.2 | 20.4 | 5.3 | |||||
6 | Ian Kinsler | 17.7 | 12.5 | 5.1 | |||||
7 | Johnny Damon | 17.2 | 12.1 | 5.1 | |||||
8 | Ichiro Suzuki | 25.3 | 20.0 | 5.0 | |||||
9 | Billy Hamilton | 10.5 | 5.6 | 4.7 | |||||
10 | Brett Gardner | 13.9 | 9.3 | 4.6 | |||||
11 | Derek Jeter | 18.5 | 14.0 | 4.4 | |||||
12 | Mike Trout | 11.6 | 7.2 | 4.3 | |||||
13 | Coco Crisp | 15.4 | 11.1 | 4.3 | |||||
14 | Jose B. Reyes | 23.5 | 18.9 | 4.1 | |||||
15 | Jacoby Ellsbury | 14.1 | 10.3 | 3.7 | |||||
16 | Elvis Andrus | 16.2 | 12.4 | 3.7 | |||||
17 | Shane Victorino | 11.8 | 8.0 | 3.6 | |||||
18 | Carl Crawford | 17.9 | 14.3 | 3.4 | |||||
19 | Lorenzo Cain | 8.9 | 5.6 | 3.3 | |||||
20 | Jarrod Dyson | 8.0 | 4.7 | 3.2 | |||||
21 | Alcides Escobar | 10.3 | 7.0 | 3.2 | |||||
22 | Michael Bourn | 14.0 | 10.6 | 3.2 | |||||
23 | Will Venable | 7.7 | 4.6 | 3.0 | |||||
24 | Nate McLouth | 7.7 | 4.6 | 2.9 | |||||
25 | Luis A. Castillo | 16.2 | 12.9 | 2.9 |
Positional Average excludes pitcher offense
2020 Hall of Fame Ballot Series