Bobby Abreu

Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Bobby Abreu

2021 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Bobby Abreu

Five facts about Bobby Abreu:

Bobby Abreu was a two-time All-Star (in 2004 and 2005), received MVP votes seven times, with a high finish of 12th in 2009, and won one Silver Slugger (in 2004) and one Gold Glove (in 2005).

Abreu led his league in games played twice (in 2001 and 2005), in doubles in 2002 with 50, and in triples in 1999 with 11. He led MLB in walks in 2006 with 124 when he split time between the two leagues.

Abreu had a career batting line of .291/.395/.475. His .395 on-base percentage is the 25th-highest since 1947 among players with at least 5,000 plate appearances (Abreu had 10,081 career plate appearances). Abreu's 1,476 career walks are 20th in MLB history; his 3,979 times on base are 49th in MLB history.

Abreu played 150 or more games for 13 consecutive seasons, from 1998 through 2010. Only six players have played 150 or more games more than 13 times and only two other players have played 150 or more games in 13 consecutive seasons: Pete Rose (1965 - 1980) and Willie Mays (1954 - 1966).

Abreu had three seasons in which he had at least 100 runs scored, RBI, and walks, and at least 20 home runs and stolen bases. Abreu is one of only three players to have more than one such season: Jeff Bagwell also had three such seasons, Barry Bonds had six.

The first two tables below present Bobby Abreu's career as measured by Player won-lost records, in and out of context.

Season	Team	Age	Games	pWins	pLosses	pWORL	pWOPA

Basic Player Won-Lost Records
						Value Decomposition
1996	HOU	22	14	0.5	0.6	-0.1	-0.1
1997	HOU	23	58	5.7	5.8	0.1	-0.4
1998	PHI	24	151	18.7	14.8	4.4	2.7
1999	PHI	25	152	21.5	16.6	5.2	3.4
2000	PHI	26	154	22.9	19.1	4.5	2.5
2001	PHI	27	162	23.3	19.0	5.0	2.9
2002	PHI	28	157	21.3	16.8	5.2	3.3
2003	PHI	29	158	23.4	18.1	5.9	3.9
2004	PHI	30	159	22.9	18.7	5.1	3.0
2005	PHI	31	162	23.1	18.3	5.5	3.6
+– 2006		32	156	22.7	18.0	5.7	3.8
	NYA		58	9.2	6.7	3.0	2.3
	PHI		98	13.5	11.3	2.7	1.5
2007	NYA	33	158	20.3	18.8	2.4	0.6
2008	NYA	34	156	21.5	19.3	3.3	1.4
2009	ANA	35	152	19.9	18.7	2.3	0.4
2010	ANA	36	154	18.4	17.9	1.5	-0.2
2011	ANA	37	142	12.4	11.4	2.0	0.5
+– 2012		38	99	7.5	7.9	0.2	-0.7
	ANA		8	0.8	1.2	-0.4	-0.5
	LAN		91	6.7	6.7	0.5	-0.2
2013	-	39	-	-	-	-	-
2014	NYN	40	75	3.6	4.3	-0.4	-0.9
			------	------	------	------	------
CAREER (reg. season)			2,419	309.4	264.0	57.9	29.6
			------	------	------	------	------
PostSeason (career)			20	2.3	2.0	0.4	0.2
			------	------	------	------	------
COMBINED			2,439	311.7	266.0	58.3	29.8

Season	Team	Age	Games	eWins	eLosses	eWORL	eWOPA

Expected Player Won-Lost Records
						Value Decomposition
1996	HOU	22	14	0.5	0.6	-0.1	-0.2
1997	HOU	23	58	5.9	5.6	0.4	-0.1
1998	PHI	24	151	18.4	15.0	4.0	2.3
1999	PHI	25	152	21.7	16.4	5.8	3.9
2000	PHI	26	154	23.4	18.6	5.5	3.5
2001	PHI	27	162	23.3	19.0	4.7	2.6
2002	PHI	28	157	21.6	16.5	5.9	4.0
2003	PHI	29	158	23.0	18.5	5.1	3.1
2004	PHI	30	159	23.2	18.4	5.6	3.5
2005	PHI	31	162	22.5	18.8	4.3	2.4
+– 2006		32	156	22.0	18.6	4.3	2.4
	NYA		58	8.7	7.2	1.9	1.1
	PHI		98	13.4	11.4	2.5	1.3
2007	NYA	33	158	19.9	19.2	1.7	-0.2
2008	NYA	34	156	21.5	19.2	3.4	1.5
2009	ANA	35	152	19.6	18.9	1.9	0.0
2010	ANA	36	154	18.4	17.9	1.5	-0.3
2011	ANA	37	142	11.9	11.9	1.0	-0.5
+– 2012		38	99	7.4	8.1	-0.2	-1.0
	ANA		8	0.7	1.2	-0.5	-0.6
	LAN		91	6.6	6.8	0.3	-0.4
2013	-	39	-	-	-	-	-
2014	NYN	40	75	3.8	4.1	0.0	-0.4
			------	------	------	------	------
CAREER (reg. season)			2,419	308.0	265.4	54.7	26.4
			------	------	------	------	------
PostSeason (career)			20	2.1	2.2	0.0	-0.2
			------	------	------	------	------
COMBINED			2,439	310.1	267.6	54.7	26.2

This is Bobby Abreu's second year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot. Here is what I wrote about him last year.

Vote Prediction

Bobby Abreu received 22 votes in last year's Hall-of-Fame election, good for 5.5%, just over the 5% threshold needed for him to return this year. With the election last year of Derek Jeter and Larry Walker, most returning voters should have at least two newly-empty ballot slots with no first-year candidates who are obvious choices to take one or both of these.

Because of this, I would expect most returning candidates to see their vote totals increase this year. It is fairly common for candidates to increase their vote totals significantly in their first few years on the ballot. Taken together, I would expect a fairly significant increase in Abreu's vote total. That said, 5.5% is a very low starting point. I will predict that Abreu's vote total doubles - to 11.0%.

Player Won-Lost Records and Bobby Abreu

Bobby Abreu bounced around a bit toward the end of his career. But the bulk of his career - and especially, the bulk of his Hall-of-Fame case - came as a member of the Philadelphia Phillies, for whom Abreu played 8+ seasons, earning both of his All-Star selections, his Gold Glove, his Silver Slugger, and five of his seven seasons receiving MVP votes.

The next table shows the top 10 players in Philadelphia Phillies history (since 1916), ranked by pWins over replacement level (pWORL).

	Player	pWins	pLosses	pWOPA	pWORL
1	Mike Schmidt	338.5	257.6	71.0	99.7
2	Steve Carlton	239.9	207.8	47.0	72.9
3	Robin Roberts	238.5	216.8	35.1	62.8
4	Chase Utley	205.1	170.4	35.3	53.3
5	Jimmy Rollins	271.7	253.5	25.9	51.2
6	Bobby Abreu	190.4	152.6	26.7	43.5
7	Dick Allen	150.2	116.5	26.1	39.3
8	Cole Hamels	123.4	110.2	22.0	36.6
9	Ryan Howard	182.7	149.4	18.0	34.0
10	Del Ennis	238.2	215.5	6.4	30.0

Abreu is in pretty good company in the above table.

Article last updated: November 16, 2020

2021 Hall of Fame Ballot Series

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