Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Omar Vizquel

2021 Hall of Fame Ballot Series: Omar Vizquel

Five facts about Omar Vizquel: The first two tables below present Omar Vizquel's career as measured by Player won-lost records, in and out of context.

Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWORL pWOPA
1989SEA22
143
10.614.0-1.4-2.6
1990SEA23
81
7.19.1-0.6-1.4
1991SEA24
142
13.614.01.80.5
1992SEA25
136
14.317.2-0.4-1.9
1993SEA26
158
17.319.70.6-1.2
1994CLE27
69
7.49.2-0.4-1.2
1995CLE28
136
18.215.55.43.7
1996CLE29
151
17.117.82.10.4
1997CLE30
153
17.917.73.11.4
1998CLE31
151
18.218.52.70.8
1999CLE32
144
20.916.17.65.8
2000CLE33
156
17.518.41.90.2
2001CLE34
155
16.517.51.7-0.0
2002CLE35
151
19.319.82.50.5
2003CLE36
64
8.38.11.40.6
2004CLE37
148
16.717.51.80.1
2005SFN38
152
17.318.11.4-0.3
2006SFN39
153
18.019.01.4-0.4
2007SFN40
145
14.316.8-0.7-2.1
2008SFN41
92
6.78.8-1.1-1.8
2009TEX42
62
5.04.21.30.9
2010CHA43
108
9.99.81.00.1
2011CHA44
58
4.85.9-0.4-0.9
2012TOR45
60
3.44.8-0.9-1.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,968
320.2337.631.6-0.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
57
7.47.11.50.7
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
3,025
327.6344.733.10.4


Expected Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games eWins eLosses eWORL eWOPA
1989SEA22
143
11.513.10.4-0.8
1990SEA23
81
7.29.0-0.5-1.3
1991SEA24
142
13.314.31.3-0.1
1992SEA25
136
15.116.41.3-0.2
1993SEA26
158
17.319.70.7-1.1
1994CLE27
69
7.69.0-0.0-0.8
1995CLE28
136
16.217.51.6-0.1
1996CLE29
151
16.918.01.6-0.0
1997CLE30
153
17.817.83.01.2
1998CLE31
151
17.719.01.6-0.2
1999CLE32
144
19.617.35.23.4
2000CLE33
156
17.818.12.50.7
2001CLE34
155
15.518.5-0.1-1.8
2002CLE35
151
19.319.92.40.4
2003CLE36
64
8.18.31.10.3
2004CLE37
148
16.617.61.6-0.1
2005SFN38
152
17.418.01.6-0.1
2006SFN39
153
17.719.30.7-1.1
2007SFN40
145
14.616.5-0.1-1.6
2008SFN41
92
6.68.8-1.1-1.9
2009TEX42
62
4.54.70.50.1
2010CHA43
108
9.210.5-0.3-1.2
2011CHA44
58
4.76.0-0.6-1.1
2012TOR45
60
3.64.6-0.5-0.9
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,968
315.7342.123.6-8.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
57
7.37.21.30.6
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
3,025
323.0349.324.9-7.7


This is Omar Vizquel's fourth year on the Hall-of-Fame ballot. I have written articles about the Hall-of-Fame candidates every year in which Omar Vizquel has been on the BBWAA ballot. Here is what I wrote about him last year.

Vote Prediction
Vizquel debuted at 37.0% on the Hall-of-Fame ballot and has seen that grow to 42.8% in his second year and 52.6% last year, in his third year on the ballot. At this point, Vizquel seems well positioned to be elected to the Hall of Fame, probably within the next three to four years. Vizquel has his detractors and there is a chance that there are enough of them to keep his ceiling below 75%. But I suspect that is not the case and, even if it is, I suspect that it's too early to be able to determine that yet anyway.

I suspect that Vizquel will see a further boost in his vote total this year, probably at least comparable to last year's gain of 9.8%. I think he'll probably do even a little bit better than that, let's call it a 12.0% gain for an overall vote percentage of 64.6% which, if I am correct, would probably leave him as the top returning vote getter next year.

Player Won-Lost Records and Omar Vizquel
To be perfectly honest, I am not a big fan of Omar Vizquel's Hall-of-Fame candidacy. Nothing against Vizquel. He was a fine player for a long time. So long, in fact, that he was the last major-league player who was older than me. But from a pure statistical value measure, he just wasn't that good for that long.

That said, though, I think that my Player won-lost records highlight what the voters are seeing in him. In my general article about the 2021 Hall-of-Fame ballot, I allowed readers to set their own weights of various aspects of Player won-lost records - wins vs. WOPA (wins over positional average) vs. WORL (wins over replacement level); pWins (tied to team wins) vs. eWins (context-neutral), etc. Using the default weights in the article, Vizquel rates quite poorly, finishing behind several players who nobody thinks of as Hall-of-Fame candidates.

But the point of that was to allow readers to choose their own weights. And there are absolutely weights that one can choose that will bring Omar Vizquel toward the top of the ballot. Some are a little gimmicky: he's the only shortstop on the ballot, so you could get him to the top of the ballot by giving extra weight to shortstops. But some are not so gimmicky at all. Vizquel looks better in pWins - which tie to team performance - than in eWins - which neutralize the context in which a player performed. Some of that was that Vizquel played with very good teammates, especially in Cleveland. But pWins tie to actual wins and I think it's perfectly reasonable to look at actual wins when retroactively evaluating a player's career. And most significantly, Vizquel looks better the lower the baseline against which you compare his wins. He ranks much higher in total pWins than he does in, say, pWORL (pWins over replacement level), and he ranks higher in pWORL than he does in pWOPA (pWins over positional average).

So, for example, if one weights pWins twice as heavily as eWins and gives weights on Wins vs. WORL vs. WOPA vs. WO* (Wins over Star level) of, say, 3, 2, 1, and 0, respectively, here's how the 2021 Hall-of-Fame candidates look.

Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic to Rank 2021 Hall-of-Fame Candidates

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)


2021 Hall-of-Fame Candidates Ranked by User-Selected Uber Statistic
Rank Player Key Stat pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1Barry Bonds
5,817.3
466.8310.6136.5
174.4
462.8314.6127.1164.9
2Roger Clemens
4,116.1
316.9228.694.6
131.3
314.8230.790.6127.2
3Manny Ramirez
3,814.0
320.0247.660.2
88.9
315.5252.251.680.3
4Gary Sheffield
3,811.3
343.2288.041.0
72.7
342.8288.440.572.2
5Sammy Sosa
3,395.0
316.6277.520.7
50.1
321.0273.129.258.6
6Jeff Kent
3,340.8
301.3266.136.3
63.9
299.2268.232.460.1
7Willie Stargell
3,314.3
295.7230.045.7
71.8
295.7230.146.672.8
8Omar Vizquel
3,245.5
320.2337.6-0.3
31.6
315.7342.1-8.223.6
9Bobby Abreu
3,242.8
309.4264.029.6
57.9
308.0265.426.454.7
10Andruw Jones
3,107.6
281.1232.840.4
65.7
274.9238.928.253.5
11Torii Hunter
3,075.0
305.7289.89.9
39.1
301.5294.01.730.8
12Scott Rolen
2,926.0
266.5221.639.4
63.1
263.9224.234.057.8
13Reggie Smith
2,880.1
264.7217.233.1
56.9
264.6217.332.956.7
14Aramis Ramirez
2,759.3
266.1247.711.1
36.1
266.5247.312.537.4
15Andy Pettitte
2,598.1
210.6175.141.1
67.4
206.4179.432.959.1
16Todd Helton
2,586.0
247.1208.715.6
37.8
253.0202.827.950.0
17Curt Schilling
2,555.5
205.8172.844.5
69.2
204.5174.142.967.6
18Tim Hudson
2,331.5
197.8167.540.8
64.5
197.0168.240.364.1
19Mark Buehrle
2,132.6
195.0175.823.5
49.0
193.4177.420.846.3
20Nick Swisher
1,873.2
180.2158.514.3
30.8
175.7163.05.021.6
21A.J. Burnett
1,759.1
167.1172.23.8
26.1
169.5169.89.131.4
22Mike Cuddyer
1,717.3
177.0173.9-5.0
11.9
177.6173.3-2.914.0
23Barry Zito
1,681.7
158.5166.6-1.2
20.5
160.6164.53.825.5
24Shane Victorino
1,667.4
153.3135.712.2
26.1
149.9139.15.519.4
25Dan Haren
1,573.0
147.0144.610.0
29.0
147.4144.310.829.7
26Billy Wagner
1,008.1
79.450.726.5
38.9
75.354.818.931.2
Willie Stargell and Reggie Smith are included (in bold) as an average Hall-of-Famer and a typical non-HOF player in the Hall of Merit, respectively.

Those aren't the weights I would use to construct my Hall-of-Fame ballot (if I had one). But that hardly means those weights are wrong or indefensible. On the contrary, they seem reasonable enough. And they make a pretty solid case for Omar Vizquel as a Hall-of-Famer.

Article last updated: December 8, 2020

2021 Hall of Fame Ballot Series




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