Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dave Winfield

Hall-of-Famers as Seen Through Player Won-Lost Records: Dave Winfield

Dave Winfield was elected to the Hall of Fame in his 1st year of eligibility, 2001, with 84.5% of the vote.

Five highlights of Dave Winfield's career: The first two tables below present Dave Winfield's career as measured by Player won-lost records, in and out of context.

Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWORL pWOPA
1973SDN21
56
4.34.6-0.2-0.6
1974SDN22
145
18.816.33.11.4
1975SDN23
143
20.516.74.32.5
1976SDN24
137
22.016.66.24.3
1977SDN25
157
23.620.83.31.1
1978SDN26
158
25.118.27.95.8
1979SDN27
159
26.919.87.95.6
1980SDN28
162
21.020.21.4-0.6
1981NYA29
105
14.612.82.71.3
1982NYA30
140
19.918.82.20.3
1983NYA31
152
21.418.63.92.0
1984NYA32
141
20.916.85.03.2
1985NYA33
155
24.118.76.74.6
1986NYA34
154
20.417.63.82.0
1987NYA35
156
20.717.74.12.2
1988NYA36
149
21.817.15.83.9
1989-37
-
----
38
132
16.416.31.1-0.5
1991CAL39
150
16.816.51.2-0.5
1992TOR40
156
17.712.86.24.3
1993MIN41
143
12.914.4-0.3-2.0
1994MIN42
76
6.16.30.3-0.5
1995CLE43
45
1.32.4-0.9-1.2
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,971
397.3339.875.538.7
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
26
2.92.30.70.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,997
400.2342.176.239.1


Expected Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games eWins eLosses eWORL eWOPA
1973SDN21
56
4.54.40.3-0.2
1974SDN22
145
18.916.13.31.6
1975SDN23
143
20.316.93.82.0
1976SDN24
137
21.716.95.43.5
1977SDN25
157
24.320.04.82.6
1978SDN26
158
24.019.45.53.4
1979SDN27
159
26.720.07.75.4
1980SDN28
162
22.618.74.72.8
1981NYA29
105
14.213.12.00.6
1982NYA30
140
20.418.33.11.3
1983NYA31
152
21.019.03.21.3
1984NYA32
141
20.817.04.72.9
1985NYA33
155
22.720.13.91.8
1986NYA34
154
19.918.02.91.0
1987NYA35
156
19.618.81.80.0
1988NYA36
149
21.317.64.72.8
1989-37
-
----
38
132
16.316.50.8-0.8
1991CAL39
150
17.016.31.7-0.0
1992TOR40
156
16.913.54.62.7
1993MIN41
143
13.413.90.7-0.9
1994MIN42
76
6.16.20.4-0.5
1995CLE43
45
1.52.2-0.6-0.9
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,971
394.0343.069.632.8
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
26
2.62.60.2-0.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,997
396.7345.669.832.7


Hall-of-Fame candidates can sometimes be broken down into career candidates, peak candidates, and prime candidates. Dave Winfield is something of a quintessential "career candidate" for the Hall of Fame.

The next table shows the top 10 players in career pWins among players for whom I have calculated Player won-lost records.

Top 10 Players
(sorted by career pWins)
pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
1Hank Aaron496.7369.198.5142.5
2Barry Bonds466.8310.6136.5174.4
3Willie Mays465.3329.8116.5156.6
4Pete Rose Sr.439.3394.723.664.5
5Carl Yastrzemski430.9360.245.585.7
6Rickey Henderson428.4350.362.5100.5
7Stan Musial424.1311.388.2126.2
8Mel Ott419.7295.2103.6140.8
9Babe Ruth410.9236.0161.2195.2
10Frank Robinson398.0302.570.9106.8


There is sometimes a negative perception of career candidates as mere "compilers". Of course, pWins are a pretty valuable thing to compile.

Still, value is perhaps better measured by comparing Player wins against average or replacement level.

The next table shows the top 20 players in pWins over replacement level (pWORL) from 1961 (the first season of the 162-game schedule) through 1995 (Dave Winfield's final season). Admittedly, this may be somewhat cherry-picked. But being one of the top 20 players over a 35-year stretch is very impressive.

Top 20 Players, pWORL
(1961 - 1995)
pWins pLosses pWOPA pWORL
1Joe L. Morgan371.9293.984.9117.6
2Mike Schmidt338.5257.671.099.7
3Tom Seaver306.9258.265.198.6
4Rickey Henderson332.0257.164.493.0
5Reggie Jackson370.0295.858.492.6
6Hank Aaron332.1248.963.192.5
7Willie Mays267.8189.767.590.4
8Jim Palmer241.5186.161.988.7
9Frank Robinson296.7217.861.688.1
10Bob Gibson252.9207.259.787.2
11Steve Carlton335.6305.949.286.9
12Carl Yastrzemski430.9360.245.585.7
13Nolan Ryan354.6329.638.181.0
14Juan Marichal225.6184.654.679.1
15Lou Whitaker303.8262.651.278.5
16Fergie Jenkins285.0252.344.477.4
17Gaylord Perry315.6290.238.276.1
18Don Sutton318.6297.338.475.6
19Dave Winfield397.3339.838.775.5
20Dwight Evans330.1271.945.675.3


There are four basic factors in which players can earn Player won-lost records: batting, baserunning, pitching, and fielding. Setting aside pitching, the next table shows the decomposition of Dave Winfield's career record across these three basic factors: batting, baserunning, and fielding.

Batting Baserunning Fielding
eWins eLosses eWOPA eWins eLosses eWOPA eWins eLosses eWOPA
266.9220.9
43.1
22.721.2
1.2
103.4102.01.4


Dave Winfield was above-average for his career in all three player factors: batting, baserunning, and fielding.

This puts Dave Winfield in fairly elite company. The next table shows all players for whom I have calculated Player won-lost records who had at least 200 batting wins, 15 baserunning wins, 75 fielding wins, were over positional average in all three factors*, and also had positive pWOPA for their career. The players are sorted by pWORL.
*Positional average for batting and baserunning excludes pitcher offense. This is done to fairly compare players in DH and non-DH leagues.

pWins pLosses pWORL pWOPA
Barry Bonds466.8310.6136.5174.4
Willie Mays465.3329.8116.5156.6
Hank Aaron496.7369.198.5142.5
Mickey Mantle354.1227.5112.2141.9
Mel Ott419.7295.2103.6140.8
Rickey Henderson428.4350.362.5100.5
Al Kaline380.5299.258.693.2
Cal Ripken382.3351.649.284.5
Dave Winfield397.3339.838.775.5
Dwight Evans330.1271.945.675.3
Paul Waner363.4303.736.270.9
Roberto Clemente357.0295.137.870.5
Adrian Beltre358.5318.335.368.5
Brooks Robinson352.3310.632.064.9
Carlos Beltran331.4290.032.463.6
Billy Williams332.4278.231.262.1
Bobby Abreu309.4264.029.657.9
Andre Dawson350.4309.722.855.1
Tony Gwynn Sr.319.4286.112.441.5
Vada Pinson325.7297.49.740.7


Article last updated: March 30, 2019



All articles are written so that they pull data directly from the most recent version of the Player won-lost database. Hence, any numbers cited within these articles should automatically incorporate the most recent update to Player won-lost records. In some cases, however, the accompanying text may have been written based on previous versions of Player won-lost records. I apologize if this results in non-sensical text in any cases.

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