Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jeff Bagwell

Hall-of-Famers as Seen Through Player Won-Lost Records: Jeff Bagwell

Jeff Bagwell was elected to the Hall of Fame in his 7th year of eligibility, 2017, with 86.2% of the vote.

The first table below presents Jeff Bagwell's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Jeff Bagwell
Basic Player Won-Lost Records
Value Decomposition
Season Team Age Games pWins pLosses pWin Pct. pWOPA pWORL eWins eLosses eWin Pct. eWOPA eWORL
1991HOU23
156
17.815.90.5280.1
1.5
18.115.70.5360.41.7
1992HOU24
162
22.616.90.5721.8
3.3
20.516.70.5511.02.4
1993HOU25
142
16.713.90.5450.5
1.7
16.912.90.5671.22.3
1994HOU26
110
17.19.90.6322.7
3.8
16.79.30.6432.94.0
1995HOU27
114
15.310.70.5891.5
2.5
15.911.40.5821.42.5
1996HOU28
162
22.915.00.6042.8
4.4
21.915.20.5902.33.8
1997HOU29
162
22.014.60.6022.3
3.7
23.214.30.6183.04.4
1998HOU30
147
19.313.30.5911.9
3.2
19.614.00.5831.73.0
1999HOU31
162
22.814.20.6163.3
4.7
21.014.60.5902.23.6
2000HOU32
159
18.715.60.5460.4
1.8
20.114.60.5801.63.0
2001HOU33
161
22.414.10.6143.0
4.6
20.214.80.5781.63.1
2002HOU34
158
19.515.10.5641.1
2.5
18.214.20.5620.92.2
2003HOU35
160
18.516.10.5350.3
1.6
18.115.30.5420.51.8
2004HOU36
156
16.714.00.5440.6
1.8
16.714.00.5440.61.8
2005HOU37
39
3.13.00.510-0.1
0.2
3.02.80.5240.00.3
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)
2,150
275.4202.40.57622.3
41.3
270.1199.60.57521.239.9
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
PostSeason (career)
33
2.53.40.423 -0.42.62.80.488 0.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------ ------
COMBINED
2,183
277.9205.80.576
40.9
272.7202.40.575 39.9


Jeff Bagwell has a case as the best first baseman since World War II (and/or since integration). The next table shows the top 10 players in (context-neutral, teammate-adjusted) wins over positional average earned as a first baseman among all players since 1946.

Top 10 First Basemen
(Ranked by Career Wins over Positional Average, First Base Only)
eWins eLosses eWORL
1Albert Pujols218.6158.420.9
2Mark McGwire209.4151.820.2
3Jeff Bagwell267.3199.619.8
4Willie McCovey229.0176.214.7
5Frank E. Thomas125.188.513.8
6Joey Votto171.9130.812.8
7Will Clark219.2173.012.7
8Todd Helton247.2199.011.8
9Gil Hodges202.0164.711.7
10Jim Thome129.195.311.5


Jeff Bagwell ranks third in first base wins over positional average over this time period. But Bagwell amassed significantly more decisions at first base than either of the players ahead of him. The next table, then, lowers the baseline from positional average to replacement level.

Top 10 First Basemen
(Ranked by Career Wins over Replacement Level, First Base Only)
eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1Jeff Bagwell267.3199.619.838.4
2Albert Pujols218.6158.420.935.6
3Mark McGwire209.4151.820.234.3
4Willie McCovey229.0176.214.731.3
5Eddie Murray271.7231.810.229.9
6Todd Helton247.2199.011.828.9
7Will Clark219.2173.012.728.0
8Rafael Palmeiro239.4203.38.827.1
9Fred McGriff251.9210.38.526.9
10Norm Cash210.3165.611.526.9


Jeff Bagwell has the most (context-neutral) wins over replacement level as a first baseman since 1946.

To be entirely fair, this is due, in part, to the fact that Jeff Bagwell was exclusively a first baseman throughout his career (outside of 10 games as a DH and 7 innings in right field) while several other players played multiple positions. The final table, then, shows the top 10 players in pWins over replacement level (pWORL) among players who earned at least 50% of their player wins as a first baseman.

Top 10 First Basemen
(Ranked by career pWORL, All Positions)
eWins eLosses eWOPA eWORL
1Albert Pujols334.8243.534.158.0
2Eddie Murray345.7285.318.745.0
3Willie McCovey295.9221.623.344.4
4Jeff Bagwell275.4202.422.341.3
5Jason Giambi236.0184.618.837.8
6Tony Perez308.0257.214.837.8
7Mark McGwire220.1158.921.936.7
8Gil Hodges224.7172.818.935.0
9Rafael Palmeiro307.6267.39.033.4
10Will Clark232.2179.515.731.8


Regardless of how one measures it, even if Jeff Bagwell was not the best first baseman since World War II, he is an extremely well-qualified Hall-of-Famer.



All articles are written so that they pull data directly from the most recent version of the Player won-lost database. Hence, any numbers cited within these articles should automatically incorporate the most recent update to Player won-lost records. In some cases, however, the accompanying text may have been written based on previous versions of Player won-lost records. I apologize if this results in non-sensical text in any cases.

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