Joe Carter

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Joe Carter

2019 Today's Game Era Hall of Fame Ballot: Joe Carter

On Monday, November 5, 2018, the Baseball Hall of Fame announced the candidates for the 2019 "Today's Game Era" ballot, the latest version of the Hall-of-Fame's Veterans' Committee. The ballot included six players (plus two managers who had significant, but not Hall-of-Fame caliber, playing careers). This article looks at Joe Carter.

The first table below presents Joe Carter's career as measured by Player won-lost records.

Season	Team	Age	Games	pWins	pLosses	pWin Pct.	pWOPA	pWORL	eWins	eLosses	eWin Pct.	eWOPA	eWORL
Joe Carter Basic Player Won-Lost Records
												Value Decomposition
1983	CHN	23	23	0.9	1.9	0.317	-0.5	-0.4	1.0	1.8	0.371	-0.4	-0.3
1984	CLE	24	66	9.2	6.8	0.576	1.0	1.7	8.6	7.4	0.538	0.4	1.1
1985	CLE	25	143	15.3	17.8	0.464	-1.5	-0.2	16.7	16.4	0.506	-0.1	1.2
1986	CLE	26	162	22.5	18.9	0.544	1.4	2.9	22.4	18.9	0.543	1.3	2.8
1987	CLE	27	149	15.4	18.3	0.456	-2.1	-0.8	17.2	16.5	0.511	-0.3	1.1
1988	CLE	28	157	21.6	20.1	0.518	0.5	2.1	21.5	20.2	0.515	0.4	2.0
1989	CLE	29	162	21.4	21.9	0.495	-0.4	1.1	21.7	21.6	0.501	-0.1	1.4
1990	SDN	30	162	21.0	21.8	0.491	-1.1	0.5	21.4	21.4	0.501	-0.7	0.9
1991	TOR	31	162	19.9	17.5	0.532	0.8	2.3	20.3	17.0	0.544	1.2	2.7
1992	TOR	32	158	22.0	17.8	0.554	1.9	3.5	21.3	18.5	0.536	1.2	2.8
1993	TOR	33	155	20.2	18.2	0.525	0.7	2.2	19.7	18.7	0.514	0.3	1.8
1994	TOR	34	111	14.8	14.0	0.515	0.1	1.3	14.7	14.1	0.510	-0.1	1.1
1995	TOR	35	139	15.6	19.1	0.450	-2.0	-0.6	17.0	17.6	0.492	-0.6	0.8
1996	TOR	36	157	18.7	19.9	0.485	-1.2	0.4	18.6	19.9	0.483	-1.2	0.4
1997	TOR	37	157	15.6	17.2	0.476	-1.3	0.3	15.7	17.2	0.477	-1.2	0.4
+– 1998		38	126	10.9	11.3	0.491	-0.6	0.4	10.8	11.4	0.487	-0.6	0.4
	BAL		85	7.3	8.2	0.472	-0.6	0.1	7.4	8.1	0.477	-0.6	0.1
	SFN		41	3.6	3.2	0.533	0.1	0.4	3.4	3.3	0.510	-0.1	0.2
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER (reg. season)			2,189	265.1	262.4	0.503	-4.3	16.6	268.9	258.5	0.510	-0.5	20.5
			------	------	------				------	------
PostSeason (career)			29	4.0	3.0	0.569		0.7	3.6	3.4	0.514		0.3
			------	------	------	------		------	------	------	------		------
COMBINED			2,218	269.1	265.4	0.503		17.4	272.6	262.0	0.510		20.8

As I suspect most baseball fans know, the highlight of Joe Carter's career was the bottom of the ninth inning of Game 6 of the 1993 World Series when Carter came up to bat with two runners on base, one out, and Carter's Toronto Blue Jays trailing the Philadelphia Phillies 6-5. Carter hit a line drive over the left field wall and the Toronto Blue Jays won the game 8-6 and the World Series, 4 games to 2.

Carter played in two World Series, both with the Blue Jays. In 12 World Series games, Carter drove in 11 runs and scored 8 runs. In addition to their walk-off Game 6 win in 1993, the Blue Jays won five World Series games by a single run over these two seasons (including all four of their wins in 1992). Joe Carter drove in or scored a run in three of these five games. Putting Carter's World Series performance in context, as pWins do, his performance across these two World Series was historic.

The next table shows the top 25 World Series performers, since MLB integration (1947), ranked by pWin winning percentage (min. 1.75 career World Series pWins).

		Top World Series Performers since 1947 (ranked by pWin Pct, min. 1.75 career pWins)
		pWins	pLosses	pWin Pct.
1	Kirk Gibson	1.95	0.45	0.813
2	Hideki Matsui	2.40	0.79	0.751
3	Madison Bumgarner	3.22	1.09	0.748
4	David Ortiz	1.92	0.65	0.747
5	Mariano Rivera	3.69	1.46	0.717
6	Josh Beckett	1.85	0.80	0.698
7	Luis Tiant Jr.	1.84	0.82	0.690
8	Scott Brosius	3.15	1.50	0.678
9	Tim McCarver	2.98	1.45	0.672
10	Mickey Lolich	2.06	1.04	0.665
11	Joe Carter	1.95	1.00	0.661
12	Tug McGraw	2.09	1.13	0.648
13	Reggie Jackson	4.31	2.36	0.647
14	Tino Martinez	2.86	1.57	0.645
15	Rollie Fingers	3.26	1.83	0.640
16	Ed Lopat	3.32	1.90	0.636
17	Bobby 'Doc' Brown	1.91	1.10	0.634
18	Albert Pujols	2.19	1.28	0.631
19	Johnny Podres	2.89	1.71	0.628
20	Roberto Clemente	2.33	1.41	0.624
21	Jon Lester	2.47	1.51	0.621
22	Chuck Knoblauch	3.64	2.25	0.618
23	Pablo Sandoval	2.11	1.32	0.615
24	Roger Clemens	2.85	1.80	0.612
25	Frank Robinson	3.87	2.46	0.612

All articles are written so that they pull data directly from the most recent version of the Player won-lost database. Hence, any numbers cited within these articles should automatically incorporate the most recent update to Player won-lost records. In some cases, however, the accompanying text may have been written based on previous versions of Player won-lost records. I apologize if this results in non-sensical text in any cases.

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