Joe Niekro - Pitching

Joe Niekro - Pitching

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Season	Team	pWins	pLoss	Starter	Relief	Total

		Pitching Won-Lost Records
				pWins over Positional Average
1967	CHN	8.4	8.3	0.3	-0.1	-0.1
1968	CHN	10.2	10.2	-0.2	0.3	0.3
+– 1969		11.7	14.2	-2.3	-0.2	-2.4
	CHN	0.9	1.1	-0.1	-0.2	-0.3
	SDN	10.9	13.1	-2.2	0.1	-2.2
1970	DET	11.2	12.1	-0.9	0.1	0.1
1971	DET	5.5	6.4	-1.2	0.4	0.4
1972	DET	2.1	2.2	0.2	-0.2	-0.2
1973	ATL	1.2	2.4	-	-1.3	-1.3
1974	ATL	1.4	2.7	-0.2	-1.2	-1.2
1975	HOU	3.9	3.6	0.7	-0.5	-0.5
1976	HOU	5.2	6.7	-1.0	-0.5	-0.5
1977	HOU	10.7	8.4	1.8	0.5	0.5
1978	HOU	11.2	11.9	-0.8	0.1	0.1
1979	HOU	16.9	13.9	3.2	-	-
1980	HOU	13.3	13.6	-0.2	0.1	0.1
1981	HOU	9.1	7.7	1.5	-	-
1982	HOU	15.4	11.8	3.8	-	-
1983	HOU	15.2	14.9	0.5	-	-
1984	HOU	11.1	11.5	-0.3	-	-
+– 1985		11.4	15.3	-3.7	-	-3.7
	HOU	10.3	14.0	-3.5	-	-3.5
	NYA	1.1	1.3	-0.2	-	-0.2
1986	NYA	7.4	8.4	-0.9	-	-
+– 1987		9.6	11.1	-1.4	0.0	-1.3
	MIN	6.1	8.2	-2.0	0.0	-2.0
	NYA	3.5	2.9	0.7	-	0.7
1988	MIN	0.5	0.9	-0.5	0.1	0.1
------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER (reg. season)		192.6	198.3	-1.5	-2.3	-3.8


		Pitching Won-Lost Records by Component
		Component 1			Component 2
Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins
1967	CHN	0.0	0.1	-0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0
1968	CHN	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
+– 1969		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.2
	CHN	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0
	SDN	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1
1970	DET	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.2
1971	DET	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
1972	DET	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.0
1973	ATL	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1974	ATL	0.0	0.1	-0.1	0.0	0.2	-0.2
1975	HOU	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.1	0.2	-0.1
1976	HOU	0.0	0.3	-0.2	0.1	0.4	-0.3
1977	HOU	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.2	0.4	-0.2
1978	HOU	0.4	0.4	-0.0	0.2	0.5	-0.3
1979	HOU	0.4	0.3	0.0	0.2	0.6	-0.4
1980	HOU	0.2	0.4	-0.2	0.2	0.7	-0.6
1981	HOU	0.2	0.3	-0.1	0.1	0.2	-0.1
1982	HOU	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.9	-0.7
1983	HOU	0.2	0.6	-0.3	0.3	1.3	-1.0
1984	HOU	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.9	-0.7
+– 1985		0.3	0.6	-0.3	0.2	1.2	-0.9
	HOU	0.3	0.6	-0.2	0.2	1.1	-0.9
	NYA	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1986	NYA	0.0	0.3	-0.3	0.1	0.4	-0.3
+– 1987		0.2	0.3	-0.2	0.2	0.5	-0.3
	MIN	0.1	0.2	-0.2	0.1	0.5	-0.3
	NYA	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1988	MIN	0.0	0.1	-0.1	0.0	0.0	-0.0
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		4.0	5.0	-1.0	3.3	9.0	-5.7


		Component 3		Component 4		Combined
Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	eWins	eLoss	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins
1967	CHN	1.6	0.9	4.9	5.2	6.5	6.0	0.5
1968	CHN	1.3	1.9	5.2	6.6	6.5	8.5	-2.0
+– 1969		1.2	1.4	6.8	7.0	8.0	8.4	-0.4
	CHN	0.1	0.2	0.6	0.8	0.8	1.0	-0.2
	SDN	1.1	1.2	6.2	6.2	7.2	7.4	-0.2
1970	DET	2.2	2.3	6.6	7.9	8.8	10.1	-1.4
1971	DET	0.9	1.5	3.7	4.3	4.6	5.8	-1.2
1972	DET	0.5	0.3	1.3	1.8	1.8	2.1	-0.3
1973	ATL	0.3	0.3	0.7	0.6	0.9	0.9	-0.0
1974	ATL	0.6	0.6	1.1	1.2	1.7	1.8	-0.1
1975	HOU	1.1	1.1	2.3	1.9	3.4	3.1	0.3
1976	HOU	1.6	1.8	3.1	3.2	4.7	5.0	-0.3
1977	HOU	2.2	1.9	5.1	5.0	7.3	7.0	0.3
1978	HOU	2.0	2.7	5.7	5.1	7.7	7.8	-0.1
1979	HOU	2.5	3.5	8.0	6.4	10.5	9.9	0.7
1980	HOU	2.6	2.8	7.2	7.2	9.8	9.9	-0.1
1981	HOU	1.6	1.5	4.4	4.2	5.9	5.6	0.3
1982	HOU	2.7	2.3	7.5	5.9	10.1	8.2	1.9
1983	HOU	3.2	3.3	7.1	6.6	10.3	9.9	0.4
1984	HOU	2.6	3.2	6.6	6.2	9.1	9.4	-0.2
+– 1985		2.4	4.0	6.1	6.3	8.5	10.3	-1.8
	HOU	2.3	3.7	5.7	5.7	8.1	9.4	-1.4
	NYA	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.6	0.5	0.9	-0.4
1986	NYA	1.3	1.9	3.9	4.2	5.1	6.1	-1.0
+– 1987		1.8	2.1	4.4	4.4	6.2	6.5	-0.3
	MIN	1.2	1.4	2.8	3.4	4.0	4.8	-0.8
	NYA	0.6	0.6	1.5	1.1	2.2	1.7	0.5
1988	MIN	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.6	0.5	0.8	-0.3
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		36.2	41.4	101.9	101.9	138.2	143.3	-5.2

Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins

		Component 5			Component 6			Component 7
1967	CHN	1.4	1.6	-0.2	0.2	0.3	-0.2	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1968	CHN	1.5	1.7	-0.2	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.0
+– 1969		2.1	1.8	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	-0.1
	CHN	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
	SDN	1.9	1.7	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1970	DET	2.0	1.7	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
1971	DET	1.1	1.2	-0.1	0.1	0.2	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1972	DET	0.4	0.5	-0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1973	ATL	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
1974	ATL	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1975	HOU	0.7	0.7	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1976	HOU	1.0	1.0	-0.0	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
1977	HOU	1.5	1.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
1978	HOU	1.7	1.7	0.0	0.2	0.3	-0.1	0.0	0.1	-0.1
1979	HOU	2.2	1.9	0.3	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.3	0.1	0.2
1980	HOU	2.3	2.4	-0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	-0.0
1981	HOU	1.4	1.3	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.0	0.2
1982	HOU	2.3	1.9	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.1	-0.1
1983	HOU	2.0	2.0	-0.0	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1984	HOU	2.1	1.9	0.2	0.2	0.3	-0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.0
+– 1985		1.9	1.8	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
	HOU	1.8	1.7	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1
	NYA	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1986	NYA	1.1	1.1	-0.0	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
+– 1987		1.1	1.1	-0.0	0.1	0.2	-0.0	0.1	-0.0	0.1
	MIN	0.8	0.8	-0.1	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
	NYA	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.0	0.1	-0.0	0.1	-0.0	0.1
1988	MIN	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.0	0.1
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		30.2	29.1	1.1	3.3	3.2	0.1	1.3	0.9	0.4

		Context Multipliers			Win Adjustments
		Contextual Adjustments
Season	Team	Inter-Game	Intra-Game	Combined	Inter-Game	Intra-Game
1967	CHN	0.86	1.17	1.00	0.008	-0.007
1968	CHN	1.08	0.99	1.07	0.038	0.015
+– 1969		1.03	1.18	1.21	-0.017	-0.031
	CHN	1.04	0.86	0.89	0.011	-0.022
	SDN	1.03	1.22	1.25	-0.020	-0.033
1970	DET	1.02	0.97	0.99	-0.013	0.008
1971	DET	0.95	0.94	0.89	0.027	-0.015
1972	DET	0.84	1.00	0.85	0.035	0.004
1973	ATL	1.87	0.77	1.44	-0.087	-0.077
1974	ATL	1.12	0.81	0.91	-0.119	-0.006
1975	HOU	1.07	0.83	0.89	-0.006	0.012
1976	HOU	0.98	0.95	0.93	-0.022	-0.007
1977	HOU	1.06	0.99	1.05	0.014	0.038
1978	HOU	1.03	1.07	1.10	0.005	-0.006
1979	HOU	0.99	1.16	1.15	0.006	0.027
1980	HOU	0.87	1.17	1.01	-0.004	0.016
1981	HOU	0.93	1.17	1.08	0.003	0.021
1982	HOU	0.97	1.13	1.09	0.015	0.015
1983	HOU	1.00	1.11	1.11	0.015	0.004
1984	HOU	0.86	1.05	0.91	-0.009	0.010
+– 1985		0.98	1.07	1.05	0.008	-0.029
	HOU	0.99	1.03	1.02	0.004	-0.032
	NYA	0.87	1.68	1.47	0.064	0.009
1986	NYA	1.03	1.05	1.09	0.016	0.008
+– 1987		0.98	1.29	1.26	0.008	-0.021
	MIN	0.97	1.29	1.25	0.016	-0.029
	NYA	1.00	1.27	1.26	-0.014	-0.001
1988	MIN	0.98	0.82	0.81	0.116	-0.168
------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		0.98	1.07	1.05	0.003	0.003

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