Phil Niekro - Pitching

Phil Niekro - Pitching

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Season	Team	pWins	pLoss	Starter	Relief	Total

		Pitching Won-Lost Records
				pWins over Positional Average
1964	MLN	0.2	0.3	-	-0.1	-0.1
1965	MLN	3.1	2.8	-0.1	0.3	0.3
1966	ATL	2.0	1.7	-	0.2	0.2
1967	ATL	12.8	10.9	1.3	0.6	0.6
1968	ATL	14.1	12.1	2.3	-0.2	-0.2
1969	ATL	18.3	13.5	4.6	0.3	0.3
1970	ATL	13.0	15.5	-2.5	0.1	0.1
1971	ATL	14.1	13.7	0.2	0.4	0.4
1972	ATL	16.2	11.9	4.7	-0.3	-0.3
1973	ATL	12.6	11.4	1.4	-0.1	-0.1
1974	ATL	16.4	14.3	2.4	-0.2	-0.2
1975	ATL	15.1	15.2	0.4	-0.3	-0.3
1976	ATL	15.6	13.2	2.7	-0.2	-0.2
1977	ATL	19.6	18.2	1.6	0.0	0.0
1978	ATL	19.7	15.8	3.6	0.3	0.3
1979	ATL	17.6	17.8	-0.0	-	-
1980	ATL	16.0	16.3	-0.4	0.2	0.2
1981	ATL	8.2	8.1	0.2	-	-
1982	ATL	11.1	9.5	1.7	-	-
1983	ATL	10.7	12.4	-1.5	-0.0	-0.0
1984	NYA	13.1	9.6	3.7	0.0	0.0
1985	NYA	13.7	14.2	-0.3	-	-
1986	CLE	11.4	12.8	-1.4	0.2	0.2
+– 1987		8.2	10.6	-2.3	-	-2.3
	ATL	0.1	0.4	-0.3	-	-0.3
	CLE	7.4	8.5	-1.0	-	-1.0
	TOR	0.7	1.6	-1.0	-	-1.0
------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER (reg. season)		302.8	281.9	22.4	1.4	23.8


		Pitching Won-Lost Records by Component
		Component 1			Component 2
Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins
1964	MLN	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1965	MLN	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.1	0.3	-0.2
1966	ATL	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.1	0.2	-0.1
1967	ATL	0.3	0.4	-0.1	0.2	1.1	-0.9
1968	ATL	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.8	-0.6
1969	ATL	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.3	1.0	-0.8
1970	ATL	0.2	0.2	-0.1	0.2	0.4	-0.2
1971	ATL	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.6	-0.3
1972	ATL	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.7	-0.4
1973	ATL	0.4	0.4	-0.0	0.2	0.5	-0.3
1974	ATL	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.2	0.8	-0.6
1975	ATL	0.5	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.7	-0.4
1976	ATL	0.2	0.3	-0.1	0.2	0.6	-0.4
1977	ATL	0.9	0.7	0.2	0.3	1.0	-0.7
1978	ATL	0.4	0.4	-0.1	0.3	0.7	-0.5
1979	ATL	0.3	0.6	-0.3	0.2	1.1	-0.9
1980	ATL	0.5	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.3	-0.1
1981	ATL	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.3	-0.2
1982	ATL	0.5	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.3	-0.1
1983	ATL	0.4	0.3	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1
1984	NYA	0.4	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.2	-0.1
1985	NYA	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.2	0.4	-0.2
1986	CLE	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0
+– 1987		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	-0.1
	ATL	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
	CLE	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	-0.1
	TOR	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		7.6	6.3	1.4	4.6	12.5	-7.9


		Component 3		Component 4		Combined
Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	eWins	eLoss	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins
1964	MLN	0.2	0.3	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.7	-0.2
1965	MLN	1.0	0.9	1.9	1.7	2.8	2.6	0.2
1966	ATL	0.3	0.6	1.5	1.3	1.9	1.9	0.0
1967	ATL	2.6	2.1	5.7	4.7	8.4	6.7	1.6
1968	ATL	2.9	1.6	6.6	7.4	9.5	9.0	0.5
1969	ATL	3.9	2.0	7.9	6.5	11.8	8.4	3.3
1970	ATL	3.4	2.2	6.0	8.7	9.5	10.9	-1.4
1971	ATL	3.8	2.3	7.5	8.4	11.3	10.7	0.6
1972	ATL	3.4	1.8	8.0	7.6	11.4	9.4	2.1
1973	ATL	2.8	2.7	7.3	6.4	10.1	9.1	1.0
1974	ATL	4.0	3.0	8.5	6.9	12.5	9.9	2.6
1975	ATL	2.9	2.4	7.8	9.2	10.7	11.6	-0.9
1976	ATL	3.7	3.7	7.9	6.7	11.6	10.4	1.2
1977	ATL	5.6	5.0	9.0	7.9	14.6	12.9	1.8
1978	ATL	5.1	3.3	8.9	7.0	14.0	10.2	3.8
1979	ATL	4.2	3.5	9.7	10.0	13.9	13.5	0.4
1980	ATL	3.5	2.8	7.4	8.6	10.9	11.4	-0.5
1981	ATL	1.3	1.7	4.1	3.3	5.4	5.0	0.3
1982	ATL	2.9	2.5	6.2	7.0	9.2	9.5	-0.3
1983	ATL	2.7	3.2	5.6	6.0	8.4	9.1	-0.8
1984	NYA	2.8	3.0	6.1	5.2	9.0	8.3	0.7
1985	NYA	3.1	4.1	6.3	6.9	9.3	10.9	-1.6
1986	CLE	1.7	3.0	7.0	6.9	8.7	10.0	-1.2
+– 1987		1.4	2.1	4.6	5.1	6.0	7.2	-1.2
	ATL	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.4	-0.3
	CLE	1.3	1.7	4.1	4.2	5.4	5.8	-0.5
	TOR	0.2	0.2	0.4	0.7	0.5	1.0	-0.4
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		69.2	59.7	152.0	149.5	221.2	209.2	12.0

Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins

		Component 5			Component 6			Component 7
1964	MLN	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1965	MLN	0.6	0.6	-0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
1966	ATL	0.4	0.4	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1967	ATL	1.6	1.4	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1968	ATL	2.2	2.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	-0.0
1969	ATL	2.0	2.0	-0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
1970	ATL	1.7	1.7	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	-0.1
1971	ATL	2.3	2.0	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1
1972	ATL	2.3	2.1	0.2	0.2	0.3	-0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0
1973	ATL	2.1	1.7	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1974	ATL	2.2	2.1	0.1	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.4	0.1	0.3
1975	ATL	2.2	2.3	-0.1	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1
1976	ATL	2.1	2.3	-0.2	0.2	0.3	-0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.1
1977	ATL	2.4	2.3	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
1978	ATL	2.3	2.6	-0.3	0.3	0.3	-0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.1
1979	ATL	2.6	2.3	0.3	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.1
1980	ATL	2.1	2.0	0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.1	0.1
1981	ATL	1.1	1.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.0
1982	ATL	1.8	1.7	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.2
1983	ATL	1.5	1.7	-0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.1
1984	NYA	1.7	1.8	-0.1	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.1
1985	NYA	1.6	1.6	0.0	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1
1986	CLE	1.7	1.9	-0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.3	0.1	0.2
+– 1987		1.2	1.2	-0.0	0.1	0.2	-0.1	0.0	0.0	-0.0
	ATL	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
	CLE	1.1	1.1	-0.0	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
	TOR	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0	-	-	-
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		41.7	40.9	0.8	4.5	4.2	0.3	2.4	1.7	0.7

		Context Multipliers			Win Adjustments
		Contextual Adjustments
Season	Team	Inter-Game	Intra-Game	Combined	Inter-Game	Intra-Game
1964	MLN	0.30	1.20	0.36	-0.015	-0.018
1965	MLN	0.88	0.91	0.80	0.023	-0.002
1966	ATL	0.94	0.78	0.73	0.075	-0.030
1967	ATL	1.22	0.94	1.15	-0.000	0.022
1968	ATL	0.98	1.07	1.05	0.013	0.020
1969	ATL	1.05	1.13	1.19	0.010	0.011
1970	ATL	0.99	1.14	1.13	0.005	-0.015
1971	ATL	1.03	0.96	0.99	-0.022	0.019
1972	ATL	1.04	0.99	1.03	0.003	0.041
1973	ATL	1.02	0.94	0.97	-0.010	0.016
1974	ATL	0.98	1.08	1.05	-0.005	-0.003
1975	ATL	1.02	1.02	1.04	0.016	0.002
1976	ATL	0.94	1.08	1.01	0.030	0.006
1977	ATL	1.13	0.93	1.06	-0.006	0.011
1978	ATL	1.08	1.04	1.12	0.012	-0.001
1979	ATL	0.95	1.07	1.01	0.012	-0.005
1980	ATL	0.96	1.19	1.15	-0.002	0.001
1981	ATL	1.03	1.14	1.18	-0.019	0.011
1982	ATL	0.94	0.91	0.85	-0.012	0.049
1983	ATL	1.02	1.02	1.04	-0.009	-0.009
1984	NYA	1.01	1.02	1.02	0.008	0.054
1985	NYA	0.94	1.19	1.12	0.011	0.015
1986	CLE	1.02	1.00	1.02	0.013	-0.017
+– 1987		1.02	1.11	1.13	-0.009	-0.014
	ATL	1.06	0.90	0.95	0.017	-0.071
	CLE	0.99	1.14	1.12	-0.003	-0.011
	TOR	1.24	1.01	1.25	-0.031	-0.052
------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		1.01	1.04	1.05	0.004	0.009

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