John Smiley - Pitching

John Smiley - Pitching

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Season	Team	pWins	pLoss	Starter	Relief	Total

		Pitching Won-Lost Records
				pWins over Positional Average
1986	PIT	0.3	0.3	-	-0.1	-0.1
1987	PIT	3.4	3.9	-	-0.6	-0.6
1988	PIT	12.0	11.0	1.2	-0.1	-0.1
1989	PIT	11.4	10.1	1.4	-	-
1990	PIT	8.2	8.4	-0.2	-0.0	-0.0
1991	PIT	12.0	9.6	2.3	0.1	0.1
1992	MIN	14.1	11.9	2.4	-	-
1993	CIN	4.9	8.0	-3.1	-	-
1994	CIN	8.0	8.0	0.1	-	-
1995	CIN	10.1	7.4	2.9	-0.0	-0.0
1996	CIN	11.4	11.1	0.6	-0.1	-0.1
+– 1997		9.5	11.1	-1.4	-	-1.4
	CIN	7.5	8.2	-0.6	-	-0.6
	CLE	2.0	2.9	-0.9	-	-0.9
------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER (reg. season)		105.2	100.7	6.3	-0.7	5.6


		Pitching Won-Lost Records by Component
		Component 1			Component 2
Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins
1986	PIT	0.0	0.0	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1987	PIT	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.2	-0.1
1988	PIT	0.2	0.3	-0.0	0.2	0.2	-0.0
1989	PIT	0.3	0.4	-0.2	0.2	0.2	0.0
1990	PIT	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
1991	PIT	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.1
1992	MIN	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.1
1993	CIN	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0
1994	CIN	0.1	0.2	-0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
1995	CIN	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.2	-0.0
1996	CIN	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.2	0.2	-0.0
+– 1997		0.2	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
	CIN	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0
	CLE	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		2.3	2.2	0.0	1.5	1.2	0.2


		Component 3		Component 4		Combined
Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	eWins	eLoss	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins
1986	PIT	0.2	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.5	-0.0
1987	PIT	1.2	1.3	2.0	2.2	3.3	3.5	-0.2
1988	PIT	2.7	1.3	5.7	6.4	8.3	7.7	0.6
1989	PIT	2.6	1.4	5.6	7.1	8.2	8.5	-0.2
1990	PIT	1.7	1.1	4.3	4.9	6.0	6.0	0.0
1991	PIT	2.6	1.4	5.4	5.8	8.0	7.2	0.8
1992	MIN	3.4	2.0	6.6	6.3	10.0	8.3	1.7
1993	CIN	1.2	1.0	2.9	3.8	4.2	4.8	-0.6
1994	CIN	2.5	1.1	4.5	5.4	7.0	6.5	0.5
1995	CIN	2.6	1.2	4.8	4.4	7.4	5.5	1.9
1996	CIN	3.6	1.6	5.4	6.0	9.0	7.6	1.4
+– 1997		2.5	1.3	3.9	6.4	6.4	7.7	-1.2
	CIN	1.9	1.0	2.9	4.6	4.8	5.6	-0.7
	CLE	0.6	0.3	1.0	1.8	1.6	2.1	-0.5
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		26.8	14.9	51.5	58.8	78.3	73.7	4.6

Season	Team	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins	eWins	eLoss	Net Wins

		Component 5			Component 6			Component 7
1986	PIT	0.1	0.0	0.1	0.0	-0.0	0.0	-	-	-
1987	PIT	0.6	0.6	-0.0	0.1	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1988	PIT	1.6	1.6	0.0	0.2	0.3	-0.1	0.3	0.1	0.3
1989	PIT	1.8	1.4	0.4	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1990	PIT	1.2	1.3	-0.1	0.1	0.2	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1991	PIT	1.6	1.7	-0.0	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
1992	MIN	1.8	1.6	0.2	0.2	0.3	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1993	CIN	0.9	0.9	-0.0	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
1994	CIN	1.3	1.4	-0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.2	0.0	0.2
1995	CIN	1.3	1.4	-0.1	0.1	0.3	-0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0
1996	CIN	1.7	1.6	0.1	0.2	0.2	-0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.1
+– 1997		1.2	1.3	-0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
	CIN	0.8	1.0	-0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
	CLE	0.3	0.3	0.0	0.0	0.1	-0.0	0.0	0.0	-0.0
------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		15.0	14.7	0.2	1.6	1.8	-0.2	0.6	0.4	0.2

		Context Multipliers			Win Adjustments
		Contextual Adjustments
Season	Team	Inter-Game	Intra-Game	Combined	Inter-Game	Intra-Game
1986	PIT	0.38	1.56	0.59	0.104	-0.177
1987	PIT	1.02	0.84	0.86	-0.006	-0.006
1988	PIT	1.00	1.10	1.11	-0.008	0.011
1989	PIT	1.06	0.95	1.01	0.013	0.016
1990	PIT	0.94	1.15	1.08	-0.006	-0.000
1991	PIT	0.96	1.14	1.09	0.001	0.029
1992	MIN	0.97	1.17	1.13	-0.017	0.015
1993	CIN	0.97	1.19	1.15	-0.037	-0.056
1994	CIN	0.91	1.01	0.92	-0.021	0.006
1995	CIN	1.05	1.00	1.04	-0.010	0.040
1996	CIN	0.99	1.08	1.07	-0.018	-0.009
+– 1997		0.93	1.27	1.18	0.009	-0.008
	CIN	0.95	1.28	1.21	0.020	-0.008
	CLE	0.88	1.23	1.08	-0.026	-0.009
------	------	------	------	------	------	------
CAREER		0.98	1.09	1.06	-0.007	0.005

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