Steve Arlin - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Steve Arlin
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1969
SDN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.5
-0.1
-0.5
1970
SDN
-0.1
0.0
0.6
0.0
0.5
1971
SDN
-1.4
-0.0
-2.3
-0.1
-3.9
1972
SDN
-0.7
-0.2
-5.4
-0.2
-6.4
1973
SDN
-0.4
-0.0
-1.8
0.0
-2.2
+
1974
-0.6
-0.0
-3.5
0.0
-4.1
CLE
0.0
0.0
-1.2
0.0
-1.2
SDN
-0.6
-0.0
-2.3
0.0
-2.9
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-3.3
-0.2
-12.9
-0.2
-16.5
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1969
SDN
0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.4
1970
SDN
0.1
0.5
0.1
0.6
1971
SDN
1.2
-2.7
1.7
-1.0
1972
SDN
1.0
-5.3
2.1
-3.2
1973
SDN
0.8
-1.4
1.6
0.2
+
1974
0.3
-3.7
0.9
-2.8
CLE
-1.1
-1.1
0.3
-0.8
SDN
-2.6
-2.6
0.6
-2.0
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------
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CAREER (reg. season)
3.4
-13.1
6.5
-6.6
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1969
SDN
4
0.6
-
-
0.0
1970
SDN
2
0.9
0.4
0.3
0.8
1971
SDN
36
13.6
1.1
0.3
1.6
1972
SDN
38
15.6
-
-
0.0
1973
SDN
34
12.0
0.1
-
0.1
+
1974
27
5.6
-
-
0.0
CLE
11
2.3
-
-
0.0
SDN
16
3.3
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
141
48.2
1.6
0.6
2.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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