Doug Bair - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Doug Bair
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1976
PIT
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1977
OAK
0.0
0.0
-0.8
0.0
-0.8
1978
CIN
-0.1
-0.0
1.6
-0.2
1.2
1979
CIN
-0.1
0.0
-0.3
-0.1
-0.5
1980
CIN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
+
–
1981
0.0
-0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.1
CIN
0.0
-0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
SLN
-0.0
-0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
1982
SLN
-0.1
-0.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
+
–
1983
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.2
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
SLN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
1984
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
+
–
1985
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
SLN
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
1986
OAK
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
1987
PHI
-0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
1988
TOR
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
1989
PIT
-0.0
-0.0
0.3
-0.0
0.3
1990
PIT
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.3
-0.0
0.7
-0.1
0.2
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1976
PIT
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1977
OAK
-0.2
-1.0
0.8
-0.2
1978
CIN
0.0
1.2
1.3
2.5
1979
CIN
-0.2
-0.7
1.2
0.5
1980
CIN
-0.1
-0.2
0.6
0.4
+
–
1981
-0.0
0.0
0.3
0.4
CIN
-0.2
-0.2
0.2
0.0
SLN
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.3
1982
SLN
-0.1
0.4
0.6
1.0
+
–
1983
-0.1
-0.3
0.8
0.5
DET
-0.2
-0.2
0.6
0.3
SLN
-0.0
-0.0
0.2
0.2
1984
DET
-0.1
-0.2
0.6
0.4
+
–
1985
-0.0
-0.1
0.2
0.1
DET
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.1
SLN
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
1986
OAK
-0.0
0.3
0.4
0.6
1987
PHI
-0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
1988
TOR
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
1989
PIT
-0.0
0.2
0.5
0.7
1990
PIT
-0.0
-0.3
0.2
-0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.9
-0.7
7.6
6.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1976
PIT
4
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1977
OAK
45
4.1
0.0
-
0.0
1978
CIN
70
8.4
3.3
2.1
6.5
1979
CIN
65
6.8
1.3
0.4
1.9
1980
CIN
61
3.3
0.6
0.1
0.7
+
–
1981
35
3.1
0.7
0.6
1.6
CIN
24
2.0
0.0
-
0.0
SLN
11
1.1
0.7
0.6
1.5
1982
SLN
63
4.1
1.1
0.4
1.7
+
–
1983
53
4.4
0.7
0.2
0.9
DET
27
3.4
0.6
0.2
0.8
SLN
26
1.0
0.1
-
0.1
1984
DET
47
3.5
0.6
0.1
0.7
+
–
1985
23
1.4
0.1
-
0.1
DET
21
1.4
0.1
-
0.1
SLN
2
0.0
0.0
-
0.0
1986
OAK
31
2.1
0.3
0.1
0.5
1987
PHI
11
0.5
-
-
0.0
1988
TOR
10
0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
1989
PIT
44
2.9
0.7
0.3
1.1
1990
PIT
22
0.9
0.0
-
0.0
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Career Totals
584
45.7
9.6
4.2
15.9
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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