Tim Belcher - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Tim Belcher
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1987
LAN
-0.1
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.4
1988
LAN
-0.7
0.0
2.6
0.2
2.1
1989
LAN
-1.2
0.0
0.7
-0.4
-0.8
1990
LAN
-0.6
0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.6
1991
LAN
-0.9
-0.0
1.4
-0.0
0.4
1992
CIN
-1.0
-0.0
0.6
0.1
-0.5
+
–
1993
-0.4
-0.1
0.6
-0.2
-0.1
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
CIN
-0.4
-0.1
0.5
-0.1
-0.1
1994
DET
0.0
0.0
-1.1
-0.2
-1.3
1995
SEA
0.0
0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.3
1996
KCA
0.0
0.0
0.7
0.1
0.8
1997
KCA
-0.2
-0.0
-1.1
-0.0
-1.3
1998
KCA
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
1999
ANA
-0.0
-0.0
-2.5
-0.1
-2.6
2000
ANA
0.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.5
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-5.2
-0.1
1.3
-0.4
-4.5
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1987
LAN
0.3
0.7
0.2
0.9
1988
LAN
1.3
3.3
1.2
4.5
1989
LAN
1.1
0.2
1.8
2.1
1990
LAN
0.7
0.1
1.3
1.3
1991
LAN
1.2
1.6
1.5
3.1
1992
CIN
1.3
0.8
1.9
2.7
+
–
1993
0.9
0.8
1.6
2.5
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.6
0.6
CIN
0.8
0.8
1.0
1.8
1994
DET
-0.3
-1.5
1.5
-0.1
1995
SEA
0.1
-0.2
1.5
1.3
1996
KCA
0.4
1.2
1.8
3.0
1997
KCA
-0.1
-1.4
1.8
0.4
1998
KCA
0.2
0.1
1.9
2.0
1999
ANA
-0.5
-3.1
1.2
-1.9
2000
ANA
-0.1
-0.6
0.4
-0.1
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
6.5
2.0
19.6
21.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1987
LAN
6
2.3
1.0
0.8
2.1
1988
LAN
36
12.4
4.8
3.5
10.0
1989
LAN
39
15.0
2.9
1.0
4.5
1990
LAN
24
10.0
1.3
0.0
1.3
1991
LAN
33
12.9
3.4
1.9
6.2
1992
CIN
35
14.6
2.4
0.5
3.1
+
–
1993
34
13.3
2.4
0.9
3.7
CHA
12
4.7
0.5
0.0
0.6
CIN
22
8.6
1.8
0.8
3.1
1994
DET
25
13.2
-
-
0.0
1995
SEA
28
12.5
1.3
-
1.3
1996
KCA
35
14.0
4.0
2.2
7.3
1997
KCA
32
12.4
0.4
-
0.4
1998
KCA
34
13.7
1.9
0.0
1.9
1999
ANA
24
7.6
-
-
0.0
2000
ANA
9
2.7
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
394
156.6
25.5
10.8
41.6
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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