David Bell - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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David Bell
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
+
1995
-0.6
-0.1
0.0
0.1
-0.6
CLE
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
SLN
-0.6
-0.1
0.0
0.1
-0.6
1996
SLN
-1.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.8
1997
SLN
-0.8
-0.0
0.0
-0.3
-1.0
+
1998
-0.9
-0.2
0.0
-0.0
-1.1
CLE
-0.7
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
-1.1
SEA
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
0.2
0.0
SLN
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
1999
SEA
-0.5
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
-0.8
2000
SEA
-1.1
0.0
0.0
0.3
-0.8
2001
SEA
-1.0
-0.2
0.0
0.4
-0.8
2002
SFN
-0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1
2003
PHI
-1.5
-0.0
0.0
0.7
-0.8
2004
PHI
0.4
-0.3
0.0
0.0
0.1
2005
PHI
-2.6
-0.4
0.0
0.2
-2.8
+
2006
-1.5
0.0
0.0
-0.9
-2.3
MIL
-0.5
-0.0
0.0
-0.5
-1.0
PHI
-1.0
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-1.3
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-11.0
-1.3
0.0
0.6
-11.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
+
1995
0.1
-0.5
0.4
-0.0
CLE
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
SLN
-0.5
-0.5
0.4
-0.0
1996
SLN
0.1
-0.7
0.4
-0.3
1997
SLN
0.1
-0.9
0.4
-0.5
+
1998
0.3
-0.8
1.3
0.5
CLE
-0.8
-0.8
1.0
0.2
SEA
0.1
0.1
0.2
0.3
SLN
-0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
1999
SEA
0.5
-0.2
1.7
1.5
2000
SEA
0.2
-0.5
1.2
0.6
2001
SEA
-0.0
-0.8
1.3
0.5
2002
SFN
0.1
0.2
1.6
1.8
2003
PHI
0.0
-0.8
0.9
0.1
2004
PHI
-0.2
-0.1
1.6
1.5
2005
PHI
-0.4
-3.2
1.6
-1.7
+
2006
-0.5
-2.8
1.5
-1.3
MIL
-1.3
-1.3
0.6
-0.6
PHI
-1.5
-1.5
0.9
-0.6
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
0.4
-11.2
13.9
2.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
+
1995
41
5.1
0.3
0.1
0.4
CLE
2
0.0
-
-
0.0
SLN
39
5.0
0.3
0.1
0.4
1996
SLN
62
3.9
0.1
-
0.1
1997
SLN
65
4.0
0.0
-
0.0
+
1998
132
12.0
0.3
0.1
0.4
CLE
107
9.8
0.1
-
0.1
SEA
21
2.1
0.2
0.1
0.3
SLN
4
0.1
-
-
0.0
1999
SEA
157
17.4
1.7
0.1
1.9
2000
SEA
133
12.5
0.8
-
0.8
2001
SEA
135
13.8
1.7
0.8
2.9
2002
SFN
154
18.3
2.8
1.0
4.4
2003
PHI
85
9.2
0.4
-
0.4
2004
PHI
143
16.9
2.3
0.8
3.5
2005
PHI
150
15.7
0.2
-
0.2
+
2006
145
14.8
0.1
-
0.1
MIL
53
6.2
0.1
-
0.1
PHI
92
8.6
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
1,402
143.6
10.8
2.8
15.0
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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