Geoff Blum - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Geoff Blum
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1999
MON
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.6
-0.7
2000
MON
-1.6
-0.3
0.0
-0.4
-2.3
2001
MON
-3.1
0.1
0.0
-0.4
-3.4
2002
HOU
0.5
0.2
0.0
0.3
1.0
2003
HOU
-1.1
0.2
0.0
-0.4
-1.2
2004
TBA
-2.5
-0.1
0.0
-0.2
-2.8
+
2005
-1.7
-0.0
0.0
0.3
-1.5
CHA
-0.7
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.9
SDN
-1.0
0.1
0.0
0.4
-0.6
2006
SDN
-0.9
0.2
0.0
0.2
-0.5
2007
SDN
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.2
0.4
2008
HOU
0.1
-0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
2009
HOU
-0.1
-0.3
0.0
-0.9
-1.3
2010
HOU
0.1
0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.1
2011
ARI
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
2012
ARI
-0.4
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.4
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-10.8
0.1
0.0
-1.7
-12.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1999
MON
0.3
-0.4
0.4
0.0
2000
MON
0.3
-1.9
1.0
-0.9
2001
MON
-0.1
-3.5
1.4
-2.1
2002
HOU
0.1
1.0
1.1
2.1
2003
HOU
0.2
-1.0
1.1
0.1
2004
TBA
0.1
-2.8
1.0
-1.8
+
2005
0.2
-1.3
0.9
-0.4
CHA
-0.9
-0.9
0.2
-0.6
SDN
-0.4
-0.4
0.6
0.2
2006
SDN
0.3
-0.2
0.8
0.6
2007
SDN
0.3
0.7
0.9
1.6
2008
HOU
0.1
0.3
1.0
1.3
2009
HOU
-0.1
-1.4
1.1
-0.3
2010
HOU
0.1
0.2
0.5
0.7
2011
ARI
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
2012
ARI
0.0
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
1.9
-10.5
11.4
0.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1999
MON
45
4.1
0.2
-
0.2
2000
MON
124
9.6
0.5
0.0
0.5
2001
MON
148
12.4
-
-
0.0
2002
HOU
130
11.3
1.9
0.8
3.0
2003
HOU
123
10.9
0.1
-
0.1
2004
TBA
112
8.5
-
-
0.0
+
2005
108
8.7
0.6
0.2
0.9
CHA
31
2.2
0.2
0.2
0.5
SDN
77
6.6
0.4
-
0.4
2006
SDN
109
7.8
0.3
-
0.3
2007
SDN
121
9.6
1.3
0.4
2.0
2008
HOU
114
9.9
0.8
0.1
1.0
2009
HOU
120
11.0
-
-
0.0
2010
HOU
92
5.1
0.4
0.1
0.6
2011
ARI
23
1.4
0.2
0.1
0.3
2012
ARI
17
0.5
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
1,386
110.8
6.3
1.7
8.8
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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