Hal Carlson - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Hal Carlson
- Decomposition of Value
*
Missing player games extrapolated
(Numbers in italics include some games for which Retrosheet is missing play-by-play data.)
Value decomposition with missing games excluded
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1917
PIT
-0.5
-0.1
-0.3
-0.1
-1.0
1918
PIT
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
1919
PIT
-0.3
-0.1
1.0
-0.1
0.4
1920
PIT
-0.2
0.0
-0.4
0.2
-0.4
1921
PIT
-0.1
-0.0
-0.4
0.2
-0.4
1922
PIT
-0.1
-0.1
-1.7
0.2
-1.6
1923
PIT
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.3
1924
PHI
-0.4
-0.2
-0.2
-0.1
-0.9
1925
PHI
-0.9
0.1
1.8
0.3
1.2
1926
PHI
-0.5
0.0
2.7
-0.2
2.0
+
1927
-1.0
-0.0
0.2
0.2
-0.6
CHN
-0.7
-0.0
0.8
0.2
0.3
PHI
-0.2
0.0
-0.6
-0.0
-0.9
1928
CHN
-0.1
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
1929
CHN
-0.2
-0.0
0.5
0.1
0.3
1930
CHN
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
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CAREER (reg. season)
-4.6
-0.3
2.5
0.6
-1.8
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1917
PIT
0.3
-0.7
1.2
0.6
1918
PIT
-0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
1919
PIT
0.6
1.0
1.0
2.0
1920
PIT
0.6
0.2
1.8
2.0
1921
PIT
0.2
-0.2
0.9
0.6
1922
PIT
0.2
-1.4
1.3
-0.1
1923
PIT
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
1924
PHI
0.5
-0.4
1.4
1.0
1925
PHI
1.5
2.7
1.7
4.4
1926
PHI
1.7
3.6
1.8
5.5
+
1927
0.9
0.3
1.8
2.1
CHN
1.1
1.1
1.2
2.4
PHI
-0.8
-0.8
0.5
-0.3
1928
CHN
0.1
-0.2
0.3
0.1
1929
CHN
0.4
0.6
0.7
1.4
1930
CHN
0.2
0.2
0.3
0.5
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
7.1
5.2
14.5
19.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1917
PIT
34
8.1
0.3
-
0.3
1918
PIT
3
0.4
-
-
0.0
1919
PIT
22
7.6
1.7
0.7
2.7
1920
PIT
39
14.6
2.3
0.4
2.8
1921
PIT
31
6.0
0.7
-
0.7
1922
PIT
39
9.1
-
-
0.0
1923
PIT
4
0.2
-
-
0.0
1924
PHI
39
10.3
0.5
-
0.5
1925
PHI
38
15.1
3.2
1.4
5.3
1926
PHI
38
17.6
5.0
3.1
9.6
+
1927
39
14.6
2.3
1.0
3.8
CHN
27
10.9
2.3
1.0
3.8
PHI
12
3.7
-
-
0.0
1928
CHN
20
2.5
0.3
0.1
0.5
1929
CHN
31
6.5
1.7
0.9
3.1
1930
CHN
8
3.0
1.0
0.6
1.9
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Career Totals
385
115.5
19.0
8.2
31.2
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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