Bruce Chen - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Bruce Chen - Decomposition of Value*

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Decomposition of eWORL
(Click here for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding Total
1998-0.1-0.0-0.3-0.0-0.4
1999-0.1-0.0-0.3-0.0-0.4
+ 2000
-0.7-0.00.80.10.2
+ 2001
-0.7-0.1-1.20.0-1.9
+ 2002
-0.10.0-1.00.0-1.1
+ 2003
-0.00.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
20040.00.00.10.00.2
20050.0-0.0-1.30.1-1.2
20060.00.0-1.50.0-1.5
20070.00.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
2008
-
-----
20090.1-0.0-0.80.0-0.7
20100.0-0.0-0.30.1-0.3
2011-0.0-0.00.10.00.1
2012-0.0-0.0-0.90.1-0.9
20130.0-0.00.50.10.6
20140.00.0-0.80.0-0.8
20150.00.0-0.4-0.0-0.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-1.6-0.1-7.50.5-8.8


Positional Replacement
Adjustments eWOPA Value eWORL
19980.1-0.30.2-0.1
19990.1-0.30.3-0.0
+ 2000
0.60.80.91.6
+ 2001
0.3-1.61.2-0.4
+ 2002
0.0-1.00.8-0.3
+ 2003
-0.0-0.10.10.0
20040.10.20.30.6
2005-0.1-1.31.50.2
2006-0.1-1.60.6-1.0
2007-0.0-0.10.0-0.1
2008
-
----
2009-0.1-0.80.5-0.2
20100.0-0.21.10.8
20110.20.31.21.5
20120.0-0.91.60.7
20130.20.71.01.7
2014-0.1-0.90.4-0.5
2015-0.1-0.50.1-0.4
------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)1.0-7.711.94.2


Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic in Final Table

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)

Uber-Statistic
Games Wins WORL WOPA Key Stat
1998
4
1.50.4
0.3
1.0
1999
16
1.9-
-
0.0
+ 2000
37
6.51.5
0.6
2.3
+ 2001
27
8.20.4
0.2
0.7
+ 2002
55
4.00.0
0.0
0.0
+ 2003
16
0.70.0
-
0.0
2004
8
2.50.7
0.3
1.2
2005
34
10.71.2
0.3
1.6
2006
40
3.3-
-
0.0
2007
5
0.2-
-
0.0
2008
-
-
--
-
-
2009
17
3.3-
-
0.0
2010
33
7.50.9
0.0
1.0
2011
25
9.31.9
0.7
2.9
2012
35
10.90.4
-
0.4
2013
34
6.91.7
0.8
2.9
2014
13
2.7-
-
0.0
2015
2
0.4-
-
0.0
------ ------ ------ ------
Career Totals
401
80.49.2
3.2
14.0

Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.


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