Jeff Cirillo - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jeff Cirillo
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1994
MIL
-0.6
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.6
1995
MIL
-2.0
0.1
0.0
-0.0
-1.9
1996
MIL
1.3
-0.0
0.0
0.3
1.6
1997
MIL
2.3
-0.4
0.0
1.2
3.2
1998
MIL
0.4
0.1
0.0
-0.1
0.4
1999
MIL
-0.4
0.1
0.0
-0.0
-0.3
2000
COL
-0.5
-0.2
0.0
0.5
-0.2
2001
COL
-1.0
0.2
0.0
0.6
-0.1
2002
SEA
-1.2
-0.5
0.0
0.9
-0.8
2003
SEA
-1.2
-0.4
0.0
-0.1
-1.7
2004
SDN
-0.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
2005
MIL
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.1
2006
MIL
-0.6
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.6
+
–
2007
-0.8
0.2
0.0
0.4
-0.2
ARI
-0.1
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
MIN
-0.7
0.2
0.0
0.3
-0.1
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-4.4
-0.6
0.0
3.9
-1.1
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1994
MIL
0.0
-0.5
0.4
-0.2
1995
MIL
0.1
-1.9
0.9
-1.0
1996
MIL
-0.1
1.5
1.6
3.1
1997
MIL
-0.0
3.1
1.9
5.0
1998
MIL
-0.1
0.3
2.0
2.3
1999
MIL
0.1
-0.2
1.8
1.6
2000
COL
0.2
0.0
1.7
1.7
2001
COL
0.0
-0.1
1.6
1.5
2002
SEA
-0.1
-0.9
1.4
0.5
2003
SEA
0.1
-1.7
0.7
-0.9
2004
SDN
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
2005
MIL
0.1
0.1
0.5
0.7
2006
MIL
0.1
-0.5
0.8
0.3
+
–
2007
-0.1
-0.3
0.5
0.3
ARI
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
MIN
-0.3
-0.3
0.4
0.2
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
0.1
-1.0
15.9
15.0
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1994
MIL
39
5.1
0.0
-
0.0
1995
MIL
125
10.2
1.1
0.5
1.9
1996
MIL
158
17.0
3.2
1.6
5.6
1997
MIL
154
20.3
4.6
2.7
8.7
1998
MIL
156
20.3
2.6
0.6
3.4
1999
MIL
157
19.4
2.6
0.9
4.0
2000
COL
157
17.2
1.5
0.0
1.5
2001
COL
138
16.7
2.2
0.6
3.2
2002
SEA
146
12.8
0.2
-
0.2
2003
SEA
87
6.4
-
-
0.0
2004
SDN
33
1.6
0.1
0.0
0.1
2005
MIL
77
5.6
1.0
0.4
1.6
2006
MIL
112
7.5
0.7
0.2
0.9
+
–
2007
78
4.8
0.2
0.0
0.2
ARI
28
1.1
0.1
0.0
0.1
MIN
50
3.7
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
1,617
165.0
19.9
7.7
31.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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