Dock Ellis - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Dock Ellis
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1968
PIT
-0.4
0.0
0.3
0.0
-0.1
1969
PIT
-1.3
0.0
0.9
0.1
-0.4
1970
PIT
-0.9
-0.0
0.7
0.0
-0.2
1971
PIT
-0.6
-0.0
1.2
-0.0
0.6
1972
PIT
-0.8
-0.0
2.0
0.1
1.3
1973
PIT
-0.9
-0.0
1.9
0.1
1.0
1974
PIT
-0.3
-0.1
0.9
-0.0
0.5
1975
PIT
-0.4
-0.0
-0.1
-0.1
-0.6
1976
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.5
+
1977
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.1
0.1
NYA
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
OAK
0.0
0.0
-1.1
0.0
-1.1
TEX
0.0
0.0
1.2
-0.1
1.1
1978
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.1
-0.3
+
1979
-0.6
0.0
-1.5
0.1
-2.1
NYN
-0.6
0.0
-1.1
0.1
-1.6
PIT
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
TEX
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-6.2
-0.1
5.7
-0.0
-0.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1968
PIT
0.3
0.2
0.7
0.9
1969
PIT
1.1
0.7
1.7
2.5
1970
PIT
0.9
0.7
1.5
2.2
1971
PIT
1.5
2.1
1.5
3.6
1972
PIT
1.1
2.4
1.2
3.6
1973
PIT
1.3
2.3
1.4
3.8
1974
PIT
0.9
1.4
1.3
2.7
1975
PIT
0.5
-0.2
1.0
0.9
1976
NYA
-0.0
-0.5
1.5
0.9
+
1977
0.2
0.4
1.5
1.9
NYA
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.3
OAK
-1.3
-1.3
0.4
-1.0
TEX
1.6
1.6
1.0
2.6
1978
TEX
0.0
-0.2
1.0
0.7
+
1979
0.1
-2.0
1.0
-1.0
NYN
-1.5
-1.5
0.6
-0.9
PIT
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
TEX
-0.4
-0.4
0.4
-0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
8.0
7.4
15.3
22.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1968
PIT
27
5.3
1.0
0.3
1.4
1969
PIT
37
13.5
1.7
0.4
2.3
1970
PIT
38
13.3
2.8
1.3
4.8
1971
PIT
44
14.9
4.3
2.7
8.3
1972
PIT
36
12.0
4.2
2.9
8.6
1973
PIT
29
12.2
2.6
1.2
4.4
1974
PIT
30
11.6
3.2
1.9
6.0
1975
PIT
30
8.4
1.2
0.3
1.7
1976
NYA
32
12.7
2.3
1.0
3.9
+
1977
33
11.3
3.4
2.2
6.7
NYA
3
0.8
0.2
0.1
0.3
OAK
7
1.7
-
-
0.0
TEX
23
8.7
3.2
2.1
6.4
1978
TEX
22
7.4
0.4
-
0.4
+
1979
30
6.5
-
-
0.0
NYN
17
3.8
-
-
0.0
PIT
3
0.2
-
-
0.0
TEX
10
2.5
-
-
0.0
------
------
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Career Totals
388
129.1
27.1
14.2
48.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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