Mark Ellis - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Mark Ellis
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2002
OAK
0.9
0.3
0.0
0.8
2.0
2003
OAK
-0.1
0.0
0.0
1.6
1.5
2004
-
-
-
-
-
-
2005
OAK
0.7
-0.3
0.0
0.7
1.0
2006
OAK
-1.2
0.3
0.0
0.1
-0.9
2007
OAK
-0.2
0.1
0.0
1.4
1.3
2008
OAK
-2.2
-0.2
0.0
0.7
-1.7
2009
OAK
-1.0
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.9
2010
OAK
0.5
-0.0
0.0
0.2
0.6
+
2011
-3.7
0.1
0.0
-0.2
-3.8
COL
-1.7
0.1
0.0
-0.3
-2.0
OAK
-2.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
-1.9
2012
LAN
0.1
0.1
0.0
0.5
0.6
2013
LAN
1.3
0.0
0.0
0.7
2.0
2014
SLN
-0.7
-0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.6
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-5.8
0.2
0.0
6.8
1.2
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2002
OAK
0.3
2.3
1.0
3.3
2003
OAK
0.6
2.2
1.7
3.9
2004
-
-
-
-
-
2005
OAK
0.5
1.4
1.4
2.8
2006
OAK
0.6
-0.2
1.3
1.1
2007
OAK
0.5
1.8
1.7
3.5
2008
OAK
0.5
-1.2
1.3
0.1
2009
OAK
0.4
-0.5
1.1
0.6
2010
OAK
0.5
1.1
1.4
2.5
+
2011
0.4
-3.4
1.4
-2.0
COL
-1.8
-1.8
0.8
-1.1
OAK
-1.6
-1.6
0.6
-1.0
2012
LAN
0.3
1.0
1.2
2.1
2013
LAN
0.3
2.4
1.4
3.8
2014
SLN
0.2
-0.4
0.5
0.1
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
5.0
6.3
15.4
21.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2002
OAK
98
11.5
2.7
1.7
5.3
2003
OAK
154
18.3
2.9
1.1
4.6
2004
-
-
-
-
-
-
2005
OAK
122
15.2
3.4
2.1
6.6
2006
OAK
124
13.6
1.3
0.2
1.6
2007
OAK
150
19.0
3.5
1.8
6.3
2008
OAK
117
13.6
0.8
0.1
1.0
2009
OAK
105
11.7
0.7
-
0.7
2010
OAK
124
15.1
2.5
1.1
4.2
+
2011
132
13.3
0.3
-
0.3
COL
70
7.4
0.3
-
0.3
OAK
62
6.0
-
-
0.0
2012
LAN
110
12.3
2.1
1.0
3.6
2013
LAN
126
15.9
2.8
1.4
4.8
2014
SLN
73
4.4
0.0
-
0.0
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Career Totals
1,435
163.9
23.2
10.4
38.9
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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