Alex Ferguson - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Alex Ferguson - Decomposition of Value*

Missing player games extrapolated
(Numbers in italics include some games for which Retrosheet is missing play-by-play data.)

Value decomposition with missing games excluded

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Decomposition of eWORL
(Click here for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding Total
1918-0.0-0.00.0-0.0-0.0
1919
-
-----
1920
-
-----
1921-0.2-0.0-0.2-0.1-0.6
1922-1.40.01.10.1-0.1
1923-1.1-0.01.00.0-0.1
1924-0.9-0.00.7-0.0-0.3
-0.50.0-1.1-0.2-1.7
1926-0.1-0.0-0.80.0-0.9
1927-1.1-0.1-0.6-0.1-1.9
1928-0.5-0.0-1.00.0-1.5
-0.1-0.0-1.00.1-1.0
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-5.8-0.2-1.9-0.1-8.0


Positional Replacement
Adjustments eWOPA Value eWORL
19180.0-0.00.0-0.0
1919
-
----
1920
-
----
19210.1-0.50.3-0.2
19220.90.81.32.1
19230.70.61.41.9
19240.70.41.92.2
-0.1-1.80.9-1.0
19260.0-0.80.4-0.5
19270.3-1.51.4-0.1
19280.1-1.51.0-0.4
-0.1-1.10.3-0.8
------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)2.6-5.58.83.3


Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic in Final Table

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)

Uber-Statistic
Games Wins WORL WOPA Key Stat
1918
1
0.0-
-
0.0
1919
-
-
--
-
-
1920
-
-
--
-
-
1921
17
2.20.2
-
0.2
1922
39
10.51.1
0.4
1.7
1923
34
10.11.0
0.3
1.4
1924
41
14.92.6
0.7
3.6
33
7.20.7
0.4
1.4
1926
19
2.1-
-
0.0
1927
31
10.9-
-
0.0
1928
34
7.0-
-
0.0
8
1.6-
-
0.0
------ ------ ------ ------
Career Totals
257
66.45.6
1.8
8.3

Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.


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