Bob Forsch - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Bob Forsch
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1974
SLN
-0.1
0.0
1.1
0.1
1.1
1975
SLN
-0.4
-0.0
3.1
0.2
2.9
1976
SLN
-0.6
0.0
-1.9
-0.1
-2.6
1977
SLN
-0.2
-0.0
3.5
0.0
3.3
1978
SLN
-0.9
-0.2
-1.6
0.1
-2.5
1979
SLN
-1.1
0.0
0.2
0.1
-0.8
1980
SLN
0.2
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.4
1981
SLN
-0.5
-0.0
0.7
0.1
0.3
1982
SLN
-0.8
-0.0
1.8
-0.0
1.0
1983
SLN
-0.4
-0.0
-2.4
-0.1
-2.9
1984
SLN
0.1
0.0
-1.9
0.0
-1.8
1985
SLN
0.0
-0.0
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
1986
SLN
-0.7
0.1
1.5
0.1
1.0
1987
SLN
0.1
-0.0
0.9
0.2
1.1
+
–
1988
0.0
-0.1
-1.0
-0.1
-1.2
HOU
0.2
0.0
-0.8
-0.1
-0.8
SLN
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.1
-0.4
1989
HOU
-0.4
-0.0
-0.9
-0.0
-1.4
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-5.8
-0.3
2.9
0.8
-2.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1974
SLN
0.4
1.5
0.6
2.1
1975
SLN
0.9
3.7
1.6
5.3
1976
SLN
0.7
-1.9
1.3
-0.6
1977
SLN
0.8
4.2
1.6
5.8
1978
SLN
1.2
-1.4
1.6
0.2
1979
SLN
1.0
0.2
1.3
1.5
1980
SLN
0.8
1.2
1.2
2.4
1981
SLN
0.6
0.9
0.8
1.7
1982
SLN
1.0
1.9
1.5
3.4
1983
SLN
0.7
-2.2
1.4
-0.8
1984
SLN
0.2
-1.6
0.4
-1.2
1985
SLN
0.5
0.2
0.9
1.1
1986
SLN
1.0
2.0
1.3
3.3
1987
SLN
0.7
1.8
1.1
2.9
+
–
1988
0.5
-0.7
1.0
0.3
HOU
-0.6
-0.6
0.3
-0.3
SLN
-0.1
-0.1
0.7
0.6
1989
HOU
0.4
-1.0
0.7
-0.3
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
11.2
8.8
18.4
27.2
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1974
SLN
20
5.8
2.0
1.4
4.1
1975
SLN
35
14.9
5.3
3.7
10.8
1976
SLN
35
9.9
0.2
-
0.2
1977
SLN
35
13.9
3.5
2.1
6.7
1978
SLN
34
13.2
0.7
-
0.7
1979
SLN
33
11.4
2.3
1.0
3.8
1980
SLN
32
11.7
3.2
1.9
6.1
1981
SLN
20
11.0
2.3
1.0
3.9
1982
SLN
36
14.4
3.1
1.4
5.2
1983
SLN
37
10.3
-
-
0.0
1984
SLN
16
2.9
-
-
0.0
1985
SLN
34
7.4
1.0
0.1
1.2
1986
SLN
34
11.9
3.3
2.0
6.4
1987
SLN
34
10.2
2.7
1.6
5.1
+
–
1988
37
7.1
0.3
-
0.3
HOU
6
2.1
-
-
0.0
SLN
31
4.9
0.3
-
0.3
1989
HOU
37
5.0
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
509
161.1
29.9
16.3
54.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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