Ken Forsch - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Ken Forsch - Decomposition of Value*

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Decomposition of pWORL
(Click here for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding Total
1970-0.2-0.00.1-0.1-0.1
1971-0.7-0.11.8-0.10.9
1972-0.6-0.4-2.2-0.3-3.5
1973-1.00.10.2-0.2-0.9
1974-0.00.01.50.21.6
1975-0.4-0.1-1.90.1-2.3
1976-0.0-0.02.00.12.1
1977-0.2-0.00.90.10.8
19780.0-0.02.0-0.11.9
1979-0.50.01.00.20.7
1980-0.4-0.3-0.60.2-1.1
19810.00.02.9-0.02.9
19820.00.01.0-0.20.7
19830.00.00.7-0.00.7
19840.00.0-0.00.00.0
1985
-
-----
19860.00.0-1.1-0.0-1.1
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-4.1-0.88.10.03.3


Positional Replacement
Adjustments pWOPA Value pWORL
19700.1-0.00.10.1
19710.71.51.22.7
19720.8-2.71.2-1.6
19730.6-0.31.51.2
1974-0.11.51.02.5
19750.3-2.00.8-1.2
1976-0.12.00.82.8
19770.10.90.81.6
19780.22.10.93.1
19790.71.31.12.4
19800.9-0.11.41.3
19810.13.01.14.1
19820.20.91.62.5
19830.20.81.52.3
19840.00.00.10.2
1985
-
----
1986-0.0-1.10.2-0.9
------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)4.67.915.223.1


Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic in Final Table

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)

Uber-Statistic
Games Wins WORL WOPA Key Stat
1970
4
1.20.1
-
0.1
1971
33
10.12.7
1.5
4.9
1972
30
8.5-
-
0.0
1973
46
10.60.9
-
0.9
1974
70
6.32.1
1.1
3.8
1975
34
4.90.2
-
0.2
1976
52
5.62.3
1.5
4.5
1977
42
5.41.8
1.0
3.3
1978
52
7.32.7
1.7
5.3
1979
26
9.42.5
1.5
4.7
1980
32
12.71.8
0.4
2.3
1981
20
13.95.6
4.0
11.7
1982
37
12.62.3
0.7
3.3
1983
31
11.72.1
0.7
3.2
1984
2
0.90.2
0.1
0.4
1985
-
-
--
-
-
1986
10
0.7-
-
0.0
------ ------ ------ ------
Career Totals
521
121.627.3
14.2
48.6

Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.


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