Terry Forster - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Terry Forster
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1971
CHA
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
1972
CHA
0.2
0.0
1.7
0.0
2.0
1973
CHA
-0.0
-0.0
0.8
0.2
1.0
1974
CHA
0.0
0.0
1.0
-0.2
0.8
1975
CHA
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
1976
CHA
0.0
0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.5
1977
PIT
-0.1
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
1978
LAN
0.0
-0.0
1.2
-0.0
1.2
1979
LAN
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.0
1980
LAN
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1981
LAN
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1982
LAN
-0.0
0.0
0.5
0.0
0.5
1983
ATL
0.0
-0.0
0.9
0.0
1.0
1984
ATL
0.0
-0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.1
1985
ATL
-0.0
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
1986
CAL
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.2
------
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
0.2
0.0
5.9
0.1
6.2
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1971
CHA
0.0
0.1
0.3
0.5
1972
CHA
0.1
2.0
1.2
3.3
1973
CHA
0.0
1.0
1.8
2.8
1974
CHA
-0.2
0.7
1.7
2.4
1975
CHA
-0.0
0.3
0.4
0.6
1976
CHA
-0.1
-0.6
0.9
0.3
1977
PIT
0.2
0.0
0.6
0.7
1978
LAN
-0.0
1.2
0.8
2.0
1979
LAN
-0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
1980
LAN
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
1981
LAN
-0.0
-0.2
0.2
0.0
1982
LAN
-0.1
0.5
0.6
1.0
1983
ATL
-0.0
0.9
0.7
1.6
1984
ATL
-0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
1985
ATL
-0.1
-0.2
0.4
0.2
1986
CAL
-0.0
0.1
0.3
0.5
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-0.3
5.9
10.4
16.3
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1971
CHA
45
2.1
0.3
0.1
0.4
1972
CHA
63
9.0
4.8
3.5
10.1
1973
CHA
53
11.7
2.9
1.1
4.6
1974
CHA
59
10.7
3.2
1.4
5.3
1975
CHA
17
2.2
0.6
0.2
0.8
1976
CHA
29
6.0
0.2
-
0.2
1977
PIT
36
4.5
0.7
0.0
0.7
1978
LAN
47
6.2
3.0
2.2
6.3
1979
LAN
17
1.2
0.3
0.1
0.4
1980
LAN
9
0.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
1981
LAN
21
1.5
0.1
0.0
0.1
1982
LAN
56
3.5
0.9
0.3
1.3
1983
ATL
56
4.2
1.4
0.7
2.5
1984
ATL
24
1.4
0.6
0.5
1.3
1985
ATL
46
1.9
0.1
-
0.1
1986
CAL
41
2.1
0.6
0.2
0.9
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Career Totals
619
68.1
19.5
10.4
35.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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