Jeff Francis - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jeff Francis
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2004
COL
-0.4
-0.0
0.4
0.1
0.1
2005
COL
-0.4
-0.0
-1.9
0.2
-2.2
2006
COL
-0.8
-0.0
2.2
0.1
1.5
2007
COL
-0.5
-0.0
2.9
0.1
2.4
2008
COL
-0.9
0.0
-1.9
0.1
-2.8
2009
-
-
-
-
-
-
2010
COL
-0.2
-0.0
-0.5
-0.1
-0.8
2011
KCA
-0.1
-0.0
-2.1
0.0
-2.1
2012
COL
-0.7
-0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.8
2013
COL
-0.3
-0.0
-1.2
-0.0
-1.5
+
–
2014
-0.0
-0.0
-0.5
-0.0
-0.6
CIN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
OAK
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
2015
TOR
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
-4.2
-0.2
-3.2
0.6
-6.9
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
2004
COL
0.3
0.4
0.4
0.7
2005
COL
0.9
-1.2
1.6
0.4
2006
COL
1.2
2.7
1.5
4.2
2007
COL
1.0
3.4
1.8
5.2
2008
COL
0.8
-2.0
1.1
-0.9
2009
-
-
-
-
-
2010
COL
0.5
-0.3
0.8
0.5
2011
KCA
0.2
-2.0
1.3
-0.6
2012
COL
0.6
-0.1
0.9
0.8
2013
COL
0.2
-1.2
0.6
-0.6
+
–
2014
0.0
-0.6
0.1
-0.4
CIN
-0.3
-0.3
0.0
-0.2
NYA
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
OAK
-0.2
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
2015
TOR
-0.0
-0.3
0.1
-0.2
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CAREER (reg. season)
5.6
-1.3
10.3
9.0
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2004
COL
7
2.8
0.4
0.2
0.7
2005
COL
33
11.8
0.2
-
0.2
2006
COL
32
12.9
3.9
2.4
7.5
2007
COL
35
15.7
4.3
2.4
7.9
2008
COL
25
7.6
0.1
-
0.1
2009
-
-
-
-
-
-
2010
COL
20
6.4
1.0
0.3
1.5
2011
KCA
31
9.4
0.7
0.0
0.7
2012
COL
24
6.9
0.8
-
0.8
2013
COL
23
3.6
-
-
0.0
+
–
2014
12
0.6
0.0
-
0.0
CIN
1
0.3
-
-
0.0
NYA
2
0.1
-
-
0.0
OAK
9
0.3
0.0
-
0.0
2015
TOR
14
0.4
-
-
0.0
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Career Totals
256
78.3
11.4
5.4
19.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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