Don Larsen - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Don Larsen
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1953
SLA
-0.1
-0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.6
1954
BAL
-1.7
-0.0
-4.1
-0.0
-5.8
1955
NYA
-0.1
-0.0
2.1
-0.0
1.9
1956
NYA
0.3
-0.0
0.2
0.0
0.5
1957
NYA
-0.1
0.2
1.7
-0.1
1.7
1958
NYA
0.2
-0.1
1.3
-0.1
1.3
1959
NYA
-0.0
-0.1
-0.9
0.1
-0.9
1960
KC1
-0.3
0.0
-2.3
-0.3
-2.8
+
–
1961
0.3
-0.0
0.3
0.1
0.6
CHA
0.2
0.0
0.4
0.1
0.7
KC1
0.1
-0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
1962
SFN
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
0.3
0.2
1963
SFN
-0.2
0.0
-0.3
0.1
-0.3
+
–
1964
-0.1
-0.1
-0.6
0.0
-0.8
HOU
-0.1
-0.1
-0.5
0.0
-0.7
SFN
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
+
–
1965
-0.0
-0.0
-1.2
-0.1
-1.3
BAL
0.1
-0.0
-1.1
-0.1
-1.1
HOU
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
1966
-
-
-
-
-
-
1967
CHN
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-1.8
-0.2
-4.3
0.0
-6.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1953
SLA
0.8
0.1
1.5
1.6
1954
BAL
1.2
-4.6
1.7
-2.9
1955
NYA
0.3
2.3
0.7
3.0
1956
NYA
0.8
1.3
1.4
2.7
1957
NYA
0.5
2.2
1.0
3.2
1958
NYA
0.8
2.1
0.9
3.0
1959
NYA
0.5
-0.4
0.9
0.5
1960
KC1
0.4
-2.4
0.8
-1.6
+
–
1961
0.2
0.8
0.7
1.5
CHA
0.9
0.9
0.6
1.4
KC1
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
0.1
1962
SFN
0.1
0.3
0.9
1.2
1963
SFN
0.0
-0.3
0.6
0.3
+
–
1964
0.3
-0.5
0.8
0.3
HOU
-0.4
-0.4
0.7
0.3
SFN
-0.1
-0.1
0.1
0.0
+
–
1965
0.1
-1.2
0.4
-0.8
BAL
-1.0
-1.0
0.4
-0.6
HOU
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1966
-
-
-
-
-
1967
CHN
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
5.9
-0.4
12.3
11.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1953
SLA
50
12.7
2.9
1.4
5.0
1954
BAL
44
12.7
1.0
0.1
1.2
1955
NYA
21
6.7
2.1
1.3
4.0
1956
NYA
45
13.2
3.6
2.0
6.7
1957
NYA
31
9.4
2.1
1.2
3.9
1958
NYA
28
10.3
3.5
2.5
7.1
1959
NYA
29
7.1
0.2
-
0.2
1960
KC1
23
5.4
-
-
0.0
+
–
1961
43
5.1
1.7
1.0
3.2
CHA
25
4.1
1.6
1.0
3.0
KC1
18
0.9
0.1
0.0
0.1
1962
SFN
51
5.1
0.8
0.2
1.1
1963
SFN
46
3.4
0.4
-
0.4
+
–
1964
37
5.9
1.2
0.7
2.2
HOU
31
5.4
1.1
0.6
2.0
SFN
6
0.5
0.1
0.1
0.2
+
–
1965
28
2.3
0.3
0.1
0.5
BAL
27
2.2
0.3
0.1
0.5
HOU
1
0.2
-
-
0.0
1966
-
-
-
-
-
-
1967
CHN
3
0.0
-
-
0.0
------
------
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Career Totals
479
99.2
19.9
10.4
35.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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