Craig Lefferts - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Craig Lefferts
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1983
CHN
-0.2
0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.5
1984
SDN
-0.0
-0.0
1.2
-0.1
1.0
1985
SDN
-0.0
-0.0
0.1
0.0
0.0
1986
SDN
0.0
-0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.1
+
1987
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
SDN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
SFN
-0.0
-0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
1988
SFN
-0.1
-0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
1989
SFN
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1990
SDN
-0.0
-0.0
0.3
0.0
0.3
1991
SDN
-0.0
-0.0
-0.8
0.1
-0.8
+
1992
-1.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-1.4
BAL
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.1
0.1
SDN
-1.0
0.0
-0.6
0.0
-1.5
1993
TEX
0.0
0.0
-1.0
-0.1
-1.1
1994
CAL
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
------
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-1.4
-0.0
-1.0
-0.1
-2.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1983
CHN
0.1
-0.4
0.6
0.1
1984
SDN
-0.0
1.0
0.8
1.8
1985
SDN
-0.1
-0.0
0.6
0.6
1986
SDN
-0.1
0.1
0.9
1.0
+
1987
-0.1
-0.2
0.8
0.6
SDN
-0.5
-0.5
0.4
-0.1
SFN
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.7
1988
SFN
-0.1
0.0
0.8
0.8
1989
SFN
-0.2
-0.3
1.1
0.8
1990
SDN
-0.1
0.2
1.1
1.3
1991
SDN
-0.1
-0.9
0.9
-0.0
+
1992
0.5
-0.9
1.6
0.7
BAL
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.4
SDN
-1.1
-1.1
1.3
0.2
1993
TEX
-0.1
-1.2
0.7
-0.5
1994
CAL
-0.0
-0.2
0.2
0.0
------
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
-0.4
-3.0
10.1
7.1
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1983
CHN
56
3.3
0.1
-
0.1
1984
SDN
62
6.1
2.9
2.1
6.0
1985
SDN
60
3.4
0.3
-
0.3
1986
SDN
84
5.6
1.1
0.2
1.3
+
1987
77
4.7
0.8
0.4
1.4
SDN
33
2.1
-
-
0.0
SFN
44
2.6
0.8
0.4
1.4
1988
SFN
64
4.4
0.7
0.0
0.7
1989
SFN
70
6.7
1.8
0.9
3.2
1990
SDN
56
6.6
1.9
0.8
3.1
1991
SDN
54
4.9
0.6
0.2
0.9
+
1992
32
11.4
0.9
0.1
1.0
BAL
5
2.0
0.2
0.1
0.3
SDN
27
9.4
0.7
-
0.7
1993
TEX
52
3.5
-
-
0.0
1994
CAL
30
1.7
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
697
62.3
11.2
4.6
18.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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