Jon Lester - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jon Lester - Decomposition of Value*

Positional Average (Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500 (1-Year) (9-Year) (Long-Run)

Positional Averages for Pitchers (Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500 vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical) (Based on Pitchers who Do Both)

Decomposition of pWORL
(Click here for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting Baserunning Pitching Fielding Total
2006-0.1-0.00.8-0.00.8
20070.00.00.50.00.5
2008-0.1-0.04.00.14.0
2009-0.0-0.03.4-0.23.2
2010-0.1-0.02.6-0.02.5
2011-0.2-0.00.70.00.6
2012-0.1-0.0-2.0-0.2-2.2
2013-0.1-0.01.6-0.11.4
+ 2014
-0.1-0.03.8-0.13.6
2015-1.2-0.03.0-0.01.8
2016-0.1-0.24.2-0.23.6
2017-0.50.00.4-0.0-0.2
2018-0.50.01.70.11.2
2019-0.00.0-0.1-0.2-0.4
------ ------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)-3.0-0.224.5-0.720.5


Positional Replacement
Adjustments pWOPA Value pWORL
20060.10.90.61.5
20070.10.60.51.1
20080.34.21.65.9
20090.23.51.65.1
20100.22.71.84.5
20110.30.91.42.3
20120.2-2.01.6-0.4
20130.31.71.63.2
+ 2014
0.33.91.75.6
20151.23.01.64.5
20161.14.71.76.4
20170.90.71.52.3
20181.12.31.63.9
20190.80.41.82.2
------ ------ ------ ------
CAREER (reg. season)7.027.520.548.0


Choose Weights for Uber-Statistic in Final Table

pWins vs. eWins

Wins vs. Wins over Average vs. Repl. Level vs. Star

Zero out negative values (y/n): WOPA:    WORL:    WO*:

By Position: C  1B  2B  3B  SS  LF  CF  RF 
DH  PH  PR  P Off.  SP  RP 

Weights for Postseason:   Wins    WOPA    WORL

Normalize seasons to games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)

Uber-Statistic
Games Wins WORL WOPA Key Stat
2006
15
4.80.9
0.4
1.6
2007
12
3.90.8
0.5
1.5
2008
33
15.15.8
4.0
11.8
2009
32
13.74.8
3.2
9.6
2010
32
14.64.9
3.1
9.5
2011
31
11.22.7
1.3
4.6
2012
33
11.00.5
-
0.5
2013
33
14.14.1
2.3
7.5
+ 2014
32
14.15.5
3.8
11.3
2015
32
13.94.4
2.8
8.7
2016
33
16.26.1
4.2
12.3
2017
32
12.32.4
0.8
3.6
2018
34
11.92.2
1.2
4.0
2019
32
12.81.7
0.2
2.0
------ ------ ------ ------
Career Totals
416
169.546.7
27.6
88.2

Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.


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