Derek Lowe - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Derek Lowe
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
+
1997
-0.1
-0.0
-1.0
0.0
-1.0
BOS
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
SEA
-0.1
-0.0
-0.9
0.0
-0.9
1998
BOS
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
-0.2
-0.5
1999
BOS
0.0
0.0
3.9
0.1
4.0
2000
BOS
-0.0
-0.0
4.3
0.1
4.4
2001
BOS
-0.0
-0.0
1.4
-0.0
1.4
2002
BOS
0.0
0.0
4.1
-0.1
4.0
2003
BOS
-0.1
0.0
2.2
0.0
2.1
2004
BOS
-0.1
-0.0
0.3
-0.0
0.2
2005
LAN
-0.8
-0.1
-1.0
0.2
-1.7
2006
LAN
-1.1
0.0
3.7
0.2
2.8
2007
LAN
-1.1
-0.1
1.9
-0.1
0.6
2008
LAN
-0.5
-0.1
1.7
0.1
1.2
2009
ATL
-0.1
-0.3
1.6
-0.1
1.1
2010
ATL
-0.6
0.0
0.1
0.1
-0.4
2011
ATL
-0.2
-0.0
-1.7
-0.0
-1.9
+
2012
-0.0
-0.0
-1.6
-0.1
-1.7
CLE
-0.0
-0.0
-1.8
-0.0
-1.9
NYA
0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.0
0.2
2013
TEX
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
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CAREER (reg. season)
-4.6
-0.6
19.6
0.2
14.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
+
1997
0.1
-1.0
0.5
-0.5
BOS
-0.1
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
SEA
-0.9
-0.9
0.5
-0.4
1998
BOS
0.0
-0.5
1.2
0.7
1999
BOS
-0.2
3.8
1.1
4.9
2000
BOS
-0.2
4.2
1.3
5.4
2001
BOS
-0.2
1.2
1.4
2.6
2002
BOS
0.2
4.3
1.5
5.8
2003
BOS
0.2
2.3
1.5
3.8
2004
BOS
0.3
0.5
1.6
2.2
2005
LAN
1.1
-0.6
1.8
1.2
2006
LAN
1.1
3.9
1.6
5.4
2007
LAN
1.1
1.7
1.5
3.2
2008
LAN
0.9
2.1
1.4
3.6
2009
ATL
1.0
2.1
1.4
3.5
2010
ATL
0.9
0.6
1.6
2.1
2011
ATL
0.9
-1.1
1.6
0.6
+
2012
0.2
-1.5
1.1
-0.4
CLE
-1.7
-1.7
1.0
-0.7
NYA
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.3
2013
TEX
-0.0
0.0
0.1
0.1
------
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CAREER (reg. season)
7.4
21.9
22.2
44.1
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
+
1997
20
3.3
0.2
0.1
0.3
BOS
8
0.5
0.2
0.1
0.3
SEA
12
2.8
-
-
0.0
1998
BOS
63
7.4
1.4
0.4
2.0
1999
BOS
74
8.3
4.4
3.2
9.3
2000
BOS
74
8.1
4.0
2.7
8.1
2001
BOS
67
8.0
2.4
1.1
4.0
2002
BOS
32
13.3
6.5
5.0
13.9
2003
BOS
33
13.5
4.2
2.4
7.8
2004
BOS
33
13.4
3.3
1.5
5.6
2005
LAN
35
13.8
2.2
0.7
3.2
2006
LAN
35
14.0
5.6
4.0
11.6
2007
LAN
33
12.1
3.6
2.1
6.7
2008
LAN
34
13.4
4.5
3.0
9.1
2009
ATL
34
11.9
2.9
1.4
5.0
2010
ATL
34
13.1
2.2
0.6
3.2
2011
ATL
34
12.9
1.5
0.4
2.2
+
2012
38
7.2
0.2
0.1
0.3
CLE
21
6.5
-
-
0.0
NYA
17
0.7
0.2
0.1
0.3
2013
TEX
9
0.5
0.1
0.0
0.1
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Career Totals
682
174.2
49.1
29.0
92.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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