Kevin Millwood - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Kevin Millwood
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1997
ATL
-0.2
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.2
1998
ATL
-0.7
-0.1
0.4
0.0
-0.2
1999
ATL
-1.2
-0.0
3.1
-0.1
1.8
2000
ATL
-1.0
-0.0
1.4
0.0
0.4
2001
ATL
-0.8
0.0
-0.3
0.1
-1.0
2002
ATL
-0.7
-0.1
3.0
0.0
2.3
2003
PHI
-1.3
0.0
1.6
0.0
0.4
2004
PHI
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
0.0
-0.8
2005
CLE
-0.1
-0.0
0.5
0.1
0.5
2006
TEX
-0.2
-0.0
1.1
0.2
1.0
2007
TEX
-0.1
-0.0
-1.6
-0.2
-1.8
2008
TEX
-0.0
0.0
-1.2
-0.1
-1.3
2009
TEX
-0.1
-0.0
-0.0
0.2
0.1
2010
BAL
-0.0
-0.0
-1.9
0.0
-1.9
2011
COL
-0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
-0.1
2012
SEA
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
-0.4
-0.6
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CAREER (reg. season)
-6.9
-0.3
5.8
-0.0
-1.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1997
ATL
0.2
-0.1
0.4
0.4
1998
ATL
0.9
0.6
1.4
2.1
1999
ATL
2.1
3.9
1.7
5.6
2000
ATL
1.3
1.7
1.7
3.5
2001
ATL
0.6
-0.4
1.1
0.7
2002
ATL
1.9
4.2
1.6
5.8
2003
PHI
1.5
1.9
1.9
3.8
2004
PHI
0.5
-0.3
1.1
0.8
2005
CLE
0.3
0.9
1.5
2.4
2006
TEX
0.6
1.7
1.7
3.4
2007
TEX
-0.3
-2.1
1.6
-0.5
2008
TEX
-0.1
-1.4
1.5
0.1
2009
TEX
0.2
0.3
1.6
1.9
2010
BAL
-0.4
-2.2
1.6
-0.6
2011
COL
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.7
2012
SEA
0.1
-0.6
1.3
0.8
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CAREER (reg. season)
9.7
8.3
22.4
30.7
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1997
ATL
12
3.2
0.4
-
0.4
1998
ATL
31
11.3
2.6
1.2
4.4
1999
ATL
33
16.5
6.5
4.7
13.5
2000
ATL
36
13.7
2.7
0.9
4.1
2001
ATL
21
7.9
0.6
0.0
0.7
2002
ATL
35
15.2
6.2
4.5
12.9
2003
PHI
35
15.0
3.5
1.6
5.9
2004
PHI
25
8.3
0.9
-
0.9
2005
CLE
30
11.3
2.4
0.8
3.6
2006
TEX
34
13.0
2.8
1.1
4.6
2007
TEX
31
10.5
-
-
0.0
2008
TEX
29
10.2
0.6
-
0.6
2009
TEX
31
11.9
1.9
0.3
2.3
2010
BAL
31
10.2
-
-
0.0
2011
COL
9
3.2
0.6
0.2
0.9
2012
SEA
28
9.2
0.4
-
0.4
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Career Totals
451
170.5
32.1
15.3
55.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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