Brian Moehler - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Brian Moehler
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1996
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.2
1997
DET
-0.1
-0.0
-0.6
0.1
-0.6
1998
DET
-0.0
-0.0
1.0
0.1
1.0
1999
DET
0.0
0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
2000
DET
-0.1
-0.0
0.4
0.1
0.5
2001
DET
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.0
0.1
+
2002
-0.3
-0.0
-0.7
0.1
-0.9
CIN
-0.3
-0.0
-0.8
0.1
-1.0
DET
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.0
0.1
2003
HOU
-0.0
-0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
2004
-
-
-
-
-
-
2005
FLO
-0.8
-0.1
-0.6
-0.0
-1.4
2006
FLO
-0.9
-0.0
-1.8
-0.0
-2.7
2007
HOU
-0.0
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
2008
HOU
-0.9
0.1
0.3
-0.0
-0.6
2009
HOU
-0.8
0.0
-0.4
0.0
-1.2
2010
HOU
-0.1
-0.0
-0.1
-0.0
-0.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
-4.0
-0.1
-3.0
0.4
-6.7
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1996
DET
-0.0
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
1997
DET
0.0
-0.6
1.5
0.9
1998
DET
0.5
1.5
1.7
3.2
1999
DET
0.1
0.0
1.6
1.7
2000
DET
0.3
0.8
1.3
2.1
2001
DET
0.0
0.2
0.0
0.2
+
2002
0.1
-0.8
0.6
-0.2
CIN
-0.9
-0.9
0.4
-0.5
DET
0.1
0.1
0.1
0.3
2003
HOU
-0.1
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
2004
-
-
-
-
-
2005
FLO
0.5
-0.9
1.3
0.4
2006
FLO
0.4
-2.4
1.2
-1.2
2007
HOU
0.0
-0.1
0.2
0.1
2008
HOU
0.7
0.2
1.3
1.5
2009
HOU
0.6
-0.6
1.4
0.8
2010
HOU
0.1
-0.2
0.4
0.2
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CAREER (reg. season)
3.3
-3.4
12.7
9.3
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1996
DET
2
0.5
-
-
0.0
1997
DET
31
10.4
1.0
-
1.0
1998
DET
33
12.4
2.9
1.2
4.7
1999
DET
32
11.8
1.5
0.0
1.5
2000
DET
29
10.2
2.5
1.2
4.3
2001
DET
1
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.2
+
2002
13
3.8
0.3
0.2
0.7
CIN
10
2.8
-
-
0.0
DET
3
1.0
0.3
0.2
0.7
2003
HOU
3
0.4
0.0
-
0.0
2004
-
-
-
-
-
-
2005
FLO
37
8.4
0.2
-
0.2
2006
FLO
31
7.6
-
-
0.0
2007
HOU
42
1.1
0.1
-
0.1
2008
HOU
31
9.9
1.9
0.6
2.8
2009
HOU
29
10.3
0.5
-
0.5
2010
HOU
20
2.5
0.1
-
0.1
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Career Totals
334
89.5
11.2
3.3
16.1
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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