Greg Myers - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Greg Myers
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1987
TOR
-0.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.2
1988
-
-
-
-
-
-
1989
TOR
-0.4
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
1990
TOR
-0.8
-0.0
0.0
0.2
-0.6
1991
TOR
-0.6
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
-0.9
+
1992
-0.5
0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.4
CAL
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
-0.1
-0.2
TOR
-0.4
0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.2
1993
CAL
-0.8
-0.2
0.0
-0.1
-1.1
1994
CAL
-0.8
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.7
1995
CAL
-0.5
-0.1
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
1996
MIN
-0.5
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.5
+
1997
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
0.1
-0.1
ATL
-0.1
0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
MIN
-0.0
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.0
1998
SDN
-0.4
-0.1
0.0
0.1
-0.4
+
1999
-0.8
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.7
ATL
-0.3
-0.1
0.0
0.2
-0.1
SDN
-0.5
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.6
2000
BAL
-0.9
-0.0
0.0
0.1
-0.8
+
2001
0.2
-0.0
0.0
0.1
0.3
BAL
0.2
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.2
OAK
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.1
0.2
2002
OAK
0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2003
TOR
1.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
0.7
2004
TOR
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
0.0
-0.1
2005
TOR
-0.1
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
-0.1
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-6.1
-1.1
0.0
0.5
-6.7
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
1987
TOR
0.0
-0.2
0.0
-0.2
1988
-
-
-
-
-
1989
TOR
0.0
-0.5
0.1
-0.5
1990
TOR
0.4
-0.2
0.6
0.5
1991
TOR
0.6
-0.4
0.7
0.4
+
1992
0.2
-0.2
0.2
0.0
CAL
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
TOR
-0.1
-0.1
0.2
0.1
1993
CAL
0.5
-0.6
0.8
0.1
1994
CAL
0.2
-0.5
0.3
-0.2
1995
CAL
0.2
-0.3
0.7
0.4
1996
MIN
0.5
-0.1
0.7
0.6
+
1997
0.2
0.2
0.4
0.6
ATL
-0.1
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
MIN
0.3
0.3
0.4
0.6
1998
SDN
0.4
0.0
0.4
0.4
+
1999
0.4
-0.3
0.5
0.2
ATL
0.0
0.0
0.2
0.2
SDN
-0.3
-0.3
0.3
0.0
2000
BAL
0.1
-0.7
0.3
-0.4
+
2001
0.2
0.6
0.4
1.0
BAL
0.2
0.2
0.2
0.5
OAK
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.5
2002
OAK
0.4
0.4
0.4
0.8
2003
TOR
0.6
1.2
0.9
2.2
2004
TOR
0.0
-0.0
0.0
0.0
2005
TOR
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
5.0
-1.7
7.5
5.9
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1987
TOR
7
0.1
-
-
0.0
1988
-
-
-
-
-
-
1989
TOR
17
0.4
-
-
0.0
1990
TOR
87
6.3
0.7
0.2
1.2
1991
TOR
107
7.3
0.4
-
0.5
+
1992
30
2.5
0.5
0.3
1.1
CAL
8
0.3
-
-
0.0
TOR
22
2.2
0.5
0.3
1.1
1993
CAL
106
6.5
0.1
-
0.1
1994
CAL
45
3.3
-
-
0.0
1995
CAL
85
7.1
0.8
0.2
1.3
1996
MIN
97
6.3
0.3
-
0.4
+
1997
69
3.7
0.4
0.1
0.7
ATL
8
0.1
-
-
0.0
MIN
61
3.6
0.4
0.1
0.7
1998
SDN
68
4.3
0.8
0.4
1.6
+
1999
84
4.9
0.4
0.3
0.9
ATL
34
1.9
0.4
0.3
0.9
SDN
50
3.0
0.0
-
0.0
2000
BAL
43
2.3
-
-
0.0
+
2001
58
3.8
0.8
0.4
1.6
BAL
25
2.0
0.5
0.2
0.9
OAK
33
1.9
0.4
0.2
0.7
2002
OAK
65
4.1
1.0
0.6
2.1
2003
TOR
121
8.6
1.6
0.7
3.0
2004
TOR
8
0.3
0.0
-
0.0
2005
TOR
6
0.1
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
1,103
72.0
8.0
3.2
14.3
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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