Joe Niekro - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
Home
Joe Niekro
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1967
CHN
-0.1
0.0
0.1
0.1
0.1
1968
CHN
-0.7
-0.1
0.1
0.2
-0.6
+
1969
-1.3
-0.1
-2.5
-0.2
-4.1
CHN
-0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.2
SDN
-1.3
-0.1
-2.2
-0.2
-3.9
1970
DET
-0.2
-0.0
-0.9
0.2
-1.0
1971
DET
-0.5
-0.0
-0.9
0.1
-1.3
1972
DET
0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
-0.0
1973
ATL
-0.1
-0.0
-1.2
0.0
-1.3
1974
ATL
-0.1
0.0
-1.3
0.1
-1.3
1975
HOU
-0.1
-0.0
0.3
0.1
0.3
1976
HOU
-0.1
-0.0
-1.5
-0.0
-1.6
1977
HOU
-0.5
0.0
2.3
0.3
2.1
1978
HOU
-0.6
-0.1
-0.8
-0.1
-1.6
1979
HOU
-0.9
-0.0
3.0
0.3
2.3
1980
HOU
0.1
-0.1
-0.2
0.1
-0.2
1981
HOU
-0.4
-0.1
1.4
0.2
1.1
1982
HOU
-1.5
-0.1
3.6
0.1
2.1
1983
HOU
-1.1
0.0
0.2
0.0
-0.8
1984
HOU
-0.9
-0.2
-0.5
0.0
-1.5
+
1985
-0.4
-0.1
-3.9
0.2
-4.2
HOU
-0.4
-0.1
-3.6
0.2
-4.0
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.3
0.0
-0.2
1986
NYA
0.0
0.0
-1.0
0.0
-1.0
+
1987
0.0
0.0
-1.5
-0.1
-1.6
MIN
0.0
0.0
-2.1
-0.0
-2.1
NYA
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.0
0.6
1988
MIN
0.0
0.0
-0.4
-0.0
-0.4
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-9.4
-0.8
-5.7
1.5
-14.4
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1967
CHN
0.6
0.7
1.1
1.9
1968
CHN
0.7
0.1
1.4
1.4
+
1969
1.0
-3.1
1.8
-1.3
CHN
-0.2
-0.2
0.1
-0.1
SDN
-2.9
-2.9
1.7
-1.2
1970
DET
0.8
-0.2
1.5
1.3
1971
DET
0.4
-0.9
0.8
-0.0
1972
DET
0.1
0.1
0.3
0.4
1973
ATL
0.0
-1.3
0.3
-0.9
1974
ATL
0.0
-1.3
0.4
-0.9
1975
HOU
0.1
0.3
0.6
1.0
1976
HOU
0.2
-1.4
0.8
-0.6
1977
HOU
0.4
2.6
1.5
4.0
1978
HOU
0.8
-0.8
1.5
0.8
1979
HOU
1.1
3.4
2.0
5.4
1980
HOU
1.0
0.9
1.8
2.6
1981
HOU
0.7
1.9
1.1
3.0
1982
HOU
1.4
3.5
1.8
5.3
1983
HOU
1.1
0.3
2.0
2.3
1984
HOU
1.2
-0.4
1.5
1.1
+
1985
1.0
-3.2
1.8
-1.4
HOU
-3.0
-3.0
1.7
-1.3
NYA
-0.2
-0.2
0.2
-0.1
1986
NYA
0.1
-0.9
1.1
0.2
+
1987
0.2
-1.4
1.4
-0.0
MIN
-2.0
-2.0
1.0
-1.1
NYA
0.6
0.6
0.4
1.1
1988
MIN
0.0
-0.4
0.1
-0.3
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
12.8
-1.5
26.8
25.3
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1967
CHN
36
9.5
1.8
0.6
2.7
1968
CHN
34
10.1
0.7
0.0
0.8
+
1969
42
13.4
0.9
0.1
1.0
CHN
4
1.0
-
-
0.0
SDN
38
12.4
0.9
0.1
1.0
1970
DET
39
12.6
1.3
-
1.3
1971
DET
32
5.9
-
-
0.0
1972
DET
18
2.4
0.2
0.0
0.2
1973
ATL
20
1.6
0.2
-
0.2
1974
ATL
27
1.8
0.0
-
0.0
1975
HOU
40
4.1
0.9
0.3
1.4
1976
HOU
36
5.8
0.1
-
0.1
1977
HOU
44
11.1
3.0
1.5
5.3
1978
HOU
36
12.0
0.6
-
0.6
1979
HOU
38
17.6
4.4
2.3
7.8
1980
HOU
37
15.7
2.4
0.7
3.4
1981
HOU
24
15.1
4.2
2.4
7.8
1982
HOU
35
16.1
4.6
2.8
8.8
1983
HOU
38
15.6
1.1
0.2
1.4
1984
HOU
38
12.1
1.0
-
1.0
+
1985
35
13.3
-
-
0.0
HOU
32
12.3
-
-
0.0
NYA
3
1.0
-
-
0.0
1986
NYA
25
7.3
0.1
-
0.1
+
1987
27
9.9
1.3
0.8
2.5
MIN
19
6.2
0.0
0.0
0.0
NYA
8
3.6
1.3
0.8
2.5
1988
MIN
5
0.5
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
706
213.5
28.7
11.8
46.5
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
Home