Phil Niekro - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Phil Niekro
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of pWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of eWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
1964
MLN
0.0
0.0
-0.1
0.0
-0.1
1965
MLN
-0.1
-0.2
0.3
0.2
0.2
1966
ATL
-0.2
-0.0
0.2
0.0
0.1
1967
ATL
-0.9
0.0
1.9
0.0
1.0
1968
ATL
-1.1
-0.0
1.9
0.1
0.9
1969
ATL
-0.4
-0.2
4.8
0.2
4.4
1970
ATL
-1.1
-0.1
-2.5
0.1
-3.5
1971
ATL
-0.9
-0.0
0.4
0.1
-0.4
1972
ATL
-1.3
-0.1
4.2
0.4
3.2
1973
ATL
-1.2
-0.0
1.2
-0.0
-0.1
1974
ATL
-0.4
-0.4
2.1
0.1
1.4
1975
ATL
-1.1
0.1
-0.1
0.2
-0.9
1976
ATL
-0.8
-0.0
2.4
0.1
1.6
1977
ATL
-1.5
0.0
1.4
0.1
-0.0
1978
ATL
-1.1
-0.0
3.8
0.2
2.8
1979
ATL
-1.2
-0.1
-0.2
0.1
-1.4
1980
ATL
-1.4
-0.0
-0.3
0.1
-1.7
1981
ATL
-0.9
-0.0
0.1
0.1
-0.7
1982
ATL
-0.5
0.0
1.5
0.1
1.2
1983
ATL
-0.9
-0.1
-1.7
-0.0
-2.8
1984
NYA
0.0
0.0
3.5
0.1
3.6
1985
NYA
0.0
0.0
-0.5
0.0
-0.4
1986
CLE
0.0
0.0
-1.3
-0.2
-1.5
+
1987
0.0
0.0
-2.4
-0.1
-2.4
ATL
0.0
0.0
-0.3
-0.0
-0.3
CLE
0.0
0.0
-1.1
-0.1
-1.2
TOR
0.0
0.0
-1.0
-0.0
-1.0
------
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
-17.1
-1.2
20.9
1.9
4.6
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
pWOPA
Value
pWORL
1964
MLN
-0.0
-0.1
0.1
-0.0
1965
MLN
0.0
0.2
0.6
0.8
1966
ATL
0.1
0.2
0.4
0.5
1967
ATL
0.7
1.7
1.7
3.4
1968
ATL
1.1
2.0
1.7
3.7
1969
ATL
1.2
5.6
2.2
7.8
1970
ATL
1.1
-2.4
1.9
-0.5
1971
ATL
1.1
0.7
1.9
2.6
1972
ATL
1.3
4.5
1.9
6.5
1973
ATL
0.9
0.9
1.7
2.5
1974
ATL
1.2
2.7
2.0
4.7
1975
ATL
1.2
0.3
2.0
2.4
1976
ATL
1.1
2.8
1.9
4.6
1977
ATL
1.6
1.6
2.6
4.2
1978
ATL
1.5
4.3
2.4
6.7
1979
ATL
1.9
0.4
2.3
2.8
1980
ATL
1.2
-0.5
2.1
1.7
1981
ATL
0.7
-0.0
1.1
1.1
1982
ATL
1.0
2.2
1.3
3.5
1983
ATL
1.1
-1.7
1.5
-0.2
1984
NYA
0.2
3.8
1.5
5.3
1985
NYA
0.2
-0.2
1.9
1.6
1986
CLE
0.1
-1.4
1.6
0.3
+
1987
0.1
-2.3
1.3
-1.0
ATL
-0.3
-0.3
0.0
-0.3
CLE
-1.0
-1.0
1.1
0.0
TOR
-1.0
-1.0
0.2
-0.8
------
------
------
------
CAREER (reg. season)
20.6
25.2
39.6
64.8
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
1964
MLN
10
0.2
-
-
0.0
1965
MLN
42
3.3
0.6
0.1
0.8
1966
ATL
28
2.0
0.4
0.1
0.5
1967
ATL
46
13.3
3.2
1.4
5.3
1968
ATL
37
14.6
2.7
1.0
4.1
1969
ATL
40
20.5
7.5
5.3
15.5
1970
ATL
34
14.2
-
-
0.0
1971
ATL
42
15.8
2.9
1.0
4.5
1972
ATL
38
18.2
6.0
4.0
11.9
1973
ATL
42
13.4
2.7
1.0
4.2
1974
ATL
41
18.5
5.4
3.4
10.5
1975
ATL
39
16.6
1.8
0.2
2.0
1976
ATL
38
16.7
3.7
1.9
6.5
1977
ATL
44
21.7
4.5
1.9
7.3
1978
ATL
45
21.9
6.9
4.5
13.7
1979
ATL
44
20.3
2.5
0.2
2.9
1980
ATL
40
17.2
1.7
-
1.7
1981
ATL
22
13.1
1.8
0.1
2.0
1982
ATL
35
12.3
2.7
1.3
4.7
1983
ATL
34
11.7
0.1
-
0.1
1984
NYA
32
12.8
4.0
2.5
7.7
1985
NYA
33
13.5
0.8
-
0.8
1986
CLE
34
11.6
0.2
-
0.2
+
1987
26
8.6
0.2
-
0.2
ATL
1
0.1
-
-
0.0
CLE
22
7.7
0.2
-
0.2
TOR
3
0.7
-
-
0.0
------
------
------
------
Career Totals
866
332.1
62.3
29.9
107.2
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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