Jonathan Papelbon - Decomposition of Value
Baseball Player Won-Loss Records
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Jonathan Papelbon
- Decomposition of Value
*
Positional Average
(Weighted Avg of Options): 0.500
(1-Year)
(9-Year)
(Long-Run)
Positional Averages for Pitchers
(Wgted Avg of Options): 0.500
vs. Different Values for Starting vs. Relief Pitchers: (Empirical)
(Based on Pitchers who Do Both)
Decomposition of eWORL
(Click
here
for decomposition of pWORL)
Wins over Average
Batting
Baserunning
Pitching
Fielding
Total
2005
BOS
0.0
0.0
-0.0
0.0
-0.0
2006
BOS
0.0
0.0
2.8
0.0
2.9
2007
BOS
0.0
0.0
1.8
-0.0
1.8
2008
BOS
0.0
0.0
2.1
-0.1
2.0
2009
BOS
0.0
0.0
1.6
0.0
1.6
2010
BOS
0.0
0.0
0.3
0.1
0.3
2011
BOS
0.0
0.0
1.9
-0.0
1.9
2012
PHI
0.0
0.0
1.4
0.1
1.5
2013
PHI
0.0
0.0
0.6
-0.0
0.6
2014
PHI
0.0
0.0
2.2
0.0
2.2
+
2015
0.0
0.0
0.7
-0.0
0.7
PHI
0.0
0.0
0.7
-0.0
0.6
WAS
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
2016
WAS
0.0
0.0
-0.2
-0.0
-0.2
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CAREER (reg. season)
0.0
0.0
15.2
0.0
15.3
Positional
Replacement
Adjustments
eWOPA
Value
eWORL
2005
BOS
-0.0
-0.1
0.3
0.3
2006
BOS
-0.1
2.8
0.9
3.7
2007
BOS
-0.1
1.7
0.8
2.6
2008
BOS
-0.1
1.9
0.8
2.8
2009
BOS
-0.1
1.5
1.1
2.6
2010
BOS
-0.1
0.2
1.1
1.3
2011
BOS
-0.1
1.8
0.8
2.6
2012
PHI
-0.1
1.3
1.1
2.4
2013
PHI
-0.1
0.5
0.8
1.3
2014
PHI
-0.1
2.1
0.9
3.0
+
2015
-0.1
0.6
0.7
1.2
PHI
0.6
0.6
0.4
1.0
WAS
-0.0
-0.0
0.3
0.3
2016
WAS
-0.1
-0.3
0.6
0.3
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CAREER (reg. season)
-1.3
14.0
10.0
24.0
Choose Weights for
Uber-Statistic
in Final Table
pWins
vs.
eWins
Wins
vs. Wins over Average
vs. Repl. Level
vs. Star
Zero out negative values (y/n):
WOPA:
WORL
:
WO*
:
By Position: C
1B
2B
3B
SS
LF
CF
RF
DH
PH
PR
P Off.
SP
RP
Weights for Postseason: Wins
WOPA
WORL
Normalize seasons to
games (enter 0 to use actual un-normalized totals)
Extrapolate missing player games? (y/n)
Uber-Statistic
Games
Wins
WORL
WOPA
Key Stat
2005
BOS
17
2.3
0.9
0.5
1.7
2006
BOS
59
6.3
4.1
3.2
9.0
2007
BOS
59
6.5
4.0
3.1
8.6
2008
BOS
67
6.3
3.8
2.9
8.2
2009
BOS
66
7.3
3.9
2.8
8.1
2010
BOS
65
6.3
1.9
0.8
3.1
2011
BOS
63
5.2
3.1
2.4
6.7
2012
PHI
70
6.5
2.6
1.5
4.8
2013
PHI
61
5.2
2.5
1.6
4.9
2014
PHI
66
6.2
3.4
2.4
7.1
+
2015
59
4.1
1.8
1.2
3.6
PHI
37
2.6
1.5
1.1
3.1
WAS
22
1.5
0.4
0.1
0.5
2016
WAS
37
3.1
0.6
0.1
0.7
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Career Totals
689
65.5
32.5
22.6
66.4
Totals include regular and postseason, negative numbers zeroed out. Weights on pWins, eWins are 0.5 and 0.5, respectively.
Season length adjusted to 162 games with missing games extrapolated.
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